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Statistical Analysis of Trends in the Red River Over a 45 Year Period

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with those <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> non-parametric method and s<strong>in</strong>ce <strong>the</strong> non-parametric method tests<br />

for a s<strong>in</strong>gle l<strong>in</strong>ear trend we will exam<strong>in</strong>e <strong>the</strong> s<strong>in</strong>gle l<strong>in</strong>ear trends <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> parametric<br />

methods.<br />

For <strong>the</strong> constituents at <strong>the</strong> South Floodway monitor<strong>in</strong>g station, a no trend model<br />

was fitted for three constituents, dissolved sulphate, dissolved chloride and specific<br />

conductance. However, s<strong>in</strong>ce QWTREND has quite specific requirements as stated<br />

earlier, for <strong>the</strong> South Floodway at St. Norbert and Selkirk monitor<strong>in</strong>g stations <strong>the</strong><br />

only constituent with enough data for trend analysis is specific conductance. There<br />

was found to be a 34.9% significant <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> specific conductance from 1976-2007<br />

with a p-value < 0.001 and for <strong>the</strong> Selkirk monitor<strong>in</strong>g station <strong>the</strong>re was a 30.9%<br />

significant <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> concentration from 1976-2007 with a p-value < 0.001 as well.<br />

Both <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>se results contradicted <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>significant results obta<strong>in</strong>ed by us<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong><br />

non-parametric methods.<br />

38

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