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GCOS Implementation Plan - WMO

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<strong>Implementation</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> for the Global Observing System for Climate in Support of the UNFCCC<br />

(2010 Update)<br />

in place for climate will also support global weather prediction, global and coastal ocean prediction,<br />

and marine environmental monitoring, and thus merits sustained funding from a range of sources.<br />

At the same time, despite this useful recent progress, ocean observing networks, their associated<br />

infrastructure and analysis systems are not adequate to meet the specific needs of the UNFCCC for<br />

most climate variables and in most regions of the planet, and particularly the Southern Hemisphere.<br />

There is a pressing need to obtain global coverage using proven observing technologies, to establish<br />

telecommunications and data management infrastructure, and to enhance ocean analysis and<br />

reanalysis capacity. There is a further need to work with relevant bodies to try to combat the<br />

intentional and unintentional damage (fishing activities, vandalism, piracy) that observation networks<br />

are subject to, especially in the tropical basins.<br />

This updated <strong>Plan</strong>, as did IP-04, endorses the approach of the ocean community in adopting a<br />

composite and integrated system for observing the essential climate variables required by the<br />

UNFCCC. This composite global ocean observing system makes best use of a mix of proven remote<br />

and in situ technologies and optimizes the contributions from existing observing assets and<br />

deployment opportunities for both global surface and sub-surface variables. It also builds on the<br />

mechanisms established to foster more effective international collaboration, and the demonstration of<br />

capabilities to generate oceanic climate products as well as the development of new technologies.<br />

Not all of the oceanic ECVs can yet be cost-effectively observed globally on the desired space and<br />

time scales with existing technology. For this reason, ocean reference network activities are important<br />

for the collection of data on these ECVs and a wider range of variables and also for the most accurate<br />

estimation and validation of trends for climate change attribution.<br />

The sampling strategy of the initial ocean observing system for climate will evolve as more is learned<br />

about the scales that need to be resolved, as technology is improved and as experience is gained<br />

from users working with ocean climate products. Ocean analysis and reanalysis activities, which may<br />

involve conventional analyses of integrated datasets (satellite and in situ) as well as ocean data<br />

assimilation techniques are critical to realize the value of these composite networks, and address the<br />

objectives of the global observing system for climate and the UNFCCC.<br />

The global ocean provides an important context for the interpretation and prediction of regional and<br />

coastal ocean variability. There are particular challenges both in terms of monitoring and forecasting<br />

and in terms of testing and improving regional climate projections. Variability in the global ocean<br />

affects coastal regions in many different ways; without knowledge of the global ocean it can be<br />

impossible to interpret regional information properly or to select appropriate national responses. The<br />

fact that coastal regions are particularly vulnerable to changes in sea level and/or changes in wave<br />

climates also influences the Actions called for here. The emergence of the GOOS Coastal Ocean<br />

Observing System programme provides a systematic pathway for both consideration of climate<br />

requirements and implementation in coastal waters. In addition to observing the physical ocean<br />

variables, it is critical at selected sites to have observations of marine biodiversity and habitat<br />

properties as these are important to both support the sustainable use of ocean resources and<br />

monitoring the impacts that climate change and other environmental changes may produce. The<br />

coastal and global ocean observing systems must develop together for each to deliver value most<br />

effectively to the Parties.<br />

Attaining and sustaining global coverage is the most significant challenge for the oceanic climate<br />

observing system. This challenge will only be met through national commitments to the global<br />

implementation and maintenance effort and with international coordination provided by JCOMM and<br />

other relevant bodies.<br />

Ocean Data Analysis<br />

Ocean reanalyses of the time-varying ocean circulation are necessary to provide dynamicallyconstrained<br />

syntheses of ocean temperature, salinity, currents and sea level observations and to<br />

explore the relationship between the physical ocean state with ecosystems and biochemical variability<br />

and change. Ocean analysis, reanalysis/state estimation and ocean data assimilation and forecasting<br />

systems are underway in a number of nations. Enhancement and coordination of the suite of these<br />

efforts, needed to meet the specific needs of the UNFCCC, started under the WCRP Climate<br />

Variability and Predictability Project (CLIVAR)/GODAE umbrella. Some of the efforts began to provide<br />

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