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REGIONAL COOPERATION AND ECONOMIC INTEGRATION

REGIONAL COOPERATION AND ECONOMIC INTEGRATION

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Goran Buturac, Ph.D., Research Fellow,<br />

The Institute of Economics,<br />

Zagreb, Croatia<br />

<strong>REGIONAL</strong> TRADE AGREEMENTS <strong>AND</strong> <strong>REGIONAL</strong> <strong>COOPERATION</strong><br />

COMPARISON OF TRADE PATTERNS OF SELECTED SOUTH-<br />

EASTERN EUROPEAN COUNTRIES<br />

Abstract<br />

This paper examines the trade patterns of selected south-eastern European countries. The<br />

empirical research comprises the analyses of: dispersion and concentration, comparative<br />

advantages, intra-industry trade, trade specialization, export competitiveness and export<br />

similarities. The methodology of the paper is based on applying the following indicators of<br />

international trade: TEI (Trade Entropy Index), RCA (Revealed Comparative Advantages),<br />

Grubel-Loyd Index (GL), RUV (Relative Unit Value), Index of Export Competitiveness<br />

and Index of Export Similarities (ES). The empirical results for the observed countries<br />

reveal the conclusion about existing comparative advantages in raw materials and labor<br />

intensive sectors (base metal, textiles, footwear, wood). Those products with a higher level<br />

of comparative advantage do not have a higher ratio between the unit value of exports and<br />

imports which points to unfavourable trade patterns. All the observed countries show the<br />

most favorable position on the EU 25 markets in agricultural and textile sectors. Analyzed<br />

countries do not have competitive export structures but complementary.<br />

Key words: trade patterns, comparative advantages, trade specialization, export<br />

competitiveness, south-eastern European countries<br />

INTODUCTION<br />

The purpose of this paper is to analyze changes in the trade patterns of selected southeastern<br />

European countries, as well as to explain the noted similarities and differences<br />

in the dynamics and direction of movements in comparative advantages and in trade<br />

specialization. The analysis comprises the following countries: Bosnia and Herzegovina,<br />

Croatia, Macedonia, Montenegro and Serbia. During the last 15 years of transition these<br />

countries have witnessed an abundance of very interesting and significant economic<br />

events. Croatia and Macedonia are candidate countries for joining the EU while Bosnia<br />

and Herzegovina, Serbia and Montenegro are prospective candidate countries.<br />

All these countries face the challenge of more active inclusion in the European<br />

integration process, and one of the key factors in this path is the improvement in trade<br />

patterns and export competitiveness. The changes of export structure towards higher<br />

value added products are a precondition of growth in export competitiveness. The latest<br />

trends on the international markets are characterized by a significant fall in demand and<br />

a strengthening of competitive pressure. In this context the ability of the adjustment to<br />

new market circumstances is especially important for the achievement of continual growth<br />

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