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East Asia and Western Pacific METEOROLOGY AND CLIMATE

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106<br />

I . INTRODUCTION<br />

The structure of the <strong>East</strong> <strong>Asia</strong>n summer monsoon regime is of<br />

primary importance to the rainfall during rainy season of China. Tao<br />

<strong>and</strong> Chen(1987) considered,, as far as the low leyel is concerned, the<br />

Australian high to be the key component system of the <strong>East</strong> <strong>Asia</strong>n summer<br />

monsoon regime <strong>and</strong> excluded the Mascarene high from it. In this paper<br />

it is argued that the key components should be the Mascarene high <strong>and</strong><br />

the NW <strong>Pacific</strong> high. A new schematic model of the summer monsoon regime<br />

is then proposed.<br />

The periodic variation of the atmospheric circulation with time<br />

scales larger than a week at middle latitudes, namely, the cyclic<br />

change of the westerlies index, has been described as early as in<br />

forties (Starr 1942, Namias 1947). But for low latitudes, it was not<br />

until the seventies, the 40-50 day oscillations of sea level pressure<br />

<strong>and</strong> wind over the equatorial region was firstly noticed (Madden <strong>and</strong><br />

Julian 1971,1972). Thenceforth, many investigations have been<br />

undertaken (e.g. Krishnamurti et. al., 1976, 1982/ 1985; Yasumari,<br />

1980, 1981^Murakami <strong>and</strong> Nakazawa, 1985, <strong>and</strong> Lorence 1984). All these<br />

investigations were mainly based on spectral analsis. This paper is<br />

involved in investigating the substantial variations in intensity<br />

<strong>and</strong>/or position of the circulation systems in low latitudes, such as<br />

the equatorial westerlies, cross-equatorial currents, the NW <strong>Pacific</strong><br />

subtropical high, the Mascarene high <strong>and</strong> the Australian high. The<br />

teleconnection between the variations of circulation systems over the<br />

South Indian Ocean <strong>and</strong> the Northwest <strong>Pacific</strong> Ocean <strong>and</strong> its physical<br />

processes are elucidated.<br />

In order to verify the above findings, a global speatral<br />

general circulation model is used to demonstrate the influence of<br />

intensity changes of the Mascarene high on the variations of the<br />

atmospheric general circulation. It is found that the experiaent<br />

results are quite consistent with the observations. Further, an<br />

anomalous intensification of Mascarene high will also have a<br />

substantial contribution to the development of global low frequency<br />

fluctuations of atmosphere. Three wave trains can be found, one in the<br />

Sounthern Hemisphere <strong>and</strong> two in the Northern Hemisphere.<br />

II. OBSERVATIONAL STUDY<br />

(1) Structure of the Summer Monsoon Regime<br />

The monsoon study is generally focused on the seasonal<br />

variation of the low layer winds. But its activity should be considered<br />

in accordance with two factors, the prevailing air currents <strong>and</strong> the<br />

thermal properties of the air. In other words, the source regions<br />

should be considered.<br />

The summer monsoon of China usually develops at its culmination<br />

in July each year. The monsoon currents penetrating into China can be<br />

either the tropical maritime air from the NW <strong>Pacific</strong> Ocean or the one<br />

from the southern Indian Ocean, passing over the Bay of Bengal. So the<br />

monsoon can be southeasterly winds or southwesterly winds as shown in<br />

Fig.Cl), <strong>and</strong> Fig.(2) protrays several air trajectories at the 850 hpa

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