e WBG priorities. <strong>The</strong> WBG has made significant gains inrecent years through its Clean Energy Investment Framework,and it reports that it achieved a 40 percent share <strong>of</strong> itstotal energy commitments for renewable energy and energyefficiency for fiscal 2009. This total commitment figure caninclude funds for energy efficiency in fossil energy, hydropowerfacilities, new renewable energy technologies, andboth specific donor funds and structural lending. <strong>The</strong>sealternative types <strong>of</strong> climate finance should be clearly andseparately reported to facilitate transparent understanding<strong>of</strong> the changing composition <strong>of</strong> WBG activities. <strong>The</strong> Panelalso makes specific remarks about continuing WBG lendingto coal fired power below. However, given the strongfindings <strong>of</strong> the IEG report on the economic viability <strong>of</strong> increasingnumbers <strong>of</strong> renewable energy or clean transportinvestment and the social value <strong>of</strong> the WBG acting to lowercapital and operational costs <strong>of</strong> newer technologies andsystems, the Panel urges the WBG to move more quicklyin its structural energy lending to assume the coordinatingrole <strong>of</strong> a strategic renewable energy investor.As does the IEG report, the Panel realizes that a change inWBG investing stance is not a simple or politically easy task.Our position, like that <strong>of</strong> the evaluation, is more forceful thanthe WBG Strategic Framework on <strong>Development</strong> and Climate.We recognize that various WBG stakeholders contest its abilityto lead on climate finance, that the WBG operates in apartial policy vacuum, and that it has neither a clear mandatenor control over many <strong>of</strong> the necessary international policiesto complement its investments. In spite <strong>of</strong> these factors, thePanel would go beyond even the IEG evaluations and reiterateby consensus that the <strong>Bank</strong> Group is uniquely positionedto take on roles that would as an investor and trustee be internallyinnovative and politically opportune in showing theway toward a comprehensive multilateral system in whichthe financing <strong>of</strong> low-carbon growth is the essential reform.General FindingsIt certainly is true in the short run that low-carbon growthcosts more (ignoring externalities) than business as usualgrowth (the evaluation emphasizes that renewable energy,aside from medium to large hydropower, does have highercosts or lower returns than other kinds <strong>of</strong> power generation);but the Panel, like the report, puts great stress on thepotential for a congruence <strong>of</strong> mitigation and development.<strong>The</strong> report shows there is ample scope for projects thatpromote local development goals while also mitigatinggreenhouse gases (see figure 6.1 <strong>of</strong> the report). In additionto energy efficiency investments, other projects may individuallyhave high carbon returns (forestry) or economicreturns (solar home photovoltaic systems). To optimizecarbon and economic gains, it may <strong>of</strong>ten be necessary toconstruct portfolios <strong>of</strong> projects, rather than pursue multiplegoals with a single instrument.<strong>The</strong> IEG report directs attention to energy efficiency, which<strong>of</strong>fers low-cost or negative-cost opportunities to reducecarbon emissions. It finds that many people, inside andoutside the WBG, do not appear to take energy efficiencyseriously. However, especially noting that hoped-for largescaleclimate funding may not appear soon and that manycountries simply do not have good immediate alternativesto fossil power, many kinds <strong>of</strong> energy efficiency <strong>of</strong>fer bothhigh economic returns to the borrowing country and highabatement returns to the world. Some types <strong>of</strong> energy efficiencyinvestments can be undertaken immediately, withconcurrent huge economic benefits and significant climatebenefits. At the same time, aggressive pursuit <strong>of</strong> energyefficiency today can defer the locking in <strong>of</strong> new carbonintensivepower construction like diesel or coal plants fora few years, allowing time both for technical progress toreduce the cost <strong>of</strong> renewable alternatives and for the internationalpolitical process to muster more climate finance.Although the Panel insists that it is necessary to reinforcethe effects <strong>of</strong> such investments by anticipating with complementarypolicies—such as tariff and tax reform—therebound effects <strong>of</strong> falling energy prices, it emphasizes theconclusion <strong>of</strong> the IEG report that the WBG should givevery high priority to energy efficiency.