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6 5 - RR DONNELLEY FINANCIAL - External Home Login

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8 | LETTER TO SHAREHOLDERS<br />

Growing Demand for U.S. Natural Gas Will Drive<br />

Improved Prices in the Years Ahead<br />

Several factors are emerging in the U.S. that will drive increased<br />

demand for natural gas, which in turn could improve out year<br />

natural gas prices:<br />

Growing momentum for CNG passenger and LNG long-haul<br />

truck vehicles<br />

Enormous cost savings are available to consumers and businesses<br />

that chose to use natural gas as an alternative transportation<br />

fuel ($1.39 per gallon for CNG in Oklahoma, for example, compared<br />

to $3.75–$4.00 per gallon for gasoline and diesel).<br />

Growing industrial demand<br />

With recent low prices for domestic natural gas, U.S. industries<br />

that utilize natural gas as a feedstock in their manufacturing processes<br />

have a significant cost advantage compared with international<br />

peers whose feedstock is indexed either to oil or global<br />

natural gas prices.<br />

Continuing and accelerating shift from coal to natural gas for<br />

U.S. electrical power generation<br />

To clean our environment, dozens of aging coal-powered electricity<br />

plants will be retired in the next decade and replaced<br />

with the cleaner alternative of natural gas. A combination of<br />

shifting power sources and higher utilization within existing<br />

gas-fired power plants will likely increase natural gas demand by<br />

10–15 bcf per day over the next decade.<br />

Conversion of U.S. LNG import facilities to LNG export<br />

facilities<br />

With increasing demand for natural gas around the<br />

world and the abundance of U.S. natural gas reserves,<br />

producers will be able to tap into higher-margin markets<br />

in Europe, South America and Asia once export capabilities<br />

are available potentially beginning in 2015.<br />

Construction of U.S. gas-to-liquids (GTL) plants<br />

Converting natural gas to a room temperature liquid<br />

would allow U.S. natural gas producers to sell products<br />

based on world oil prices instead of domestic natural gas<br />

prices. Technological advancements continue to gain<br />

traction and may make GTL a realistic possibility by 2016.<br />

U.S. natural gas producers are rapidly moving to a<br />

more liquids-rich production base<br />

Due to the premium margins realized in the U.S. when<br />

producing liquids as compared to natural gas, there is<br />

a meaningful shift of producers targeting liquids-rich<br />

drilling prospects. This shift will ultimately help bring<br />

U.S. natural gas markets back into balance by reducing the rigs<br />

and capital available for natural gas drilling.<br />

$2.25 billion in cash and drilling carries for its 25% stake in the<br />

Barnett, and we are extremely proud to have Total as one of our<br />

premier joint venture partners.<br />

Haynesville Shale — The Haynesville Shale in Northwest Louisiana<br />

and East Texas is the shale play of which we are most proud<br />

(to date) because it was discovered by Chesapeake’s own geoscientists<br />

and engineers. We conducted our geoscientific investigation<br />

of the Haynesville in 2005–06 and tested our theories<br />

through drilling in 2007. In 2008 we formed an innovative joint<br />

venture agreement with our well-respected industry partner,<br />

Houston-based Plains Exploration & Production Company, to<br />

which we sold 20% of our Haynesville (and Bossier) assets for<br />

approximately $3.2 billion in cash and drilling carries.<br />

The Haynesville Shale is now the nation’s largest producing<br />

natural gas shale play, having just recently passed the Barnett<br />

Shale in production (in last year’s letter, I incorrectly estimated<br />

it would take until 2014 for the Haynesville to reach this achievement,<br />

a testament to the play’s enormous productive potential).<br />

Ultimate recoveries from the Haynesville could exceed 250<br />

tcfe, likely making it one of the five largest natural gas fields<br />

in the world. Today, we are producing from more than 260 net<br />

wells in the Haynesville on our 530,000 net leasehold acres,<br />

are currently drilling with 35 rigs and estimate we could drill<br />

up to 6,300 additional net wells in the years ahead. Our gross<br />

operated production in the Haynesville recently set a record of<br />

nearly 1.6 bcfe per day.<br />

Bossier Shale — This shale<br />

overlies about one-third<br />

of our Haynesville acreage<br />

and is the first of our<br />

two “sleeper” natural gas<br />

shale plays. The reason is<br />

that in Louisiana, leases<br />

often restrict the lessee<br />

(i.e., the producer) to only<br />

holding future drilling<br />

rights down through the<br />

deepest formation drilled.<br />

Because the Bossier lies<br />

above the Haynesville,<br />

One producing and one on the way: the Texas Panhandle Granite<br />

Wash offers high volumes of natural gas accompanied by highly<br />

valued liquids production as well.

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