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REGIONAL COOPERATION AND ECONOMIC INTEGRATION

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PART V:<br />

because the level of per capita FDI stock and the share of high value-added manufacturing<br />

exports are still relatively low compared to most of the recently acceded Member States.<br />

The forecasts reveal that the financial crisis will slow down FDI in Europe’s developing<br />

countries and will impact most on those countries that rely on foreign capital. There is<br />

a particular cost associated with the slowdown for countries in Eastern Europe as they<br />

depend on markets in the Eurozone for the flow of capital.<br />

It should be taken also into consideration that Romania’s economic boom has come at<br />

the moment of generating imbalances. High external borrowing has led to a rapid buildup<br />

of external debt; widespread foreign currency lending has increased households’ and<br />

companies’ balance sheet exposure; and high private sector dissaving was exacerbated by<br />

rising fiscal deficits.<br />

The financial crisis and its spillovers to the real economy through currency, trade, financial<br />

and confidence channels has made the task of rectifying these imbalances ever more<br />

urgent. To rebuild investor confidence, the government will need to ensure a credible fiscal<br />

consolidation strategy which will be helped by the implementation of a medium-term<br />

fiscal framework and by restructuring fiscal expenditure towards productive investment<br />

(including through accelerated EU funds absorption).<br />

References<br />

Bevan, A., Estrin, S. and Grabbe, H. (2006), The impact of EU accession prospects on FDI<br />

inflows to Central and Eastern Europe, Policy Paper 06/01<br />

Birsan, M. and Buiga, A. (2008), FDI in Romania: Evolution and Main Types of Large<br />

Firms in the Manufacturing Sector, Global Forum on International Investment, 27-28<br />

March 2008<br />

Blomström, M., E. Graham and Moran, T. (2004), The Impact of Foreign Direct<br />

Investment on Development: New Measurements, New Outcomes, New Policy<br />

Approaches, Institute for International Economics, Washington DC<br />

Blonigen, B.A. (2005), A Review of the Empirical Literature on FDI Determinants, NBER<br />

Working Paper No. 11299, May<br />

Boeri, T. and Bruecker, H. (2001), Eastern Enlargement and EU-Labour-Markets:<br />

Perceptions, Challenges and Opportunities, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA)<br />

Discussion Papers 256<br />

Campos, N.F. and Kinoshita, Y. (2003), Why Does FDI Goes Where it Goes New Evidence<br />

from the Transition Economies, IMF Working Paper 03/228<br />

Daianu, D. and Voinea, L. (2002), Foreign Capital Flows in Romania, International Center<br />

for Economic Growth, San Francisco, Occasional Paper<br />

Demekas, D.G., Balazs H., Ribakova E. and Wu Y.(2005),<br />

Foreign Direct Investment<br />

342

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