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CALL CENTERS (CENTRES) - Faculty of Industrial Engineering and ...

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The model is shown to be a compact notation <strong>of</strong> high level nets without macroplaces <strong>and</strong> a<br />

corresponding transformation procedure is presented. Some examples are used to illustrate the<br />

power <strong>of</strong> the formalism.<br />

Keywords: High level Petri nets, Inbound call center design, Formal models, Specification, Agent<br />

scenarios, Script net, Modularization, High level macronets, Macroplaces<br />

6. Levasseur, G.A. An object-oriented phone center model using SIMPLE++. 1996 Winter Simulation<br />

Conference Proceedings. SCS Int, San Diego, CA, USA, 1996, 556–563.<br />

Abstract. A demonstration model <strong>and</strong> application object template (object library) was created<br />

to show how SIMPLE++ simulation s<strong>of</strong>tware can be applied to service industry telephone<br />

call h<strong>and</strong>ling centers. In addition, this example was designed to show modeling techniques that<br />

can be used to take advantage <strong>of</strong> some key object-orientation concepts to quickly create highly<br />

flexible simulation models. Finally, some features <strong>of</strong> the SIMPLE++ simulation package are<br />

illustrated.<br />

Keywords: Phone center model, SIMPLE++, Application object template, Object library, Simulation<br />

s<strong>of</strong>tware, Service industry, Telephone call h<strong>and</strong>ling centers, Object-oriented programming,<br />

Flexible simulation models, S<strong>of</strong>tware packages<br />

7. Massey, W.A., G.A. Parker <strong>and</strong> W. Whitt. Estimating the parameters <strong>of</strong> a nonhomogeneous<br />

Poisson process with linear rate, Telecommunications Systems—Modeling, Analysis, Design <strong>and</strong><br />

Management, 5 (4), 1996, 361–688.<br />

Abstract. We want to be able to determine if a Poisson process traffic model is appropriate <strong>and</strong>,<br />

when it is, we want to be able to estimate its parameters from measurements, with linear rate<br />

over a finite interval, based on the number <strong>of</strong> counts in measurement subintervals. Such a linear<br />

arrival-rate function can serve as a component <strong>of</strong> a piecewise-linear approximation to a general<br />

arrival-rate function. We consider ordinary least squares (OLS), iterative weighted least squares<br />

(IWLS) <strong>and</strong> maximum likelihood (ML), all constrained to yield a nonnegative rate function. We<br />

prove that ML coincides with IWLS. As a reference point, we also consider the theoretically optimal<br />

weighted least squares (TWLS), which is least squares with weights inversely proportional<br />

to the variances (which would not be known with data). Overall, ML performs almost as well as<br />

TWLS. We describe computer simulations conducted to evaluate these estimation procedures.<br />

None <strong>of</strong> the procedures differ greatly when the rate function is not near 0 at either end, but<br />

when the rate function is near 0 at one end, TWLS <strong>and</strong> ML are significantly more effective than<br />

OLS. The number <strong>of</strong> measurement subintervals (with fixed total interval) makes surprisingly<br />

little difference when the rate function is not near 0 at either end. The variances are higher<br />

with only two or three subintervals, but there usually is little benefit from going above ten. In<br />

contrast, more measurement intervals help TWLS <strong>and</strong> ML when the rate function is near 0 at<br />

one end. We derive explicit formulas for the OLS variances <strong>and</strong> the asymptotic TWLS variances<br />

(as the number <strong>of</strong> measurement intervals increases), assuming the nonnegativity constraints are<br />

not violated. These formulas reveal the statistical precision <strong>of</strong> the estimators <strong>and</strong> the influence<br />

<strong>of</strong> the parameters <strong>and</strong> the method. Knowing how the variance depends on the interval length<br />

can help determine how to approximate general arrival-rate functions by piecewise-linear ones.<br />

We also develop statistical tests to determine whether the linear Poisson model is appropriate.<br />

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