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Monthly Bulletin July 2009 - Banque de France

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EURO AREA<br />

STATISTICS<br />

Government<br />

finance<br />

6.5 Quarterly <strong>de</strong>bt and change in <strong>de</strong>bt 1)<br />

(as a percentage of GDP)<br />

1. Euro area _ Maastricht <strong>de</strong>bt by financial instrument 2)<br />

Total Financial instruments<br />

Currency and <strong>de</strong>posits Loans Short-term securities Long-term securities<br />

1 2 3 4 5<br />

2006 Q1 70.3 2.5 11.7 4.9 51.2<br />

Q2 70.3 2.5 11.6 4.8 51.4<br />

Q3 69.8 2.5 11.6 4.7 51.0<br />

Q4 68.2 2.4 11.4 4.1 50.3<br />

2007 Q1 68.5 2.4 11.4 4.8 49.9<br />

Q2 68.6 2.2 11.1 5.1 50.3<br />

Q3 67.7 2.1 11.0 5.1 49.4<br />

Q4 66.0 2.2 10.8 4.2 48.8<br />

2008 Q1 66.8 2.1 11.0 5.0 48.8<br />

Q2 67.1 2.1 11.0 4.9 49.1<br />

Q3 67.1 2.1 10.8 5.5 48.6<br />

Q4 69.3 2.3 10.8 6.7 49.5<br />

2. Euro area _ <strong>de</strong>ficit-<strong>de</strong>bt adjustment<br />

Change in Deficit (-)/ Deficit-<strong>de</strong>bt adjustment Memo:<br />

<strong>de</strong>bt surplus (+) Borrowing<br />

Total Transactions in main financial assets held by general government Valuation effects Other requirement<br />

and other changes<br />

Total Currency Loans Securities Shares and in volume<br />

and <strong>de</strong>posits<br />

other equity<br />

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11<br />

2006 Q1 4.9 -2.9 2.0 1.3 1.1 0.1 0.6 -0.4 -0.4 1.1 5.2<br />

Q2 3.2 0.1 3.3 3.3 2.6 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.6 -0.6 2.6<br />

Q3 1.2 -1.6 -0.3 -0.9 -0.7 -0.2 0.2 -0.2 0.3 0.3 1.0<br />

Q4 -2.9 -0.9 -3.8 -2.4 -1.5 -0.5 -0.2 -0.2 -0.2 -1.3 -2.8<br />

2007 Q1 4.9 -2.1 2.8 1.9 1.0 0.0 0.7 0.2 -0.2 1.1 5.1<br />

Q2 3.7 1.2 4.9 4.9 4.0 0.0 0.6 0.3 0.2 -0.2 3.5<br />

Q3 -0.5 -1.3 -1.7 -1.7 -2.1 0.1 0.4 -0.1 0.1 -0.1 -0.5<br />

Q4 -3.5 -0.5 -3.9 -2.9 -2.0 -0.1 -0.6 -0.3 -0.1 -0.9 -3.4<br />

2008 Q1 6.0 -2.5 3.5 3.2 2.1 -0.1 0.9 0.4 -0.1 0.4 6.1<br />

Q2 3.7 -0.1 3.7 3.6 2.0 0.2 1.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 3.7<br />

Q3 2.1 -2.3 -0.2 -0.9 -1.6 -0.1 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.2 1.6<br />

Q4 9.3 -2.8 6.5 6.5 0.6 3.4 0.8 1.8 0.0 -0.1 9.3<br />

C29 Deficit, borrowing requirement and change in <strong>de</strong>bt<br />

(four-quarter moving sum as a percentage of GDP)<br />

C30 Maastricht <strong>de</strong>bt<br />

(annual change in the <strong>de</strong>bt to GDP ratio and un<strong>de</strong>rlying factors)<br />

6.0<br />

<strong>de</strong>ficit<br />

change in <strong>de</strong>bt<br />

borrowing requirement<br />

6.0<br />

5.0<br />

<strong>de</strong>ficit-<strong>de</strong>bt adjustment<br />

primary <strong>de</strong>ficit/surplus<br />

growth/interest rate differential<br />

change in <strong>de</strong>bt to GDP ratio<br />

5.0<br />

5.0<br />

5.0<br />

4.0<br />

3.0<br />

4.0<br />

3.0<br />

4.0<br />

4.0<br />

2.0<br />

2.0<br />

3.0<br />

3.0<br />

1.0<br />

0.0<br />

1.0<br />

0.0<br />

2.0<br />

2.0<br />

-1.0<br />

-1.0<br />

1.0<br />

1.0<br />

-2.0<br />

-3.0<br />

-2.0<br />

-3.0<br />

0.0<br />

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008<br />

0.0<br />

-4.0<br />

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008<br />

-4.0<br />

Source: ECB calculations based on Eurostat and national data.<br />

1) The data refer to the Euro 16.<br />

2) The stock data in quarter t are expressed as a percentage of the sum of GDP in t and the previous three quarters.<br />

ECB<br />

<strong>Monthly</strong> <strong>Bulletin</strong><br />

<strong>July</strong> <strong>2009</strong>S 59

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