322 FISHERY BULLETIN OF THE FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE The range <strong>of</strong> rank was <strong>the</strong> greater in <strong>the</strong> more recent period in each district except H-3, a region in which <strong>the</strong> whitefish fishery was unimportant after 1932. The greatest increase in range occurred in H-5 which held every position from first to sixth although this area had ranked sixth 17 times (fifth in <strong>the</strong> remaining year) in <strong>the</strong> period, 1891-1908, <strong>and</strong> had not yielded more than 7,500 pounds in any one <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> 18 years. It should be noted fur<strong>the</strong>r that with only one exception (<strong>the</strong> rank <strong>of</strong> 5) each <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> rankings from 1 to 6 occurred in more districts in 1930-1939 than in 1891-1908. For example, first position was held in four districts (all but H-2 <strong>and</strong> H-3) in <strong>the</strong> more recent period as compared with only two (H-l <strong>and</strong> H-4) in <strong>the</strong> earlier years, second rank was held by four districts in 1930-1939 as compared with three in 1891-1908,***. The actual figures <strong>of</strong> catch <strong>of</strong> tables 5 <strong>and</strong> 6 support <strong>the</strong> observations based on <strong>the</strong> rankings, for <strong>the</strong> yields <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> individual districts were in general far less variable in <strong>the</strong> early than in <strong>the</strong> recent period. TABLE 6.—Production <strong>of</strong> whitefish in pounds in Lake Huron according to statistical districts, 1891-1908 Year 1891 1892 1893 1891 1895 1896 1897 . -- 1898 1899 1900 1901. .. 1902 1903 1904 1905 1906 1907 1908 H-l 1,304,220 1,150,933 1,204,400 939,250 614,830 440,600 392,100 239,800 201,600 152,400 219,025 307,000 312,700 328,000 381,200 492,300 658,500 578,915 550,987 56.6 H-2 133,000 94,000 12,000 91,600 75,550 HR.616 141,555 59,500 96,000 104,000 137,000 137,500 106,100 54,000 30,300 38,500 45,000 48,963 84,621 8.7 Statistical district H-3 58,500 29,200 131,500 61,500 39,500 167,300 38,300 38,500 36,100 99,500 154,300 122,000 70,700 85,000 29,800 25,600 64,600 41,666 71,865 7.4 H-4 91,540 160,450 199,900 116,550 203,687 264,119 285,200 249,050 306,560 191,520 263,720 331,930 436,360 303,860 208,260 198,220 282,772 270,832 242,474 24.9 Н-5 6,000 3,500 2,000 1,000 1,500 500 4,000 1,500 1,800 4,500 5,000 600 400 1,000 3,500 5,000 3,300 7,500 2,922 0.3 Н-6 31,600 48,100 27,800 8,350 10,800 14,600 4,805 4,400 3,520 3,500 9,200 14,500 11,200 15,500 21,800 32,100 78,800 26,029 20,367 2.1 Total 1,624,360 1,486,183 1,577,600 1,218,250 945,867 1,005,735 865,960 592,750 645,580 555,420 788,245 913,530 937,460 787,360 674,860 791,720 1,132,972 973,905 The records <strong>of</strong> yield for <strong>the</strong> years, 1891-1908, indicate also that <strong>the</strong> percentages <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> total catch <strong>of</strong> whitefish in <strong>the</strong> different districts were approximately normal in 1929, <strong>the</strong> only recent year (with data for each district separately) in which <strong>the</strong> statistics were not seriously distorted by <strong>the</strong> deep-trap-net fishery. It is true, <strong>the</strong> percentage distribution <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> catch <strong>of</strong> whitefish in Lake Huron in 1929 (table 5) differed somewhat from that for <strong>the</strong> average for 1891-1908. It will be noticed, for example, that in 1929 <strong>the</strong> greatest production (39.2 percent) was from H-4 with H-l in second position (25.8 percent) whereas in 1891-1908 <strong>the</strong> greatest average yield came from H-l (56.6 percent) with H-4 in second position (24.9 percent) . Among <strong>the</strong> remaining districts <strong>the</strong> percentages were higher in 1929 in H-2 (in part because <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> catch in deep trap nets), H-5, <strong>and</strong> H-6, <strong>and</strong> possibly lower in H-3, 23 973,236 but <strong>the</strong> rankings <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> districts were <strong>the</strong> same. The differences in <strong>the</strong> values <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>se percentages are not large enough, however, to warrant <strong>the</strong> conclusion that <strong>the</strong> relative capacities <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> various districts for <strong>the</strong> production <strong>of</strong> whitefish in 1929 M 7 ere changed greatly from those <strong>of</strong> 1891-1908. Although <strong>the</strong> high percentage <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> total yield <strong>of</strong> whitefish in H-4 in 1929 is in disagreement The division <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> statistics for <strong>the</strong> earlier years was based on <strong>the</strong> location <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> home port <strong>and</strong> not necessarily on <strong>the</strong> grounds actually fished. <strong>of</strong> 71 71,865 pounds <strong>and</strong> 242,474 pounds as recorded in table 6; <strong>the</strong> percentages should have been 3.3 <strong>and</strong> 29.0 instead <strong>of</strong> 7.4 <strong>and</strong> 24.9. There is no eon to believe that <strong>the</strong> data for o<strong>the</strong>r districts were affected significantly by <strong>the</strong> division <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> catch according to port.
