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East Asia and Western Pacific METEOROLOGY AND CLIMATE

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446<br />

there is only a minor difference among these four grids. For grid A<br />

(381km), the maximum value of RC is larger than that of RL, while for<br />

grid D (47.625km) the value of RL is much larger than that of RC <strong>and</strong><br />

approaches the maximum amount of RT. The contribution of the two kinds<br />

of condensation to total<br />

precipitation can be presented<br />

by the areal mean<br />

values of RT, RL <strong>and</strong> RC.<br />

The proportion of RL in<br />

RT increases with the<br />

increase of resolution. It<br />

is about 38% for the<br />

381km grid <strong>and</strong> increases<br />

up to 90% for the<br />

47.625km grid. On the<br />

contrary, the proportion<br />

of RC in RT decreases as<br />

the resolution increases.<br />

It is about 62% for the<br />

381km <strong>and</strong> only 10% for<br />

the 47.625km grid. This<br />

is identified by the<br />

24-hour forecasts of RT,<br />

RL <strong>and</strong> RC predicted by<br />

the grid A <strong>and</strong> D(Fig.5).<br />

For the 47.625km grid,<br />

the distribution of RT<br />

almost coincides with<br />

that of RL. But the<br />

distribution of RT predicted<br />

by the 381km grid<br />

is similar to that of RC<br />

rather than that of RL. Fig.4. Maximum(top) <strong>and</strong> areal mean(bottorn)<br />

amounts of RT, RC <strong>and</strong> RC<br />

predicted by grid A, B, C <strong>and</strong> D.<br />

V. Summary<br />

1. The operational limited area model used at BMC is fairly simple.<br />

But the operational results show that (1) the model is stable <strong>and</strong> a<br />

continuous service can be provided <strong>and</strong> (2) the model has some merits in<br />

forecasting the movement <strong>and</strong> development of some synoptic scale<br />

systems, such as front, cyclone, vortex <strong>and</strong> the associated precipitation.<br />

2. The precipitation forecast is effectively improved, in terms of both<br />

rainfall area <strong>and</strong> amount by increasing the horizontal resolution.<br />

3. The relative contribution of covective condensation, computed by<br />

Kuo's scheme, in fine mesh grid models is not as much as in coarse grid<br />

models. The grid scale condensation dominates in the total precipitation<br />

when the resolution is high enough (less than 50km ).

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