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Statistical Analysis of Trends in the Red River Over a 45 Year Period

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Table 5.1: Comparison Results with respective p-values<br />

Station # Constituent Non-Parametric Parametric<br />

1. dissolved calcium < 0.001 n/a<br />

1. dissolved sodium < 0.001 < 0.001<br />

1. dissolved potassium < 0.001 < 0.001<br />

1. dissolved magnesium < 0.001 < 0.001<br />

1. dissolved sulphate < 0.001 n/a<br />

3. dissolved sulphate < 0.001 n/a<br />

1. dissolved chloride 0.330 0.001<br />

3. dissolved chloride < 0.001 n/a<br />

1. total dissolved solids < 0.001 < 0.001<br />

2. total dissolved solids 0.005 n/a<br />

3. total dissolved solids 0.003 n/a<br />

1. specific conductance < 0.001 0.001<br />

2. specific conductance 0.337 < 0.001<br />

3. specific conductance 0.424 < 0.001<br />

Figure 4.7 <strong>the</strong>re seems to be no visible trend. Ano<strong>the</strong>r commonality between <strong>the</strong><br />

methods, is that <strong>the</strong>re was only enough data from <strong>the</strong> Emerson station to be used<br />

for those constituents. Total dissolved solids was significant at <strong>the</strong> Emerson station<br />

us<strong>in</strong>g both methods, however <strong>the</strong> data from <strong>the</strong> South Floodway and Selkirk<br />

stations were too sparse to employ <strong>the</strong> parametric method. There are also some<br />

obvious differences. For example, us<strong>in</strong>g non-parametric techniques dissolved chloride<br />

concentrations at <strong>the</strong> Emerson monitor<strong>in</strong>g station did not exhibit a significant<br />

trend. Prelim<strong>in</strong>ary results suggest that this also is true for specific conductance at<br />

<strong>the</strong> South Floodway and Selkirk monitor<strong>in</strong>g stations. Us<strong>in</strong>g parametric techniques<br />

specific conductance at both stations had significant <strong>in</strong>creases which proves to be<br />

an <strong>in</strong>terest<strong>in</strong>g contradiction. Table 5.1 summarizes <strong>the</strong> comparisons <strong>of</strong> each method<br />

with <strong>the</strong>ir respective p-values.<br />

40

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