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Analysis of Sales Promotion Effects on Household Purchase Behavior

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present for the favorite brand. The number 22.8 (being B<br />

e ) is therefore the minimum value<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the factor by which the odds change when a favorite brand is <strong>on</strong> promoti<strong>on</strong>. The odds<br />

ratio in this research is the quotient <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the probability that a household uses a promoti<strong>on</strong><br />

and the probability that the household does not use the promoti<strong>on</strong>. The probability <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

resp<strong>on</strong>se therefore increases to a very large amount when the brand <strong>on</strong> promoti<strong>on</strong> is the<br />

favorite <strong>on</strong>e. This supports the criticism from many practiti<strong>on</strong>ers and scientists that sales<br />

promoti<strong>on</strong>s have str<strong>on</strong>g effects, leading to peak sales, but that a big share <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> these extra<br />

sales comes from customers who would have bought the product anyway.<br />

The effects <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the different promoti<strong>on</strong> types have face validity. <str<strong>on</strong>g>Promoti<strong>on</strong></str<strong>on</strong>g>s with<br />

an ec<strong>on</strong>omic benefit attached to them have a bigger impact than promoti<strong>on</strong>s without an<br />

ec<strong>on</strong>omic benefit. The display and feature combined price-promoti<strong>on</strong>s have the biggest<br />

positive influence <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> all promoti<strong>on</strong> types. <str<strong>on</strong>g>Promoti<strong>on</strong></str<strong>on</strong>g>s for the favorite brand have a str<strong>on</strong>g<br />

positive influence, and the presence <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> other types <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> promoti<strong>on</strong>s decreases the influence <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

a promoti<strong>on</strong>. When the other promoti<strong>on</strong> is for a favorite brand, the negative effect even<br />

becomes larger.<br />

7.5.3 C<strong>on</strong>tributi<strong>on</strong>s <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the Study Regarding the Relati<strong>on</strong>ship between<br />

150<br />

<strong>Household</strong> (<strong>Purchase</strong>) Characteristics and <str<strong>on</strong>g>Promoti<strong>on</strong></str<strong>on</strong>g> Resp<strong>on</strong>se<br />

In the preceding secti<strong>on</strong>s, the drivers <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> promoti<strong>on</strong> resp<strong>on</strong>se have been investigated.<br />

Different household characteristics (demographics, psychographics, and purchase<br />

characteristics), identified to be possible drivers based <strong>on</strong> prior research, have been<br />

incorporated in a binary logistic regressi<strong>on</strong> model to estimate the influence <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> these<br />

variables. Table 7.22 c<strong>on</strong>tains all hypotheses empirically tested and the empirical findings.<br />

The most interesting findings will be summarized in this subsecti<strong>on</strong>. Most hypotheses have<br />

been empirically tested at two levels, at the general level (across all sales promoti<strong>on</strong>s) and<br />

distinguishing between in-store and out-<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>-store promoti<strong>on</strong>s. Some hypotheses are rejected<br />

when all promoti<strong>on</strong>s are taken into account, but are accepted at the specific level <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> in-store<br />

versus out-<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>-store promoti<strong>on</strong>s.

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