WHITEFISH FISHERY OF LAKES HURON AND MICHIGAN 323 with average conditions in 1891-1908, evidence that <strong>the</strong> 1929 percentage for <strong>the</strong> district did not represent an abnormal condition, may be seen in <strong>the</strong> fact that <strong>the</strong> catch in H-4 exceeded that in H-l in 6 successive years (1898-1903) <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> 18 in <strong>the</strong>: early period. The percentage <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Lake Huron catch produced in H-4 in 1929 apparently .was somewhat above <strong>the</strong> average for <strong>the</strong> modern as well as <strong>the</strong> early period, as in thç 9 years, 1920-1928, <strong>the</strong> percentage <strong>of</strong> whitefish taken in Saginaw Bay (in H-i) did not exceed 31.3 percent <strong>and</strong> averaged only 23.5 percent. (This statement is based on statistics published for Saginaw Bay <strong>and</strong> Huron proper by <strong>the</strong> Michigan Department <strong>of</strong> Conservation.) The evidence that <strong>the</strong> percentages <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> 1929 yield <strong>of</strong> whitefish taken in <strong>the</strong> several districts were within <strong>the</strong> normal range <strong>of</strong> variation lends fur<strong>the</strong>r support to <strong>the</strong> belief that <strong>the</strong> deep-trap-net fishery brought about abnormal conditions in' 1930-1939. CHANGES IN PRODUCTION IN LAKE HTJBON AS RELATED TO FLUCTUATIONS IN THE ABUNDANCE OF WH1TEFISH AND IN THE INTENSITY OF THE FISHERY Up to this point <strong>the</strong> discussion has been concerned only with <strong>the</strong> fluctuations in <strong>the</strong> catch <strong>of</strong> whitefish, because it was believed that this, <strong>the</strong> more obvious phase <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> fishery, should be outlined clearly before <strong>the</strong> changes in production were analyzed in relation to concurrent fluctuations in <strong>the</strong> abundance <strong>of</strong> whiteush <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> intensity <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> whitefish fishery. The fundamental problem in <strong>the</strong> analysis <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> statistical data relative to <strong>the</strong> whitefish fishery <strong>of</strong> Lake Huron is <strong>the</strong> determination <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> probable effects <strong>of</strong> deep-trap-net operations on <strong>the</strong> abundance <strong>of</strong> marketable whitefish. As pointed out previously (p. 315) this problem is complicated greatly by <strong>the</strong> circumstance that whitefish are known to have been abnormally abundant during <strong>the</strong> years in which <strong>the</strong> deep-trap-net fishery was undergoing its most rapid..expansion. The abundance <strong>of</strong> whitefish in Lake Huron was possibly above normal in 1929; certainly it was well above normal in 1930 <strong>and</strong> 1931 (table 10). A decline from this abnormally high abundance would have occurred even if deep trap nets had not been operated in <strong>the</strong> lake. It is only logical to believe also that <strong>the</strong> high abundance following 1929 would have stimulated fishing intensity even had deep trap .nets not been fished. The general problem resolves itself, <strong>the</strong>refore, into <strong>the</strong> estimation <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> degree to which <strong>the</strong> increased fishing intensity <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> heightened production made possible by <strong>the</strong> use <strong>of</strong> deep trap nets affected <strong>the</strong> rate <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> decline in abundance <strong>and</strong> its ultimate extent. I That <strong>the</strong> deep trap net accounted for <strong>the</strong> bulk <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> extremely high yields <strong>of</strong> whitefish over <strong>the</strong> period, 1930-1935, was brought out in <strong>the</strong> preceding section. It will now be demonstrated that <strong>the</strong> high production resulted from an unreasonably great fishing intensity <strong>and</strong> that this overfishing in turn accelerated <strong>the</strong> decline in <strong>the</strong> abundance <strong>of</strong> whitefish. In <strong>the</strong> four sou<strong>the</strong>rnmost districts in which <strong>the</strong> deep trap net was fished most extensively <strong>the</strong> whitefish fishery reached a state <strong>of</strong> collapse. Abundance <strong>and</strong> catch were reduced in <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r two districts in which <strong>the</strong> deep-trapnet operations were less extensive but <strong>the</strong> decline was far less pronounced than in <strong>the</strong> four districts. A comparison <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> extent <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> changes in production, abundance, <strong>and</strong> fishing intensity in <strong>the</strong> several districts may be found in table 7. In this one table <strong>the</strong> year 1929 ra<strong>the</strong>r than <strong>the</strong> 11-year period (1929-1939) has been taken as <strong>the</strong> point <strong>of</strong> reference. To be sure, <strong>the</strong>re is no certainty that 1929 was a "normal" year. However, <strong>the</strong> catch in 1929 was at approximately <strong>the</strong> typical level for 1922-1929, <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong>re is no evidence <strong>of</strong> any unusual conditions in <strong>the</strong> fishery in that year. Certainly, 1929 is <strong>the</strong> most nearly normal year for which detailed statistical data are available. The data <strong>of</strong> table 7 do not provide a complete history <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> deep-trap-net fishery. They do serve, however, to show <strong>the</strong> variation among <strong>the</strong> districts in <strong>the</strong> maxima <strong>of</strong> yields <strong>and</strong> fishing intensity that followed <strong>the</strong> introduction <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> deep trap net, <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> apparent relationship between <strong>the</strong>se maxima <strong>and</strong> conditions in 1939. The increases in catch were by no means as great in: H-l <strong>and</strong> H-2 as in <strong>the</strong> remaining districts. In
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