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East Asia and Western Pacific METEOROLOGY AND CLIMATE

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387<br />

exp<strong>and</strong>s, more <strong>and</strong> more interactions in the various components<br />

of the earth system become important. There is a hierarchy of<br />

time scales leading to a hierarchy of complexities. It is a<br />

strong challenge for earth scientists to underst<strong>and</strong> the<br />

various complexities of major physical processes that<br />

contribute to the climate changes in the proper corresponding<br />

time scales. How can we build these processes in climate<br />

models to predict future climate changes One key step is to<br />

underst<strong>and</strong> the air-sea interactive processes that determine<br />

the flux fields on the time scales of interest.<br />

II.<br />

The <strong>Western</strong> <strong>Pacific</strong> Ocean<br />

The <strong>Pacific</strong> Ocean is our largest ocean basin. Observational<br />

data <strong>and</strong> modeling results point to the <strong>Pacific</strong> Ocean as the<br />

dominant basin in terms of driving the high-frequency side of<br />

climate changes, i.e., in the TOGA El Nino/Southern<br />

Oscillation (ENSO) signal domain. In addition to the huge<br />

area <strong>and</strong> strong boundary current, the Kuroshio, there are many<br />

physical features in the Tropic <strong>Pacific</strong>, especially in the<br />

<strong>Western</strong> <strong>Pacific</strong> that are extremely important to climate<br />

changes. These features are:<br />

o<br />

o<br />

o<br />

o<br />

o<br />

o<br />

o<br />

The huge warmest water pool in the world ocean;<br />

The deepest thermoline in the tropical oceans;<br />

A transient zone between the monsoon system <strong>and</strong><br />

the trade winds;<br />

A region of strong atmospheric convections closely<br />

correlated with a warm water pool;<br />

A region of high variations of the Intertropic<br />

Convergence Zone <strong>and</strong> the Southern <strong>Pacific</strong> Convergence<br />

Zone;<br />

The rendezvous area of the South Equatorial Current<br />

<strong>and</strong> the North Equatorial Current <strong>and</strong> the Origin of the<br />

North Equatorial Counter-Current, the South Equatorial<br />

Counter-Current <strong>and</strong> Equatorial Under Current; <strong>and</strong>,<br />

The source region of forcing, for equatorial large<br />

scale waves, oceanic large scale, low frequency waves<br />

along the equatorial wave guide.<br />

III. The TOGA Program<br />

The TOGA program is a major component of the<br />

WCRP aimed

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