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State of World Population 2012 - Country Page List - UNFPA

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CHAPTER<br />

TWO<br />

Analysing data and trends to<br />

understand the needs<br />

Global trends in fertility<br />

Last year, the world’s population surpassed 7 billion and it is projected to reach<br />

9 billion by 2050. <strong>Population</strong> growth is generally highest in the poorest countries,<br />

where fertility preferences are the highest, where governments lack the resources to<br />

meet the increasing demand for services and infrastructure, where jobs growth is<br />

not keeping pace with the number <strong>of</strong> new entrants into the labour force, and<br />

where many population groups face great difficulty in accessing family planning<br />

information and services (<strong>Population</strong> Reference Bureau, 2011; <strong>UNFPA</strong>, 2011b).<br />

t<br />

In Mali, a couple<br />

with their sons.<br />

©Panos/Giacomo<br />

Pirozzi<br />

<strong>World</strong>wide, birth rates have continued to decline<br />

slowly. However, large disparities exist between<br />

more developed and less developed regions. This<br />

is particularly true for sub-Saharan Africa, where<br />

women give birth to three times as many children<br />

on average as women<br />

in more developed regions<br />

<strong>of</strong> the world (5.1 versus<br />

1.7 births per woman).<br />

A large part <strong>of</strong> this difference<br />

reflects a desire<br />

for larger families in sub-<br />

Saharan Africa, but as<br />

most women in this region<br />

now want to have fewer<br />

children (West<strong>of</strong>f and<br />

Bankole, 2002), fertility<br />

differences increasingly<br />

reveal limited and unequal access in the<br />

developing world to the means to prevent<br />

unintended pregnancy.<br />

Fertility rates<br />

Poverty, gender inequality and social<br />

pressures are all reasons for persistent high<br />

fertility. But in nearly all <strong>of</strong> the least-developed<br />

countries, lack <strong>of</strong> access to voluntary family<br />

planning is a major contributing factor.<br />

Who is using family<br />

planning<br />

The use <strong>of</strong> modern family<br />

planning methods as measured<br />

by the contraceptive prevalence<br />

rate has increased globally at<br />

a very modest pace <strong>of</strong> 0.1 per<br />

cent per year in recent years,<br />

more slowly than in the previous<br />

decade (United Nations,<br />

Department <strong>of</strong> Economic<br />

and Social Affairs, 2011). The<br />

modest increase is partially a function <strong>of</strong> the<br />

large increase in the numbers <strong>of</strong> married women<br />

<strong>of</strong> reproductive age—a 25 per cent increase<br />

Total fertility rate<br />

(births per woman)<br />

<strong>World</strong>................................................ 2.5<br />

More Developed............................. 1.7<br />

Less Developed.............................. 2.8<br />

Least Developed............................ 4.5<br />

Sub-Saharan Africa....................... 5.1<br />

Source: United Nations, 2011a.<br />

THE STATE OF WORLD POPULATION <strong>2012</strong><br />

17

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