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A systematic review of the effectiveness of adalimumab

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112<br />

Health economics<br />

TABLE 68 Sensitivity analyses: TNF inhibitors in last place<br />

Scenario Adal – Base Etan – Base Adal+MTX – Etan+MTX – Infl+MTX –<br />

Base Base Base<br />

Base case 40,100 23,700 29,700 23,800 37,900<br />

No HAQ progression on TNF inhibitors 27,100 18,100 22,100 18,000 25,700<br />

Slow HAQ progression on all DMARDs 39,500 24,400 30,500 24,900 37,600<br />

Slow HAQ progression on all treatments 64,100 33,400 43,000 34,000 60,500<br />

Fast HAQ progression on all treatments 58,300 30,300 39,400 30,000 53,300<br />

No effect <strong>of</strong> HAQ on mortality 40,100 23,200 30,000 23,400 38,600<br />

Mortality ratio 2.73 per unit HAQ 37,500 23,000 29,500 23,100 34,900<br />

Effectiveness <strong>of</strong> conventional DMARDs<br />

down 50%<br />

39,500 23,900 29,800 23,800 37,400<br />

Effectiveness <strong>of</strong> conventional DMARDs<br />

up 50%<br />

38,900 23,600 29,400 23,900 38,200<br />

Survival times on conventional DMARDs<br />

down 50%<br />

38,500 23,700 28,900 24,000 37,700<br />

Survival times on conventional DMARDs<br />

up 50%<br />

39,500 23,700 30,300 23,600 38,800<br />

Survival times on TNF inhibitors down 50% 43,800 24,700 32,800 25,700 43,500<br />

Survival times on TNF inhibitors up 50% 37,200 22,800 28,900 23,000 36,600<br />

Review at 12 weeks 39,700 23,300 29,400 23,900 37,800<br />

Short-term quitters on TNF inhibitors<br />

down 50%<br />

40,800 23,900 30,200 24,100 38,400<br />

Short-term quitters on TNF inhibitors<br />

up 50%<br />

39,000 23,400 29,400 23,700 37,400<br />

Short-term quitters on conventional<br />

DMARDs down 50%<br />

39,300 23,500 29,500 23,800 37,400<br />

Short-term quitters on conventional<br />

DMARDs up 50%<br />

38,300 23,900 29,800 24,000 36,500<br />

Include <strong>of</strong>fset costs 38,400 22,300 27,900 22,400 36,100

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