FOI-R--3990--SE_reducerad
FOI-R--3990--SE_reducerad
FOI-R--3990--SE_reducerad
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<strong>FOI</strong>-R--<strong>3990</strong>--<strong>SE</strong><br />
only. He said that even in the case of market liberalization, the Latvian choice<br />
would be “to buy from Gazprom or to buy from Gazprom until 2017”. 348<br />
The centrepiece of the discussion about reducing Latvia’s dependence on<br />
Gazprom is the question of whether there are genuine alternative natural gas<br />
supplies. The most popular argument for opponents of gas market reform is that<br />
Latvia should not tease Gazprom with theoretical liberalization, and then be<br />
forced to accept higher gas prices and international litigation because there are no<br />
alternative suppliers in the near future. 349 Gazprom has already made unofficial<br />
hints that it could take legal action against Latvia if necessary. 350 However,<br />
Lithuania has a different position: it is working hard to create alternative<br />
solutions by constructing an LNG terminal LNGT in Klaipeda. 351<br />
The Latvian government has stated that its priority is a common regional LNG<br />
terminal for the Baltic states, which would be co-financed by the European<br />
Commission. Strategically, the LNG terminal project aims to start importing<br />
LNG from other countries, which would end Gazprom’s monopoly on natural<br />
gas deliveries to the Baltic states. 352 However, the Lithuanian government was<br />
not prepared to wait for the construction of the regional terminal and launched its<br />
own local project. At first, Latvia tried to persuade its neighbours to build a<br />
common LNG terminal in Latvia, but this attempt failed in large part due to a<br />
lack of confidence in Lithuania and Estonia, which believe that Latvia has<br />
traditionally succumbed to Gazprom’s lobby. 353<br />
Thus far, the Baltic countries have failed to reach an agreement on the location<br />
for a common LNG terminal. The European Commission had to step in as an<br />
arbitrator. EU involvement should help to base the decision on an assessment of<br />
the project’s economically viability. Itera Latvia has hinted about its desire to<br />
participate in the construction of the terminal, but it is clear that this proposal<br />
would not be supported by any of the Baltic states. The chief of Itera Latvia,<br />
Juris Savickis, has said that the terminal project is of interest to a group of likeminded<br />
individuals, which includes Savickis but not Gazprom or Itera. Such a<br />
group of like-minded people, however, would not escape suspicion of Russian<br />
involvement in the project.<br />
348 See “Dombrovskis: Liberalisation of natural gas market is geopolitical issue”, LETA, 4 March,<br />
2013, available at http://financenet.tvnet.lv/viedokli/455800-<br />
premjers_gazes_tirgus_liberalizacija_ir_geopolitisks_jautajums.<br />
349 Brauna A. (2014): “Gas market. Is it really opened”, IR, 2-8 January 2014, pp.18–20.<br />
350 Ibid.<br />
351 See “Lithuanian President: Klaipeda LNG Terminal to Be Launched by End of 2014”, LNG World<br />
News, 5 November 2013, http://www.lngworldnews.com/lithuanian-president-klaipeda-lng-terminalto-be-launched-by-end-of-2014/#.UtuSLrSxXIU.<br />
352 See “Dombrovskis: Liberalisation of natural gas market is geopolitical issue”, LETA, 4 March,<br />
2013, available at http://financenet.tvnet.lv/viedokli/455800-<br />
premjers_gazes_tirgus_liberalizacija_ir_geopolitisks_jautajums.<br />
353 Brauna A. (2014): op. cit.<br />
109