Down to the wire : confronting climate collapse / David - Index of
Down to the wire : confronting climate collapse / David - Index of
Down to the wire : confronting climate collapse / David - Index of
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millennial hope S 163<br />
rapid destabilization <strong>of</strong> <strong>climate</strong> and <strong>the</strong> destruction <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> web <strong>of</strong><br />
life are symp<strong>to</strong>ms, in part, <strong>of</strong> a prior derangement in our manner<br />
<strong>of</strong> thinking and in our ability <strong>to</strong> think clearly about how we<br />
think. So what is known about <strong>the</strong> mind that would be useful <strong>to</strong><br />
enhancing our longer-term prospects?<br />
The human mind is certainly capable <strong>of</strong> great feats <strong>of</strong> imagination<br />
and invention, as well as less agreeable behavior. It is both <strong>the</strong><br />
crowning distinction <strong>of</strong> humankind and our greatest perplexity<br />
and liability. Mind refl ecting on itself has long been a source <strong>of</strong><br />
amusement, philosophy, and more recently, science. Now it is a<br />
matter <strong>of</strong> survival and <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> terms and conditions by which we<br />
will survive through <strong>the</strong> long emergency.<br />
For one thing, we know that people go <strong>to</strong> considerable lengths<br />
<strong>to</strong> maintain a favorable self-image and deny unpleasant truths,<br />
particularly those that run against deeply ingrained beliefs and<br />
worldviews (Allport, 1954).<br />
We know that perception is biased <strong>to</strong>ward <strong>the</strong> near term<br />
(Ornstein and Ehrlich, 1989). We tend, accordingly, <strong>to</strong> see things<br />
that are large and fast but not those that are small and slow. It is<br />
harder for us <strong>to</strong> see and <strong>to</strong> properly fear long-term trends, such as<br />
soil erosion over centuries or <strong>the</strong> nearly invisible disappearance <strong>of</strong><br />
species. Similarly, in spite <strong>of</strong> centuries <strong>of</strong> modernization, our loyalties<br />
are most strongly attached <strong>to</strong> those closest <strong>to</strong> us. We bear <strong>the</strong><br />
unmistakable signs <strong>of</strong> our distant origins as tribal peoples telling<br />
each o<strong>the</strong>r s<strong>to</strong>ries around ancient campfi res.<br />
We know, <strong>to</strong>o, that we are prone <strong>to</strong> deny uncomfortable<br />
realities at both <strong>the</strong> personal level and <strong>the</strong> societal level. Like<br />
Voltaire’s Dr. Pangloss, we tend <strong>to</strong> believe that things always<br />
work out for <strong>the</strong> best. I recently asked a class <strong>of</strong> U.S. college<br />
students, for example, how <strong>the</strong>y would defi ne climatic change.<br />
After some discussion <strong>the</strong>y reached a typically American consensus<br />
that it should be defi ned as “an opportunity.” They were<br />
not clear exactly how <strong>the</strong> opportunity would manifest at various<br />
increments <strong>of</strong> warming for exactly whom, and I did not ask