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Download the Indonesia Human Development Report 2004. - UNDP

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in fact <strong>the</strong> government had already established <strong>the</strong> OPKbefore <strong>the</strong> donors came on <strong>the</strong> scene, having simplyswitched from one form of price support to ano<strong>the</strong>r. Thisongoing programme is now called Raskin (from Berasuntuk Rakyat Miskin – rice for <strong>the</strong> poor).Finally in January 2000, as part of its agreement with<strong>the</strong> IMF, <strong>the</strong> government fully liberalized rice imports.But by this time <strong>the</strong> world rice price had fallen, so inorder to protect <strong>Indonesia</strong>’s farmers <strong>the</strong> governmentapplied a specific tariff of Rp. 430 per kilogram to keep<strong>the</strong> price of rice higher than <strong>the</strong> world price.In early 2004 this meant that while <strong>the</strong> world price ofrice was Rp. 2,200 per kilogram for <strong>Indonesia</strong>ns <strong>the</strong> pricewas Rp. 2,700. Why do <strong>Indonesia</strong>’s farmers needprotection? At first glance <strong>the</strong>y should be able to hold<strong>the</strong>ir own. Yields in <strong>Indonesia</strong> appear to be relatively high:more than four tons per hectare which by some estimatesis twice as high as in Thailand. 50 The yield per hectaretakes no account of inputs, in terms of irrigation orfertilizers, which will vary from country to country. But<strong>the</strong>re seems no reason why, all things being equal, <strong>the</strong>‘farm gate’ price of rice should be higher in <strong>Indonesia</strong>than elsewhere. In terms of value added per worker, forexample, <strong>the</strong> figures for <strong>Indonesia</strong> and Thailand aresimilar. 51 The main factor pushing <strong>the</strong> price up seems tobe post-harvest losses and low milling yields, along withprofiting by traders. However, it is also possible that <strong>the</strong>world price is artificially low since <strong>the</strong> main exportingcountries such as Thailand and Vietnam may be subsidizingexports or selling surplus production on <strong>the</strong> world marketat lower than <strong>the</strong>ir own production costs.How best to help <strong>the</strong> poorMost middle- and upper-income countries assist <strong>the</strong>poor through different forms of cash transfer. Should<strong>Indonesia</strong> do this ra<strong>the</strong>r than provide assistance ‘in kind’in <strong>the</strong> form of rice. Cash transfers are superior in <strong>the</strong>sense that <strong>the</strong>y offer people greater freedom of choiceand <strong>the</strong>y do not distort <strong>the</strong> workings of food or o<strong>the</strong>rmarkets. Direct transfers of food, however, also haveadvantages: <strong>the</strong>y can encourage households to consumemore and <strong>the</strong>y allow <strong>the</strong> possibility of giving fortified formsof rice that would include additional nutrients. Moreover,while cash transfers often go to men, food transfers aremore likely to be collected by women who can ensure itis consumed within <strong>the</strong> family. 52 A transfer in kind mayalso be easier to monitor, and less susceptible tocorruption, since it can be tracked both physically andfinancially.<strong>Indonesia</strong>’s choice has been to continue with <strong>the</strong> Raskinprogramme. Although Raskin is not <strong>the</strong> only form of foodsecurity interventions, for <strong>the</strong> purpose of analysis, <strong>the</strong><strong>Report</strong> uses Raskin as an example to ilustrate <strong>the</strong> cost ofmeeting <strong>the</strong> right to food. In 2004 this programme aimedto provide 20 kilograms of rice to 8.59 million poorhouseholds at a price of Rp 1,000 per kilogram which itwas thought would cover 40% to 60% of <strong>the</strong>ir needs. Asdid <strong>the</strong> OPK, <strong>the</strong> Raskin programme identifies poorhouseholds who are to receive this rice by using aclassification system devised by <strong>the</strong> National CoordinatingBoard for Family Planning, BKKBN. This system wasnot originally intended to identify food insecure households,since it measures not income but assets – assessing, forexample, <strong>the</strong> quality of <strong>the</strong> family house. Never<strong>the</strong>less itis probably <strong>the</strong> best available method for identifying poorhouseholds. Bulog distributes <strong>the</strong> food to communityleaders in proportion to <strong>the</strong> number of poor families in<strong>the</strong>ir area. They <strong>the</strong>n take <strong>the</strong> responsibility for distributionto households.This system is far from perfect since in many casescommunity leaders simply share <strong>the</strong> food out among allhouseholds in <strong>the</strong>ir area, on <strong>the</strong> principle that everyoneshould be entitled to a public benefit. As a result, insteadof 20 kilograms per household <strong>the</strong> average amount isthought to be somewhere between six and ten kilograms.Never<strong>the</strong>less, 64% of <strong>the</strong> poor do receive Raskin rice soit is clearly making a substantial contribution. In addition,<strong>the</strong> World Food Programme runs a similar scheme,delivering a fur<strong>the</strong>r 60,000 tons through NGOs to 300,000households at a cost of Rp. 170 billion per year.Although <strong>the</strong> Raskin programme is not based on <strong>the</strong>income poverty line, it comes to a similar conclusion on<strong>the</strong> number of <strong>the</strong> poor – those classified as ‘preprosperous’on BKKBN’s system – which amounts to8.6 million households. Assuming an average of 4.75 peopleper family, Raskin would reach 40.8 million people. BPSestimates <strong>the</strong> poverty rate at 18% so with <strong>Indonesia</strong>’scurrent population of 210 million this comes to 38 million.Given that <strong>the</strong> criteria are slightly different, <strong>the</strong>se are notnecessarily <strong>the</strong> same people, but <strong>the</strong>y indicate a similarscale of poverty.Despite Raskin, 18% of <strong>the</strong> population are still poor.This is not surprising given Raskin’s limitations intargeting. Although it provides cheap rice to 64% of <strong>the</strong>poor it also provides rice to 35% of <strong>the</strong> ‘non-poor’. Thissounds like a weak performance, until one takes intoaccount <strong>the</strong> fact that probably around half <strong>the</strong> populationare at risk of falling into poverty, so if Raskin is alsoreaching <strong>the</strong>se people it is performing a valuable function.Never<strong>the</strong>less, much more could be done to improvetargeting. As indicated earlier, on <strong>the</strong> basis of <strong>the</strong> povertygap it would take annual transfers of six to eight trillionRupiah to lift <strong>the</strong> poor out of poverty. However, consideringonly food poverty on <strong>the</strong> grounds that many non-foodfood items had been taken into account by <strong>the</strong> educationand health investments <strong>the</strong> cost would be Rp 1.09 trillion.If this were to be distributed in <strong>the</strong> form of food, however,one would need to add <strong>the</strong> cost of delivery or50 ASEAN (2002).51 World Bank, World <strong>Development</strong> Indicators.52 Tabor (2000).40National <strong>Human</strong> <strong>Development</strong> <strong>Report</strong> 2004

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