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User Guide for the TIMSS International Database.pdf - TIMSS and ...

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C H A P T E R 5 S C A L I N G<br />

Likewise, <strong>the</strong> scoring function of response k to item i is a scalar, b ik, in <strong>the</strong> <strong>for</strong>mer, whereas it is<br />

a D by 1 column vector, b ik, in <strong>the</strong> latter.<br />

5.4 The Population Model<br />

The item response model is a conditional model in <strong>the</strong> sense that it describes <strong>the</strong> process of<br />

generating item responses conditional on <strong>the</strong> latent variable, q. The complete definition of <strong>the</strong><br />

<strong>TIMSS</strong> model, <strong>the</strong>re<strong>for</strong>e, requires <strong>the</strong> specification of a density, fq( qa ; ), <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong> latent<br />

variable, q. We use a to symbolize a set of parameters that characterize <strong>the</strong> distribution of q.<br />

The most common practice when specifying unidimensional marginal item response models<br />

is to assume that <strong>the</strong> students have been sampled from a normal population with mean m <strong>and</strong><br />

variance s 2 . That is:<br />

( )<br />

fqf qa ; ; , exp<br />

( ) º 2<br />

q ( qms)<br />

=<br />

1<br />

2<br />

2ps<br />

2<br />

é q - m ù<br />

ê-<br />

2 ú<br />

ëê<br />

2s<br />

ûú<br />

(8)<br />

or equivalently q = m+E<br />

(9)<br />

where<br />

2<br />

E ~ N(<br />

0,<br />

s ).<br />

Adams, Wilson, <strong>and</strong> Wu (1997) discuss how a natural extension of (8) is to replace <strong>the</strong> mean,<br />

T m, with <strong>the</strong> regression model, Yn b , where Y is a vector of u fixed <strong>and</strong> known values <strong>for</strong><br />

n<br />

student n, <strong>and</strong> b is <strong>the</strong> corresponding vector of regression coefficients. For example, Yn could<br />

be constituted of student variables such as gender, socio-economic status, or major. Then <strong>the</strong><br />

population model <strong>for</strong> student n, becomes<br />

T<br />

qn = Ynb+ En<br />

, (10)<br />

where we assume that <strong>the</strong> E are independently <strong>and</strong> identically normally distributed with mean<br />

n<br />

zero <strong>and</strong> variance s 2 so that (10) is equivalent to<br />

T T<br />

T<br />

fq qn; Yn, , s ps exp qn — Yn qn<br />

— Yn<br />

s b<br />

2 2 -12<br />

1<br />

( ) = 2<br />

é<br />

( ) - 2 ( b) ( b<br />

ù ) , (11)<br />

ëê 2<br />

ûú<br />

T 2<br />

a normal distribution with mean Yn b <strong>and</strong> variance s . If (11) is used as <strong>the</strong> population model<br />

<strong>the</strong>n <strong>the</strong> parameters to be estimated are b, s 2 , <strong>and</strong> x.<br />

The <strong>TIMSS</strong> scaling model takes <strong>the</strong> generalization one step fur<strong>the</strong>r by applying it to <strong>the</strong><br />

vector valued q ra<strong>the</strong>r than <strong>the</strong> scalar valued q resulting in <strong>the</strong> multivariate population model<br />

-d<br />

2 -1<br />

T -1<br />

fq( qn; Wn, g, S) = S exp<br />

é 1<br />

( 2p<br />

2 ) - ( qn — gWn) S ( qn — gW<br />

ù<br />

n)<br />

, (12)<br />

ëê 2<br />

ûú<br />

where g is a u ´ d matrix of regression coefficients, S is a d ´ d variance-covariance matrix<br />

<strong>and</strong> Wn is a u ´ 1 vector of fixed variables. If (12) is used as <strong>the</strong> population model <strong>the</strong>n <strong>the</strong><br />

parameters to be estimated are g, S, <strong>and</strong> x.<br />

In <strong>TIMSS</strong> we refer to <strong>the</strong> W n variables as conditioning variables.<br />

5 - 4 T I M S S D A T A B A S E U S E R G U I D E

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