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Down to the wire : confronting climate collapse / David - Index of

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S<br />

158 far<strong>the</strong>r horizons<br />

o<strong>the</strong>r organizations will make great changes in <strong>the</strong> way <strong>the</strong>y do<br />

business, <strong>the</strong> forces <strong>of</strong> blessed unrest will become still more restless,<br />

and governments and international agencies will fi nally bestir<br />

<strong>the</strong>mselves <strong>to</strong> do belatedly what <strong>the</strong>y should have done decades<br />

before. But <strong>the</strong>se trends, as important and urgent as <strong>the</strong>y are, will<br />

not quickly reverse <strong>the</strong> effects <strong>of</strong> <strong>climate</strong> destabilization <strong>to</strong> which<br />

we are now committed. Lacking foresight, we did <strong>to</strong>o much damage<br />

<strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> fabric <strong>of</strong> life and waited <strong>to</strong>o long <strong>to</strong> reverse <strong>the</strong> trends.<br />

For a while at least, our plight will be ra<strong>the</strong>r like that <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> passenger<br />

walking north on a southbound train.<br />

At <strong>the</strong> end <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> era <strong>of</strong> cheap fossil fuels and <strong>climate</strong> stability,<br />

however, <strong>the</strong> forces <strong>of</strong> denial embedded in our politics, media,<br />

education, and economy will try <strong>to</strong> divert our attention as long as<br />

possible. O<strong>the</strong>rs will promise increasingly heroic ways <strong>to</strong> keep <strong>climate</strong><br />

destabilization at bay by proposing one silver-bullet solution<br />

or ano<strong>the</strong>r. For some, nuclear power is our only option, but <strong>the</strong>y<br />

do not say whe<strong>the</strong>r it could be deployed on <strong>the</strong> scale necessary in<br />

<strong>the</strong> short time available and at a price we could afford. Nor do <strong>the</strong>y<br />

explain how <strong>to</strong> manage terrorist threats or <strong>the</strong> radioactive waste<br />

that will have <strong>to</strong> be isolated for 250,000 years, or why this is preferable<br />

<strong>to</strong> improved effi ciency and renewable energy technologies<br />

that can be deployed more quickly at a fraction <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> cost and<br />

with virtually none <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> risks and problems <strong>of</strong> nuclear energy.<br />

O<strong>the</strong>rs aim <strong>to</strong> develop and deploy devices that suck carbon out<br />

<strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> atmosphere (Broecker and Kunzig, 2008; Homer-Dixon<br />

and Keith, 2008) or cool <strong>the</strong> Earth temporarily by injecting sulfur<br />

dioxide in<strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> stra<strong>to</strong>sphere. If such geoengineering schemes are<br />

successful and if <strong>the</strong>y do not cause o<strong>the</strong>r problems, <strong>the</strong>y could<br />

buy us a bit <strong>of</strong> time, but little is said about how we might best use<br />

that short reprieve (Mooney, 2008). There will be o<strong>the</strong>r proposals,<br />

no doubt, and <strong>the</strong>y will be increasingly grandiose and desperate;<br />

sometime soon one or more may be tried, and if so, <strong>the</strong>y<br />

will likely fail grandiosely at an exorbitant cost (Robock, 2008,<br />

pp. 14–18). Despite <strong>the</strong>ir differences, <strong>the</strong>se schemes all share <strong>the</strong>

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