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Analysis of Sales Promotion Effects on Household Purchase Behavior

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It represents the fracti<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> shopping trips with brands <strong>on</strong> promoti<strong>on</strong>, during which these<br />

promoted brands are purchased. This measure provides insights in the overall household<br />

sensitivity towards promoti<strong>on</strong>s. Compared to promoti<strong>on</strong> resp<strong>on</strong>se dealt with in the prior<br />

secti<strong>on</strong>, this promoti<strong>on</strong>al utilizati<strong>on</strong> measure aggregates the 0/1 record outcomes across the<br />

different shopping trips (or records).<br />

However, our main interest goes bey<strong>on</strong>d this overall level. Especially the specific<br />

mechanisms for buying <strong>on</strong> promoti<strong>on</strong> are <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> interest to us. For these different sales<br />

promoti<strong>on</strong> reacti<strong>on</strong> mechanisms, indicators are defined and operati<strong>on</strong>alized in the<br />

following subsecti<strong>on</strong>s.<br />

5.4.2.2 Brand Switching<br />

We want to measure the extent to which households switch brands due to promoti<strong>on</strong>s.<br />

Brand switching itself can be c<strong>on</strong>ceived in several ways. There is no general agreement<br />

about what c<strong>on</strong>stitutes an appropriate c<strong>on</strong>ceptual or operati<strong>on</strong>al definiti<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> brand loyalty<br />

(Jacoby and Chestnut 1978). We operati<strong>on</strong>alize brand switching as switching from the<br />

favorite brand to another brand. The favorite brand is determined according to Guadagni<br />

and Little (1983) and Gupta (1988), as the brand with the largest exp<strong>on</strong>entially weighted<br />

average <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> past purchases. The weight parameter must be in the [0,1] interval. As the<br />

parameter is smaller, historic purchases are more important in determining the favorite<br />

brand. A high value for the parameter means that <strong>on</strong>ly a few historic purchases determine<br />

the favorite brand. This operati<strong>on</strong>alizati<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> brand loyalty enables us to vary the time<br />

range <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> historic purchase behavior that determines the favorite brand. Several sensitivity<br />

analyses c<strong>on</strong>cluded that the results are insensitive to small changes in the weight parameter<br />

(Ortmeyer 1985, Gupta 1988, and Lattin 1987). We use n<strong>on</strong>-promoti<strong>on</strong>al purchase data<br />

(purchases <strong>on</strong> shopping trips during which there were no promoti<strong>on</strong>s in the store or the<br />

available promoti<strong>on</strong>s were not utilized) to determine the favorite brand. Note that with this<br />

operati<strong>on</strong>alizati<strong>on</strong>, the favorite brand can change over time. We compare brand switch<br />

behavior in promoti<strong>on</strong>al situati<strong>on</strong>s (switch behavior from the favorite brand to another<br />

brand during promoti<strong>on</strong>al shopping trips) with base line brand switch behavior (switch<br />

94

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