East Asia and Western Pacific METEOROLOGY AND CLIMATE

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simulate the partly cloudy condition of the day. A control run using
overcast sky conditions to contrast the difference were also made. As
before, the time series
of the actual observation (ACTUAL), the full
simulation (MODEL) and the control (M-CLOUDY) are plotted in Fig. 3a,
3b and 3c. The root mean square errors are listed in table 2 below.
Fig. 3. Validation of Temperature Forecastt at (A) the Royal Observatory Kong (R.O.);
FIG. 3b CASE 2 - MACAU
a MOtm. * Acnwa- HOU " <
Table 2
RO GZ Macau M-CLOUDY
24 hr RMS error 2.0 3.0 2.4 2.8
bias 1.5 2.9 2.3 -0.7
std. dev. 1.3 0.8 0.4 2.7
1st 12 hr RMS error 0.8 3.3 2.6 3.4
bias 0.5 3.1 2.6 -2.9
std. dev 0.7 1.1 0.3 1.7