<strong>The</strong> Panel also underscores the evaluation’s finding that theWBG can emulate a role played by venture funding in theprivate sector. With current carbon prices, the power <strong>of</strong>concessional finance is <strong>of</strong>ten limited in mitigating the risk<strong>of</strong> high-risk projects. At $10/ton for CO 2, carbon financesimply doesn’t constitute a make-or-break factor in lowcarboninvestments. Yet there is a whole class <strong>of</strong> projectsthat <strong>of</strong>fer high economic returns (to the adopting country)together with carbon benefits, but that present some apriori risks. Bus rapid transit and silvopastoral systems areexamples given in the text. Although risk-averse borrowingcountries will shy away from these until they are proven,concessional funds can mitigate this risk. WBG clean technologyfunds or other WBG climate finance could be usedto support a number <strong>of</strong> individual “start-up” projects, scalingup the ones that work, and produce an overall portfoliowith very attractive rates <strong>of</strong> return. <strong>The</strong> difference betweenthis and private venture capital is that the benefits accrueto the <strong>Bank</strong>’s client countries rather than the <strong>Bank</strong> itself—hence the need for concessional capital.Although the IEG report demonstrates a record <strong>of</strong> considerablesuccess in many WBG projects in the energyefficiency and <strong>of</strong>f-grid photovoltaics (renewable energy),the WBG’s record in renewable energy more generally hasbeen more mixed and modest. Many hydropower and windprojects have underperformed relative to expectations. Stillgreater caution about the value <strong>of</strong> WBG programs shouldbe attached to the Group’s extensive efforts in pilotinginternational carbon markets between Annex I andxxvi |Climate Change and the <strong>World</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> Group
non-Annex I countries. <strong>The</strong> <strong>World</strong> <strong>Bank</strong>’s <strong>Carbon</strong> FinanceUnit (CFU) has led, through its extensive activities in Clean<strong>Development</strong> Mechanism markets, to expanding the role<strong>of</strong>, and the infrastructure for, carbon trading between developedand developing nations. However, there has beencriticism <strong>of</strong> the environmental quality <strong>of</strong> many projects thatthe WBG has supported, including industrial gases, hydropower,and fossil (gas and coal) power plants, which maywell have been either pr<strong>of</strong>itable in themselves or were pursuedprimarily for the purpose <strong>of</strong> national energy diversificationand security policies. In addition, although the CFUwas promoted as a market maker that could act as a carbon<strong>of</strong>fset buyer until the private market flourished, the WBGcontinued to build up its trading after that private marketwas fully established. Finally, as a vehicle for catalytic financeand technology transfer, the IEG finds the CFU’s recordis at best mixed. <strong>The</strong> Panel suggests that the WBG hasa public responsibility to ensure that its behavior advancesprograms have been valuable in exposing that inadequatelending for energy efficiency <strong>of</strong>ten reflects wider credit marketfailures, including onerous requirements for collateral.However, it is important to note that, contrary to expectations,although market transformation programs were <strong>of</strong>tenconceived as temporary, WBG experience indicates thatthese actions proved difficult to discontinue even as banksor firms gained familiarity with energy efficiency lending.<strong>The</strong> Panel finds that the WBG could focus even more extensivelyon these less usual categories <strong>of</strong> transition financing,but needs to pay careful attention to the incentives that willhelp convert such demonstrations <strong>of</strong> market potential intocommercial local finance as rapidly as possible.<strong>The</strong> Panel also applauds the report’s attention to the importance<strong>of</strong> technology development or promotion andits transfer or diffusion. Technological innovation requiresspecial conditions to be successful. <strong>The</strong> report argues thatinnovations are more apt for WBG support when thePhoto by Dana Smillie, courtesy <strong>of</strong> the <strong>World</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> Photo Library.the quality <strong>of</strong> international institutions that regulate carbonfinance markets, rather than acting principally as a puremarket player pr<strong>of</strong>iting from expanding market scale.Both the report and the Panel underline the importance<strong>of</strong> market transforming measures. <strong>The</strong> Panel confirms theview in the report that loan guarantees, innovative forms <strong>of</strong>insurance for joint ventures and other types <strong>of</strong> commercialorganizations that encourage the international transfer <strong>of</strong>technologies, can be valuable. Likewise, investment in newservice providers such as energy service companies (ESCOs)or transmission and distribution loss reduction programsare especially valuable in climate-related activities. WBG<strong>Bank</strong> can help defray risks that are peculiar to a certainenvironment or when the supported innovations are particularlyadapted to conditions, inputs, or skills found indeveloping countries. <strong>The</strong> barriers to technology diffusionare very <strong>of</strong>ten related to institutional factors such asthe character <strong>of</strong> competition and industrial structure. Dependingon market structure, competitors may resist thediffusion <strong>of</strong> technology and the WBG must have a realisticstrategy and realistic goals that take this into account. <strong>The</strong>report argues that in numerous cases international supportwas essential to mitigate up-front risk and to pay for globalbenefits <strong>of</strong> knowledge created.Statement <strong>of</strong> the External High-Level Review Panel| xxvii
