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REGIONAL COOPERATION AND ECONOMIC INTEGRATION

REGIONAL COOPERATION AND ECONOMIC INTEGRATION

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Along with the variables described above, we include the agglomeration effect. Various<br />

empirical studies present evidence on the presence and importance of the self-reinforcing<br />

effect of foreign investment. Agglomeration economies emerge when there are some<br />

positive externalities by collocating near other economic units due to the presence of<br />

knowledge spillovers, specialized labour markets and supplier network. Once agglomeration<br />

economies set in, there will be a snow balling effect of FDI inflows in successful countries<br />

(Kinoshita, Y. and Campos, N.F., 2002)<br />

The experiences of the earlier EU enlargements demonstrate that economic integration<br />

can contribute significantly to an increase of FDI inflows (Zakharov, V. and Kusic, S.<br />

2003).In our model we add a dummy variable-EU accession negotiations which serves as a<br />

proxy for the EU accession effect on FDI. We hypothesize that the EU candidate countries<br />

with started formal EU accession negotiations will attract more FDI than those countries<br />

that have only candidate status.<br />

3. Econometric models and results<br />

FDI FLOWS IN SOUTH EASTERN EUROPE<br />

The objective of this section is to specify an econometric model for estimating the impact<br />

of investment climate and the EU accession on the growth of FDI in the EU candidate<br />

countries.<br />

One possible approach is to estimate a gravity model. This model has proved very successful<br />

in estimating trade flows and has been used by some authors for estimation of the effect<br />

of EU integration on FDI flows (Brenton et.al, 1999 and Egger, P. and Pfaffermayr, M.,<br />

2004).<br />

To test the impact of the EU accession on FDI stock per capita in the EU candidate countries,<br />

it is important that we control for the other determinants of FDI. Based on a sample of 27<br />

observations (9 years x 3 countries), we employ the following five model specifications,<br />

where model (1) is our benchmark model:<br />

whereas:<br />

t -a particular year (t=1,2,...9) in the period 1999-2007;<br />

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