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Down to the wire : confronting climate collapse / David - Index of

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hope at <strong>the</strong> end <strong>of</strong> our te<strong>the</strong>r S 183<br />

• Bigger hurricanes;<br />

• Forest dieback;<br />

• Changing ecosystems;<br />

• More tropical diseases in formerly temperate areas;<br />

• Rising ocean levels—faster than once thought;<br />

• Losing many things nature once did for us;<br />

• Losing things like Vermont maple syrup;<br />

• More and nastier bugs;<br />

• Food shortages due <strong>to</strong> drought, heat, and more and nastier<br />

bugs;<br />

• More death from <strong>climate</strong>-driven wea<strong>the</strong>r events;<br />

• Refugees fl eeing fl oods, rising seas, drought, and expanding<br />

deserts;<br />

• International confl icts over energy, food, and water;<br />

• Runaway <strong>climate</strong> change <strong>to</strong> some new stable state, most likely<br />

without humans if we do not act quickly and effectively.<br />

Some <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>se changes are inevitable given <strong>the</strong> volume <strong>of</strong> heattrapping<br />

gases we’ve already put in<strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> atmosphere. There is a<br />

lag <strong>of</strong> several decades between <strong>the</strong> emission <strong>of</strong> carbon dioxide<br />

and o<strong>the</strong>r heat-trapping gases and <strong>the</strong> wea<strong>the</strong>r headlines, and still<br />

ano<strong>the</strong>r lag until we experience <strong>the</strong>ir full economic and political<br />

effects. The sum <strong>to</strong>tal <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> opinions <strong>of</strong> <strong>climate</strong> experts recounted<br />

in chapter 1 goes like this:<br />

1. We’ve already warmed <strong>the</strong> planet by 0.8°C;<br />

2. We are committed <strong>to</strong> ano<strong>the</strong>r ~0.5°C <strong>to</strong> 1.0°C warming;<br />

3. It’s <strong>to</strong>o late <strong>to</strong> avoid trauma, but;<br />

4. It’s probably not <strong>to</strong>o late <strong>to</strong> avoid global catastrophe, which<br />

includes <strong>the</strong> possibility <strong>of</strong> runaway <strong>climate</strong> change;<br />

5. There are no easy answers or magic bullet solutions;<br />

6. It is truly a global emergency.<br />

Whe<strong>the</strong>r or not item 4 above is correct is anyone’s guess, since<br />

<strong>the</strong> level <strong>of</strong> greenhouse gases is higher than it has been in <strong>the</strong> past

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