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Tesis y Tesistas 2020 - Postgrado - Fac. de Informática - UNLP

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MAESTRÍA

INGENIERÍA DE SOFTWARE

Mg. Ernesto Esteban Ledesma

e-mail

erneledesma@gmail.com

Advisor

Dra. Daniela López de Luise

Codirector

Mg. Javier Bazzoco

Thesis defense date

November 20, 2020

SEDICI

http://sedici.unlp.edu.ar/handle/10915/110794

Prediction model of

risk in water resources

for precision agriculture

Keywords: Temporary mining, Diffuse Harmonic Systems, Diffuse Patterns, Precision Crops, Rice Crops.

Motivation

In recent years, precision agriculture has become very

important in the search to optimize resources and obtain

better results, day by day we work on new technologies that

allow reaching the producer to obtain these improvements.

In crops that require a high demand for water, such as rice,

different irrigation techniques are applied to lower the

water demand and continue to obtain high yields. However,

there are still difficulties to perform optimal monitoring in

real time.

This work is developed in the IDTILAB of the Faculty of

Science and Technology of UADER (Concepción del Uruguay,

Entre Ríos), in conjunction with the section of INTA

(National Institute of Agricultural Technology, Concepción

del Uruguay), and presents a model of Innovative behavior

and prototype to monitor precision crops in real time.

Founded on the latest in temporal data mining, it uses an

extension of the well-known Harmonic Systems (HS) (Lopez

de Luise D. 2013) called Fuzzy Harmonic Systems (FHS) (Lopez

de Luise D. 2013a, 2013b) (Bel W. 2018) that constitutes a

simple and lightweight heuristic capable of detecting and

predicting critical water stress events in rice crop lots. The

functional prototype of KRONOS.AgroData and KRONOS.

AgroMonitor that implements the adapted FHS model for

predicting the level of drought risk in the irrigation plots in

rice crops in the San Salvador area located in (Entre Ríos)

and in the INTA area, Concepción del Uruguay (Entre Ríos).

This prototype is made with Arduino technology for data

acquisition and web technologies such as React®, NextJS®,

NodeJS® and MQTT®.

The design allows evaluating the performance and efficiency

of the proposed model in a real field test environment where

variables of various types are involved (weather, soil moisture

variations, soil water level, PH, among others).

From the field studies and statistical analyzes shown in

this work, it can be affirmed that the derived model allows

determining sampling and irrigation intervals much more

suitable than the traditional ones, and satisfactorily

evaluating the yields and cultivation conditions.

The specific objective proposed for this work consists of the

appropriate validation of the proposed model.

Thesis contributions

In the thesis work, two prototypes were developed for the

analysis of the model with low cost technologies to make

predictions about critical water events in rice crops.

The model implements harmonic systems and fuzzy

harmonic systems. In the findings, it can be said that the

pattern detection method is flexible enough to apply it to

the context of detecting water stress in crops, its simplicity

allows profiling and reduction of computational complexity.

The FHS (Fuzzy Harmonic System) model effectively detects

fuzzy temporal patterns that allow the model to analyze

data from a more flexible perspective.

The FHS model is implemented in the KronosData and

KronosAgro prototypes in order to carry out the technical

validation of its operation in real environments of rice

crops. A priori, the tests carried out indicate that the

operation of the data acquisition and web prototype (in a

real environment of controlled field tests) it is deduced that

the behavior of the model maintains its efficiency even in

a real variable environment that requires processing and

immediate response.

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