East Asia and Western Pacific METEOROLOGY AND CLIMATE

360
TABLE 1. COMPARISONS OF THE CORRELATION BETWEEN
OBSERVATIONS AND PREDICTIONS AS WELL AS PERSISTENCES
OF MONTHLY PREDICTION
CASES
Nov. -Dec. , 1976
Dec., 1976
-Jan., 1977
Jan. -Feb. ,1977
Feb. -Mar. ,1977
j Nov. -Dec. ,1982
Dec. ,1982
-Jan. ,1983
Jan. -Feb., 1983
Feb. -Mar. ,1983
AVERAGE
stants for the j
A
T'
0.42
0.41
0.56
0.59
0.60
0.48
0.44
0.62
0.52
I
B
0.39
0.19
0.25
0.31
0.47
0.56
0.51
0.56
0.41
predict:ion ar
700 1: iPa
A
0.28
0.48
0.61
0.27
0.26
0.27
0.17
0.51
0.35
B
-0. 15
0 . 38
0.47
-0.14
0.20
0.35
0.61
0.44
0.27
500 1iPa
id B is3 the I>ersis1:ences
A
0.31
0.58
0.70
0.32
0.34
0.23
0.40
0.47
0.42
B
-0.10
0.01
0.53
-0.12
0.42
0.12
0.58
0.22
0.21
1
A
300 hPa
fl "
0.27
0.64
-0.17
0.28
0.66 0.42
0.38 0.15
0.16 0.15
0.33 0.38
0.21 0.36
0.53 0.46
0.40 0.25
TABLE 2. COMPARISONS OF THE CORRELATION BETWEEN OBSERVATIONS
AND SEASIONAL PREDICTIONS OR PERSISTEN
CASES
Nov. ,1976
-Feb., 1977
Dec. ,1976
-Mar. ,1983
Nov., 1982
-Feb., 1983
Dec. ,1982
-Mar. ,1983
A
0.46
0.36
0.15
0.45
*}["
i
B
0.39
0.02
0.15
0.44
700 * iPa
A
0.58
0.16
-0.03
0.36
B
-0.17
-0.10
0.18
0.31
500
A
0.74
0.29
-0.09
0.40
hPa
B
-0.13
-0.05
0.06
0.39
300
A
0.76
0.34
-0.09
0.48
hPa
B
-0.03
0.07
-0.27
0.41
AVERAGE 0.36| 0.25| 0.28|0.06| 0.34] 0.07J 0.38] 0.05