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A systematic review of the effectiveness of adalimumab

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experiencing <strong>the</strong>se events was not reported, <strong>the</strong><br />

number <strong>of</strong> patients who experienced infections<br />

that were classified as SAEs was used instead.<br />

Figures <strong>of</strong> serious infection reported by study<br />

investigators without a clear definition were also<br />

included if <strong>the</strong> above information was not<br />

available.<br />

Additional exploratory analyses on death, any<br />

infections, non-melanoma skin cancer and all<br />

cancer excluding non-melanoma skin cancers were<br />

carried out.<br />

Approach for meta-analysis<br />

Each TNF inhibitor was meta-analysed separately.<br />

The primary analysis compared each TNF<br />

inhibitor at <strong>the</strong> licensed dose (or its equivalent)<br />

with placebo or o<strong>the</strong>r active comparators using <strong>the</strong><br />

latest follow-up data available from <strong>the</strong><br />

randomised, controlled period <strong>of</strong> each trial. The<br />

doses included in <strong>the</strong> primary analysis are:<br />

● <strong>adalimumab</strong>: 40 mg every o<strong>the</strong>r week (may be<br />

increased to every week if response is<br />

inadequate) or 20 mg every week<br />

● etanercept: 25 mg twice weekly, 50 mg once<br />

weekly or 16 mg m –2 twice weekly<br />

● infliximab: 3 mg kg –1 at 0, 2 and 6 weeks, and<br />

<strong>the</strong>n every 8 weeks.<br />

Sensitivity analyses included TNF inhibitors at<br />

licensed doses and above, and at all doses<br />

including sublicensed doses. Studies in which<br />

single injections or infusions were administered<br />

are not included in <strong>the</strong> primary analysis, but are<br />

included in <strong>the</strong> all-dose sensitivity analyses.<br />

Duration <strong>of</strong> follow-up for each trial is displayed on<br />

<strong>the</strong> forest plots <strong>of</strong> primary analysis for<br />

comparison. Additional analyses <strong>of</strong> results at<br />

1 month, 3, 6 and 12 months and beyond are also<br />

conducted for ACR20 response.<br />

For each TNF inhibitor three comparisons were<br />

made:<br />

1. TNF inhibitor versus conventional DMARD:<br />

this head-to-head comparison is most relevant<br />

for clinical practice. A fair head-to-head<br />

comparison requires that patients should not<br />

have previously tried any <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> drugs being<br />

compared, or at least not be selected as<br />

responders/non-responders.<br />

2. TNF inhibitor versus placebo (with or without<br />

concomitant, ongoing DMARDs): trials that<br />

were included in this comparison typically<br />

recruited patients whose disease had been<br />

inadequately controlled by conventional<br />

© Queen’s Printer and Controller <strong>of</strong> HMSO 2006. All rights reserved.<br />

Health Technology Assessment 2006; Vol. 10: No. 42<br />

DMARDs. The DMARDs that <strong>the</strong> patients had<br />

been taking before study entry (if any) were<br />

ei<strong>the</strong>r stopped or continued during <strong>the</strong> trial<br />

and a TNF inhibitor or placebo was given to<br />

patients. In both cases a TNF inhibitor is<br />

compared with placebo but <strong>the</strong> scenarios<br />

behind <strong>the</strong> comparisons are different. The<br />

former represents a comparison <strong>of</strong> stopping<br />

DMARDs versus replacing a DMARD with a<br />

TNF inhibitor. The latter represents a<br />

comparison <strong>of</strong> continuing a DMARD (which is,<br />

at best, partially effective) versus adding a TNF<br />

inhibitor to that DMARD.<br />

To explore whe<strong>the</strong>r treatment effects differ<br />

between <strong>the</strong>se two scenarios, <strong>the</strong> primary<br />

analyses <strong>of</strong> trials are displayed in <strong>the</strong> forest<br />

plots according to concomitant DMARD<br />

treatment. Studies in which patients stopped all<br />

concomitant DMARDs are placed on top <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

plots and are labelled with a (–) sign. These are<br />

followed by studies in which patients continued<br />

<strong>the</strong>ir existing DMARD treatment, which are<br />

labelled with a (+) sign. In a few studies <strong>the</strong><br />

patients continued <strong>the</strong>ir ongoing antirheumatic<br />

<strong>the</strong>rapy, which may have included DMARDs.<br />

These studies are labelled with a (±) sign.<br />

3. Combination (TNF inhibitor plus newly<br />

initiated conventional DMARD) versus newlyinitiated<br />

conventional DMARD alone: this<br />

analysis reports trials in which patients were<br />

naïve to, or had not previously failed treatment<br />

with <strong>the</strong> TNF inhibitor and <strong>the</strong> DMARD being<br />

compared. The only comparator DMARD used<br />

in such trials to date has been methotrexate.<br />

The effect size in <strong>the</strong>se trials represents <strong>the</strong><br />

additional treatment benefit (or harm) <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

combination over <strong>the</strong> newly initiated<br />

methotrexate alone. In <strong>the</strong>se trials <strong>the</strong>re is a<br />

greater benefit to patients in <strong>the</strong> control arm<br />

than seen in trials where <strong>the</strong> comparator is an<br />

established ongoing DMARD. It is thus<br />

necessary to distinguish between this analysis<br />

and that in (2), above, and <strong>the</strong> authors feel that<br />

it is inappropriate to cite a summary statistic<br />

combining <strong>the</strong>se two different types <strong>of</strong><br />

comparisons. However, for illustrative purpose,<br />

<strong>the</strong> forest plots <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> primary analyses give<br />

both comparisons (2) and (3) on <strong>the</strong> same plot<br />

to illustrate <strong>the</strong> overall heterogeneity between<br />

<strong>the</strong>se two types <strong>of</strong> ‘placebo versus TNF<br />

inhibitor’ comparison.<br />

Although most trials contributed data to only one<br />

<strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> three comparisons described above, a few<br />

trials contributed to more than one. For example,<br />

<strong>the</strong> PREMIER trial compared <strong>adalimumab</strong> alone,<br />

methotrexate alone, and <strong>the</strong> combination <strong>of</strong><br />

15

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