02.05.2014 Views

GCOS Implementation Plan - WMO

GCOS Implementation Plan - WMO

GCOS Implementation Plan - WMO

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

Create successful ePaper yourself

Turn your PDF publications into a flip-book with our unique Google optimized e-Paper software.

<strong>Implementation</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> for the Global Observing System for Climate in Support of the UNFCCC<br />

(2010 Update)<br />

Many of the current research satellite missions have demonstrated the potential of new instruments to<br />

better meet climate and other needs. Seeking effective means of maintaining long-term operation and<br />

continuity of these instruments will be critical to the achievement of this <strong>Plan</strong>. From this global<br />

foundation, higher-resolution comprehensive networks and analysis products enhance the<br />

observational resource and build functionality that allows for application on regional and national<br />

scales as appropriate.<br />

As previously discussed, the <strong>GCOS</strong> is being implemented primarily through the setting of climaterelevant<br />

standards and requirements for its main component observing systems, e.g., WIGOS,<br />

GOOS, GTOS, etc. Many of the networks and systems contributing to the <strong>GCOS</strong> or that could<br />

potentially contribute to it have been designed and operated to address other applications. Many of<br />

these can, however, serve as major contributors to <strong>GCOS</strong>, sometimes through straightforward,<br />

operational changes such as providing adequate metadata, ensuring that the instrument and<br />

observing platform or station operation follows the GCMPs, and/or by the systematic submission of<br />

data to the specified International Data Centres.<br />

Thus, the <strong>GCOS</strong> will require a composite of surface-based, sub-surface ocean, airborne in situ and<br />

remotely-sensed data, and satellite data and products in order to yield comprehensive information for<br />

all three domains (atmospheric, oceanic and terrestrial). It will also require data acquisition<br />

procedures following the GCMPs and data and information products available through internationallydesignated<br />

data and analysis centres. This integration often occurs on a variable-by-variable basis<br />

and on two broad time-frames. The first is real time or near-real time for monitoring and prediction<br />

purposes and for providing quality control and essential feedback to the observers and system<br />

operators. The second is the delayed mode, where historical data are also incorporated, usually as<br />

part of an analysis or as part of ongoing research on climate variability and change.<br />

Data assimilation is a technique that adds considerable value to global observing systems by<br />

combining heterogeneous sets of observations (e.g., in situ and remotely-sensed measurements) as<br />

well as using global numerical models to incorporate other ECVs into consistent analyses. These<br />

analyses recognise the inter-relationships between variables and the errors associated with each<br />

variable. Diagnostic data produced during the assimilation process provide information on the overall<br />

quality of the analyses, including information on model biases, and can be used to identify<br />

questionable data. At the same time, the production of more simple analyses from single-source data<br />

obeying the GCMPs remains critical to ensuring or confirming the reliability of conclusions regarding<br />

climate change over time.<br />

Information on many atmospheric ECVs could in principle be obtained by accumulating the analyses<br />

made each day to initiate numerical weather forecasts. However, the data assimilation systems used<br />

in routine numerical forecasting are subject to frequent change as they are continually improved. This<br />

introduces inhomogeneities in the analyses that limit their usefulness for studies of interannual and<br />

longer-term variations in climate. To overcome this situation, programmes of atmospheric reanalysis<br />

have been established mainly in Europe, Japan, and the USA using modern stable data assimilation<br />

systems to reprocess all the available observations taken over the past several decades. Such<br />

reanalysis products have found application in studies of climate, of basic atmospheric processes, and<br />

of ocean-model initialisation and forcing. The extension of the reanalysis concept more fully to the<br />

oceanic and terrestrial domains and to coupled atmosphere-ocean models and eventually to fully<br />

coupled atmosphere-ocean-terrestrial models will be major steps in global climate monitoring. Another<br />

dimension of the integrated approach is the extension of the climate record through the blending of<br />

data from proxy reconstructions of past climates, using tree rings, sediment cores, ice cores, etc., with<br />

the instrumental records of the last two centuries. The production of an accurate record of the current<br />

global climate will assist enormously in the interpretation of the past record.<br />

2.6. Building Capacity<br />

The need for Parties to improve the global observing system for climate in developing countries has<br />

been a common theme in the considerations by SBSTA on systematic observation. There are many<br />

ways that systems can be improved, including through assistance by developed country agencies to<br />

organizations and personnel from developing countries, the donation of equipment, the training of<br />

personnel, etc. The building of capacity to utilise data and to ensure that all countries fully benefit from<br />

the <strong>GCOS</strong> also needs to accompany this strengthening of observation activities. The <strong>GCOS</strong> Regional<br />

Workshop Programme, noted in section 3.1.2 below, constituted a major effort that the <strong>GCOS</strong><br />

25

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!