Future of an Ageing Population
gs-16-10-future-of-an-ageing-population
gs-16-10-future-of-an-ageing-population
Create successful ePaper yourself
Turn your PDF publications into a flip-book with our unique Google optimized e-Paper software.
<strong>Future</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>an</strong> <strong>Ageing</strong> <strong>Population</strong> | Health <strong>an</strong>d Care Systems<br />
older people. Interventions to promote learning through the life course, better<br />
housing conditions <strong>an</strong>d environments that promote active lives are examples.<br />
Physical activity clearly plays a role in disease prevention <strong>an</strong>d positive health<br />
outcomes, but less is known about how to encourage people to be more active.<br />
Current evidence suggests that successful interventions should focus on small<br />
improvements, include several components (e.g. physical activity <strong>an</strong>d diet),<br />
<strong>an</strong>d <strong>of</strong>fer a wide variety <strong>of</strong> activities to choose from with regular follow ups<br />
over a long period <strong>of</strong> time to ensure activity levels are maintained 177 . Selfm<strong>an</strong>agement<br />
interventions, such as wearable technologies, have a small but<br />
varying effect across a wide r<strong>an</strong>ge <strong>of</strong> outcomes, but little is known about the<br />
mech<strong>an</strong>isms behind this 177 <strong>an</strong>d if interventions in later life are effective across<br />
large population groups.<br />
Policy Implication<br />
Without improvements in healthy life expect<strong>an</strong>cy or in the productivity<br />
<strong>of</strong> the health service, the UK’s health <strong>an</strong>d care costs will increase as the<br />
population ages. Interventions throughout a person’s lifetime, such as<br />
those promoting healthy living <strong>an</strong>d decreasing social isolation, have<br />
signific<strong>an</strong>t potential to affect their health in old age.<br />
6.3 Care in the home <strong>an</strong>d community<br />
The health <strong>an</strong>d care sectors are set to experience a signific<strong>an</strong>t growth in<br />
dem<strong>an</strong>d resulting from increasing prevalence <strong>of</strong> ill health in the population.<br />
Projections suggest <strong>an</strong> increase <strong>of</strong> over 600,000 jobs in caring <strong>an</strong>d personal<br />
services by 2022 178 . However GP recruitment, <strong>an</strong>d that <strong>of</strong> other healthcare<br />
pr<strong>of</strong>essionals, is declining at a time when people increasingly receive treatment<br />
<strong>an</strong>d support at home <strong>an</strong>d in the community 163 . The increasing ratio <strong>of</strong> older<br />
people to those in work may limit the number <strong>of</strong> people available to work in the<br />
care sector <strong>an</strong>d the number <strong>of</strong> people who c<strong>an</strong> fund state care provision, <strong>an</strong>d<br />
the rest <strong>of</strong> the health care system. The future health service will also require<br />
a much wider r<strong>an</strong>ge <strong>of</strong> staff capacities th<strong>an</strong> at present, including people who<br />
P82