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FORM 20-F Grupo Casa Saba, S.A.B. de C.V.

FORM 20-F Grupo Casa Saba, S.A.B. de C.V.

FORM 20-F Grupo Casa Saba, S.A.B. de C.V.

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Table of Contents<br />

Inflation and Interest Rates<br />

Through the end of <strong>20</strong>07, Bulletin B-10, “Recognition of the impact of inflation on the financial information (integrated document)” required us to recognize certain<br />

effects of inflation in our consolidated financial statements, including the requirement to restate financial statements from prior periods to constant pesos as of the end of the most<br />

recent period presented. The method of restatement required us to calculate a restatement factor using a weighted average rate based upon the Mexican National Consumer Price In<strong>de</strong>x,<br />

or NCPI. The recognition of the effects of inflation through December 31, <strong>20</strong>07 principally resulted in the recognition of gains and losses for inflation on monetary and non-monetary<br />

items, which were presented in the financial statements. See Note 3 to our consolidated financial statements.<br />

Effective January 1, <strong>20</strong>08, FRS B-10, “Impact of inflation”, no longer requires us to recognize the effects of inflation unless the economic environment qualifies as<br />

“inflationary”. An economic environment is consi<strong>de</strong>red inflationary if the cumulative inflation rate equals or exceeds an aggregate of 26% over the three preceding years (equivalent to<br />

an average of 8% in each year). Because of the relatively low level of inflation in Mexico in recent years (3.8% in <strong>20</strong>11, 4.4% in <strong>20</strong>10, 3.6% in <strong>20</strong>09 and 6.5% in <strong>20</strong>08), the cumulative<br />

inflation rate in Mexico over the three-year period preceding December 31, <strong>20</strong>10 does not qualify the economic environment as inflationary. Moreover, the economic environment in the<br />

other countries where we operate does not qualify as inflationary. Additionally, based on current forecasts, we do not expect the economic environment of Mexico or any other country<br />

where we operate to qualify as inflationary in <strong>20</strong>12. These expectations could change <strong>de</strong>pending on actual economic performance.<br />

As a result, the Group has not recognized the impact of inflation effective January 1, <strong>20</strong>08, due to the non-inflationary economic environment existing in Mexico, Chile<br />

and Brazil. Consequently, the amounts in our statements of income and cash flows are presented in nominal Mexican pesos. Financial information for dates and periods prior to<br />

January 1, <strong>20</strong>08 continue to be expressed in constant Pesos as of December 31, <strong>20</strong>07, in accordance with Mexican FRS. The impact of inflation accounting un<strong>de</strong>r Mexican FRS has not<br />

been reversed in our reconciliation to U.S. GAAP. See Notes 22 and 23 to our audited consolidated financial statements.<br />

In recent years, Mexico has experienced lower levels of inflation than in the past. The rate of inflation on an annualized basis, as measured by changes in NCPI, was<br />

3.6% for <strong>20</strong>09, 4.4% for <strong>20</strong>10, and 3.8% in <strong>20</strong>11. High inflation rates can adversely affect our business and our results of operations by adversely affecting consumer purchasing power,<br />

thereby adversely lowering the <strong>de</strong>mand for the products that we distribute. In addition, to the extent that inflation exceeds our price increases or to the extent that we do not increase<br />

our prices, high inflation rates can adversely affect our revenues by adversely affecting our prices in “real” terms.<br />

Mexico has had, and is expected to continue to have, competitive nominal interest rates. The interest rates on 28-day Mexican government treasury bonds averaged<br />

approximately 5.4%, 4.40% and 4.2% for <strong>20</strong>09, <strong>20</strong>10 and <strong>20</strong>11, respectively. In the first quarter of <strong>20</strong>12, the 28-day Mexican CETES averaged 4.2%.<br />

Brazil and, to a lesser extent, Chile have historically had high inflation and interest rates. The impact of high inflation rates and high interest could have adverse<br />

effects in our operations in these countries. Consumer <strong>de</strong>mand could <strong>de</strong>crease as purchasing power <strong>de</strong>clines and access to the respective credit markets could become more difficult<br />

and at high interest rates.<br />

Currency Fluctuations<br />

As a result of our recent acquisition in Chile, we have incurred <strong>de</strong>bt that is <strong>de</strong>nominated in several foreign currencies. Therefore, we could be adversely affected by<br />

<strong>de</strong>creases in the value of the Peso against the respective currency, which would most likely result in net foreign exchange losses. Nevertheless, a significant portion of our revenues are<br />

and will continue to be Peso-<strong>de</strong>nominated.<br />

A portion of the <strong>de</strong>bt is U.S. dollar <strong>de</strong>nominated. Based on the change in the Noon Buying Rate as reported by the Board of Governors of the U.S. Fe<strong>de</strong>ral Reserve<br />

Bank of New York, the Mexican Peso <strong>de</strong>preciated by approximately 12.7% against the U.S. Dollar in <strong>20</strong>11 to reach $13.98 pesos per dollar. During the first quarter of <strong>20</strong>12, the Peso<br />

regained some ground, appreciating 8.4% against the U.S. Dollar to reach $12.81 pesos per dollar. Any future <strong>de</strong>preciation of the Peso could result in price increases from our suppliers,<br />

which in turn could impact the purchasing capacity of the final consumers, and cause a reduction in our net sales.<br />

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