irreversibility <strong>of</strong>, 221n3 land use and, 43–48 legal cases and, 70 in 1980s, 216–19 opportunities <strong>of</strong>, xi political response <strong>to</strong>, 2, 4–7 as predictable outcome, xii public awareness <strong>of</strong>, 5, 9, 100 refugees <strong>of</strong>, xi, 19–20, 32 revolution and, 206 ripple effects <strong>of</strong>, 54 as runaway train, 3 sacrifi ces required by, 199 surprises <strong>of</strong>, 22 technology and, xiii–xiv tipping point <strong>of</strong>, 222n4 <strong>climate</strong> policy Council <strong>of</strong> Elders for, 209–10 effective, 27 energy policy and, 23–24, 27–29, 100–102 forces in charge <strong>of</strong>, 189 fossil fuels in, 27–28 global partnership on, 105 implementation <strong>of</strong>, 102 importance <strong>of</strong>, 100–101 level <strong>of</strong>, 21 as linchpin, 206 mitigation and adaptation encouraged by, 104 for Obama’s fi rst hundred days, 97–98 presidential commission for, 207–9 Clin<strong>to</strong>n, Bill, 218 coal AMP-Ohio plant, 213 carbon and, 120–21 “clean,” 29, 101, 119–20 desubsidized, 210 mining, in Appalachia, 113–20 true cost <strong>of</strong>, 120 coalition, mobilization <strong>of</strong>, 33–34 codes <strong>of</strong> conduct, 170–71 index S 251 cognitive dissonance, 164 Cold War, 15 Commission on <strong>the</strong> Prevention <strong>of</strong> Weapons <strong>of</strong> Mass Destruction, Proliferation, and Terrorism, 223n15 common grazing areas, 52–53 Communications Act <strong>of</strong> 1934, 62 conformity, 164–65 Congressional Offi ce <strong>of</strong> Technology Assessment, 103 Congressional politics, executive power and, 222n4 connectedness forgiveness and, 179–80 sustainable development and, 170 Connell, Evan, 122 consensus trance, 5–6 conservatism <strong>climate</strong> change recognized in, 69–70 modern, 65–67, 72 neo-, 66, 177, 199 <strong>of</strong> Weaver, 77 Constitution, U.S., 45, 52 amendments <strong>to</strong>, 91, 207–8 Civil War and, 86–87, 90 democracy and, 14 governance and, 13–15, 45 inclusiveness <strong>of</strong>, 14 posterity in, 72 consumerism, 187, 197, 225n3 consumption, 51, 79–80, 140, 223n19 convergent problems, 194 Cooper Institute address, 85–86, 190 corporations as agents <strong>of</strong> change, 36–38 green, 7–8, 58–60 politics infl uenced by, 225n31 power <strong>of</strong>, 208 recent writing on, 224n28 role <strong>of</strong>, 38–39 Cortese, Tony, 227n4
252 S index Council <strong>of</strong> Elders, 209–10 Council on Environmental Quality, xi–xii, 43 Council on Sustainable Development, xvii creation care, 128 Crow, Michael, 176 crowds, wisdom <strong>of</strong>, 60–61 Crow people, 173 Cuban missile crisis, 165 cultural narrative <strong>of</strong> addiction, 172–73 behavior infl uenced by, 171–72 <strong>of</strong> cancer, 172 <strong>of</strong> Plenty Coups, 173 Custer, George Armstrong, 122 Dahl, Robert, 207 Dalai Lama, 201 Daly, Herman, 31, 82, 136, 196, 204 Darby, John Nelson, 129 Dawkins, Richard, 133 debt ecological, 30, 204 ma<strong>the</strong>matical laws and, 82 national, 26–27 decision making, elite, 165 deliberation day, 64–65 demand creation, 50–51 demand-side management, 214 democracy alternatives <strong>to</strong>, 55–60 Constitution and, 14 criticisms <strong>of</strong>, 51, 68 future <strong>of</strong>, 65, 72 long emergency and, 54 res<strong>to</strong>ration <strong>of</strong>, 60–68 suspicion <strong>of</strong>, 16 upsurge in, 49–50 Democrats, 68, 75 denial, 158, 163–64 Depression, 93–94 design revolution, 56–57 destiny, 9 desubsidization, <strong>of</strong> fossil fuels, 210 Deuteronomy, 127 Diamond, Jared, 54 dispensationalism, 129 divergent problems, 194 Douglas, Stephen, 84–85 drought, 18, 20 Duncan, <strong>David</strong> James, 130 Earth Atmospheric Trust, 209 Earth Charter, 90 Earth Day, 79 Earth Systems Science Agency, 209 Ecclesiastes, 192 ecological capital, 59 ecological debt, 30, 204 ecological design, 56–57 economy as biosphere subsystem, 196–97 bot<strong>to</strong>m line <strong>of</strong>, 196 contraction and growth <strong>of</strong>, 29–31, 105, 196 defi cits and, 203–4 green, 197 laissez-faire <strong>the</strong>ories <strong>of</strong>, 206 locally based, 212 nonviolent, 202 outdated doctrine <strong>of</strong>, 106 shelf life <strong>of</strong> ideas about, 77–83 slow, 80–81 steady-state, 30, 224n22 2008 <strong>collapse</strong> <strong>of</strong>, xvi, 25, 28, 56 ecosystems carrying capacity <strong>of</strong>, 192 degradation <strong>of</strong>, 18, 21–22, 121 Ecuador, 208 education applied hope in, 192 changes in, 160, 176–77 importance <strong>of</strong>, 160 by president, 211 Ehrenfeld, <strong>David</strong>, 137
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Down to the Wire
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Down to the Wire Confronting Climat
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For my grandchildren Lewis, Molly,
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Contents Preface ix Acknowledgments
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z Preface The ongoing disruption of
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preface S xi carbon footprint from
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preface S xiii disappearing species
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preface S xv breach between humanki
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preface S xvii country. And for no
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z Acknowledgments This book owes mu
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Down to the Wire
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Introduction There were rumors of u
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introduction S 3 preindustrial leve
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introduction S 5 have household, au
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introduction S 7 • Did little to
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introduction S 9 the leadership tha
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part 1 z POLITICS AND GOVERNANCE
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chapter 1 Governance We lack a theo
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governance S 15 regard for long-ter
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governance S 17 culture celebrated
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governance S 19 headlines of the fu
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governance S 21 excessive heat and
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governance S 23 extract, refi ne, t
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governance S 25 access to oil in or
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governance S 27 has been increased
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governance S 29 • Costs to human
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governance S 31 to the evidence of
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governance S 33 which may occur reg
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governance S 35 line. I write in th
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governance S 37 chairman of the U.K
