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2007_6_Nr6_EEMJ

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Robu et al. /Environmental Engineering and Management Journal 6 (<strong>2007</strong>), 6, 573-592<br />

to quantify the risks that arise from the activities<br />

considered, in the view of the results for<br />

environmental impacts. The risks are calculated<br />

follows (Eq.21):<br />

RM<br />

j<br />

= IM<br />

j<br />

⋅ Pj<br />

(21)<br />

ERj – environmental risk for environmental<br />

component j;<br />

EIj – environmental impact on environmental<br />

component j;<br />

Pj – probability of occurrence of impact on<br />

environmental component j.<br />

The probability of impact occurrence was<br />

calculated using the same matrix as described above<br />

(Table 1) to calculate the importance units. The<br />

normalized weights are presented in Table 4. The<br />

evaluator has to give values between 0 and 1 for<br />

probability (Table 3), which is detailed in Table 5<br />

(Pearce, 1999).<br />

7.3. Advantages and disadvantages<br />

The data automatically performed by the<br />

SAB soft are presented in Table 6, and Fig. 3 present<br />

environmental impacts and risks.<br />

It has to be emphasized that if the impact<br />

and risk have very high values, then the impact<br />

induced by the considered activities on the<br />

environment is great and the environmental risks are<br />

at an unacceptable level (major/catastrophic risks).<br />

High values for environmental impacts and<br />

risks underlay the presence of pollutants in<br />

environment in very high concentrations, because<br />

impact directly depends on the measured<br />

concentration of pollutants. Considering the impact<br />

classification from method of global pollution index,<br />

a classification of impacts and risks is proposed<br />

(Table 7).<br />

This new method has the advantages that it<br />

is very easy to be used by non environmental experts;<br />

it calculates the impacts and risks, correlated with<br />

measured concentrations of quality indicators for<br />

environmental component, considered representative<br />

in assessment process; it is not a subjective method<br />

because the subjectivity is removed applying<br />

mathematical steps (the developed soft - SAB).<br />

Also, the lack of experience of evaluator<br />

doesn’t influence the evaluation results that will<br />

reflect the real situation from the evaluated site,<br />

where the industrial activities are performed.<br />

Table 5. Description of probability<br />

Probability Description Probability units<br />

Almost certain Is expected to occur in most circumstances (99%) 0.91-1.0<br />

Likely Will probably occur in most circumstances (90%) 0.61-0.9<br />

Possible Might occur at some times (50%) 0.31-0.6<br />

Unlikely Could occur at some times (10%) 0.05-0.3<br />

Rare May occur only in exceptional circumstances (1%) 10 µm), mg/mc 0.05 0.28 0.18 1534.25 435.08<br />

Soil Extractable compounds, mg/kg 2000 10480 0.19 1363.84 407.12<br />

1 - maximal allowed concentration according to Romanian legislation; 2 – measured concentrations of quality indicators, 3 – environmental quality;<br />

4 – environmental impact, 5 – environmental risk.<br />

588

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