26.01.2015 Views

REGIONAL COOPERATION AND ECONOMIC INTEGRATION

REGIONAL COOPERATION AND ECONOMIC INTEGRATION

REGIONAL COOPERATION AND ECONOMIC INTEGRATION

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS
  • No tags were found...

Create successful ePaper yourself

Turn your PDF publications into a flip-book with our unique Google optimized e-Paper software.

PART I:<br />

EU growth rates and a sign that those countries are catching up with the rest of the EU.<br />

Table 5 shows that the GDP per capita in the region raised during the period of 18 years<br />

for 23, 5 per cent but this are the result of uneven growth of two regions. Countries, which<br />

are already in the EU have obtained the increase in GDP per capita of 39,4 per cent while<br />

Western Balkan countries suffered an decrease of GDP per capita for one fifth (index 80,6<br />

per cent for the whole period). A poor performance of the whole region has been opposite<br />

with the world tendency of GDP per capita, which grew faster than in the region. In the<br />

year 1989 South Eastern Europe has got GDP higher than used to be in the world as a whole<br />

(for 16,6 per cent). In the year 2007 the region used to be only 1, 2 per cent above the world<br />

level of GDP per capita.<br />

What countries contributed to such poor results of SEE Europe The annual growth rate of<br />

GDP per capita shows that in the first period of transition (1989-1998) the negative growth<br />

rate of GDP per capita occurred. Few exceptions should be noted: Greece remained on the<br />

upward route, followed by Albania and Hungary. All other countries have got negative rate<br />

of growth: the largest being on the territories which experienced the economic consequences<br />

of the war.<br />

In the second period of transition (1998- 2007) the situation has changed: all countries have<br />

obtained a sizeable increase in the GDP per capita. However, larger growth rates were in<br />

the countries which are already members of the EU than in WBCs which are on the way<br />

to be accepted in EU. Taking the whole 18 - year’s period in analysis, Western Balkan<br />

countries have obtained a negative rate of growth of GDP per capita (regardless that there<br />

used to be an increase of GDP per capita in Albania, Croatia and Bosnia and Herzegovina).<br />

On the other side the new member states of the EU are witnessing rather modest increase<br />

in GDP per capita (1, 2 per cent yearly).<br />

2. Comparative analysis of the performance of South Eastern Europe<br />

in the period 1989-2007<br />

The world is witnessing unprecedented rates of growth in the second half of the 20 th<br />

century (Madisson, 2007). In spite of the fast population growth in the period 1950-1973,<br />

the growth rate of GDP per capita is much higher in the period 1950-1973 (2,91%) than in<br />

the period 1913-1950 (1,82%). The same applies to the growth in the period 1989-2007 for<br />

which we have presented the figures for SEE in this paper. It is evident from the figures that<br />

the declining tendencies in the SEE population don’t correspond to the world tendencies<br />

(see table 4). The increase of GDP is less than a third of the rate obtained in the world as a<br />

whole. Finally, GDP per capita has been growing in SEE countries in this period by a rate<br />

of growth which was 40% lower than in the world. The conclusion is clear: South Eastern<br />

Europe is lagging not only behind the world, but also the Western Europe and the USA. If<br />

we compare the figures of SEE with those of China and India as transition countries, the<br />

picture is rather depressing.<br />

When comparing the performances of SEE countries in the analysed period we have<br />

observed huge differences in the rates of growth which could be only partly explained by<br />

22

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!