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Important point<br />
The calculated number of large ruminants<br />
is the maximum number they<br />
can have if all the zones are managed<br />
with the maximum number of livestock<br />
unit. The income from the livestock is<br />
calculated with this number, so often<br />
the income is over-estimated.<br />
2.<br />
Engaging the discussion with<br />
the village land management<br />
committee<br />
The discussion with the members of the VLMC can be fed by<br />
the following indicators:<br />
1. Compare the number of labour force needed for the<br />
PLUP and the number of labour force in the village that<br />
is expected in 5 and 10 years (available population<br />
trend assessment). Often the number of labour force<br />
needed to implement the plan is higher than the number<br />
of labour force the village will have in 10 years:<br />
The aim of the next round of zoning is to make a more<br />
realistic plan by reducing the gap between these required<br />
and available labour force. Explanations about<br />
how the result is generated also force the villagers to<br />
think about the quality of the information they provided<br />
as input to the simulation (rotation period, number of<br />
labour force...).<br />
2. Look at the number of big livestock they can have with<br />
this plan, if it is lower than the number they have nowadays,<br />
warn them.<br />
3. On the top right of the sheet, look at the cell “Number<br />
of labour force who can be fed with the rice they grow<br />
under this land use plan”. Compare this number with<br />
the current labour force. Rice self-sufficiency cannot<br />
be reached under the simulated plan, then the cell appears<br />
coloured in orange, if not this one is green. Rice<br />
sufficiency may then be discussed with members of the<br />
VLMC.<br />
TOOLBOX 5 Scenario analyses with Excel spreadsheets<br />
63