- Page 1 and 2: Phase II: The Challenge of Low-Carb
- Page 3 and 4: CLIMATE CHANGE AND THE WORLD BANK G
- Page 5 and 6: Table of ContentsAbbreviations . .
- Page 7 and 8: Figures1.1 GHG Emissions by Sector
- Page 9 and 10: AcknowledgmentsThe report was prepa
- Page 11 and 12: Executive SummaryUnabated, climate
- Page 13 and 14: esettlement plans has been ineffect
- Page 15 and 16: of some technologies, such as landf
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- Page 25 and 26: Chairman’s Summary: Committee onD
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- Page 33 and 34: GlossaryAdditionalityBankabilityBas
- Page 35 and 36: Joint ImplementationA mechanism und
- Page 37 and 38: Chapter 1evALuAtiOn HiGHLiGHts• T
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- Page 57 and 58: on average (Iyadomi 2010). (Reducti
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- Page 61 and 62: Table 2.6Hydropower Investments by
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- Page 74 and 75: have had limited causal impact on t
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Since the early 1990s, public entit
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part with a $198 million IDA credit
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Chapter 4eVAluATioN HigHligHTS• B
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The WBG urban transport portfolio (
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y conventional transport systems, i
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include the forest carbon projects
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for Costa Rica for the period 2000-
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After 20 years of effort, systemati
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orrowers have demonstrated the abil
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Chapter 5EVALuATioN HigHLigHTS• O
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Consequently, the efficiency with w
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technologies could accelerate diffu
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A second issue, inherent to any adv
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goal of promoting wind turbine impr
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ConclusionsThe WBG’s efforts to p
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Table 5.1Carbon Funds at the World
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demonstration initiative. The Commu
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Impacts on technology transferThe 2
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Chapter 6Photo by Martin Wright/Ash
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Figure 6.1800Economic and Carbon Re
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Specifically, the WBG could:• Pla
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Table 6.1Summary of Sectoral Findin
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Table 6.1Sector Intervention Direct
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Appendix ARenewable Energy Tables a
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Table A.4Grid-Based Biomass/Biogass
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Table A.5 (continued)Negative examp
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Figure A.4A. Hydro/biomass capacity
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Appendix bWorld Bank Experience wit
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Table C.2Completed Low-Carbon Energ
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TAble C.4Reviewed energy efficiency
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the new capacity. Transmission syst
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Table E.2Climate obligationsCoal Pl
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Table F.2GHG objectiveModeNumber of
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IEG eliminated a few cases of doubl
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Table H.1Project andlocationBioener
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Appendix ICarbon and Economic Retur
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Appendix JRecent WBG Developments i
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y providing value to standing fores
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never had an explicit corporate str
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overnight. The Bank can provide ass
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Chapter 51. From the chief economis
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Hartshorn, G., P. Ferraro, and B. S
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______. 2007. World Development Ind
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IEG PublicationsAnalyzing the Effec