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governance S 39 accountability. Onc
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governance S 41 secrecy, and incomp
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Box 1.1. Governing Land Use in Shif
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governance S 45 of his persuasion i
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governance S 47 one of whom does no
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chapter 2 Late-Night Thoughts about
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late-night thoughts about democracy
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late-night thoughts about democracy
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late-night thoughts about democracy
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late-night thoughts about democracy
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late-night thoughts about democracy
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late-night thoughts about democracy
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late-night thoughts about democracy
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late-night thoughts about democracy
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late-night thoughts about democracy
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Box 2.1. late-night thoughts about
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late-night thoughts about democracy
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late-night thoughts about democracy
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late-night thoughts about democracy
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late-night thoughts about democracy
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late-night thoughts about democracy
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late-night thoughts about democracy
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late-night thoughts about democracy
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leadership in the long emergency S
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leadership in the long emergency S
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leadership in the long emergency S
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leadership in the long emergency S
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leadership in the long emergency S
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leadership in the long emergency S
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leadership in the long emergency S
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leadership in the long emergency S
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leadership in the long emergency S
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leadership in the long emergency S
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leadership in the long emergency S
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leadership in the long emergency S
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part ii z CONNECTIONS
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chapter 4 The Carbon Connection Com
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the carbon connection S 113 If this
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the carbon connection S 115 dams br
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the carbon connection S 117 the own
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the carbon connection S 119 “clea
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the carbon connection S 121 breathi
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the carbon connection S 123 paraphe
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the carbon connection S 125 atmosph
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the spirit of connection S 127 gula
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the spirit of connection S 129 fore
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the spirit of connection S 131 that
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the spirit of connection S 133 at t
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the spirit of connection S 135 rega
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the spirit of connection S 137 cons
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the spirit of connection S 139 dere
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the spirit of connection S 141 you,
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the spirit of connection S 143 lear
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the spirit of connection S 145 prom
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the spirit of connection S 147 disc
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the spirit of connection S 149 deat
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the spirit of connection S 151 thes
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part iii z FARTHER HORIZONS
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chapter 6 Millennial Hope The gods
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millennial hope S 157 carbon cycle,
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millennial hope S 159 assumptions t
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millennial hope S 161 property asse
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millennial hope S 163 rapid destabi
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millennial hope S 165 Conformity to
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millennial hope S 167 fairness. We
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millennial hope S 169 in human beha
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millennial hope S 171 Maslow (1971)
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millennial hope S 173 addiction and
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millennial hope S 175 networks, are
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millennial hope S 177 United States
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millennial hope S 179 with fewer hi
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chapter 7 Hope at the End of Our Te
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hope at the end of our tether S 183
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hope at the end of our tether S 185
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hope at the end of our tether S 187
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hope at the end of our tether S 189
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hope at the end of our tether S 191
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hope at the end of our tether S 193
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hope at the end of our tether S 195
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hope at the end of our tether S 197
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hope at the end of our tether S 199
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- Page 272 and 273: Index abortion, 51, 73-74 Abrams, N
- Page 276 and 277: Einstein, Albert, 76, 195 electoral
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