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Down to the wire : confronting climate collapse / David - Index of

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6 S introduction<br />

<strong>the</strong> <strong>climate</strong> destabilization already under way. Most believe that a<br />

few minor adjustments, a few policy changes, and improvements<br />

in energy effi ciency will be enough <strong>to</strong> get us through without<br />

jeopardizing <strong>the</strong> “American Dream” or upsetting <strong>the</strong> consumer<br />

society. But a sober reading <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> science <strong>of</strong> <strong>climate</strong> change indicates<br />

something else: we have already set in motion forces and<br />

trends that threaten <strong>the</strong> stability <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> biosphere in a few decades<br />

and that will persist far longer. Some highly credible scientists like<br />

James Lovelock (2009) believe <strong>the</strong> stability <strong>of</strong> civilization could<br />

similarly fail by <strong>the</strong> end <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> century or even sooner. We are<br />

simply unprepared <strong>to</strong> respond adequately for anything so devastating.<br />

If <strong>the</strong> United States were a sailing ship heading in<strong>to</strong> s<strong>to</strong>rmy<br />

seas, we would be well advised <strong>to</strong> lighten <strong>the</strong> load, secure cargo,<br />

trim sails, and batten down <strong>the</strong> hatches. But no comparable actions<br />

are being discussed in <strong>the</strong> United States or elsewhere. With a few<br />

exceptions, <strong>climate</strong> change is still regarded as a problem <strong>to</strong> be<br />

fi xed by small changes, perhaps pr<strong>of</strong>i tably, and not as a series <strong>of</strong><br />

dilemmas or as a challenge <strong>to</strong> consumerism, <strong>the</strong> growth economy,<br />

or—in a more abstract but no less real way—<strong>to</strong> our institutions,<br />

organizations, philosophies, and paradigms.<br />

The crisis ahead is fi rst and foremost a political challenge, not<br />

one <strong>of</strong> economics or technology, as important as those are. The<br />

global crisis ahead is a direct result <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> largest political failure<br />

in his<strong>to</strong>ry. The U.S. government and elected <strong>of</strong>fi cials, particularly<br />

in recent years:<br />

• Ignored <strong>the</strong> increasingly urgent and rigorous warnings <strong>of</strong><br />

danger, and <strong>the</strong>reby<br />

• Failed <strong>to</strong> anticipate ecological and <strong>climate</strong> trends, and so<br />

• Made little or no effort <strong>to</strong> alert <strong>the</strong> public <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> dangers<br />

ahead;<br />

• Were oblivious <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> security implications <strong>of</strong> rapid <strong>climate</strong><br />

change;<br />

• Took none <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> obvious steps <strong>to</strong> recalibrate <strong>the</strong> economy<br />

<strong>to</strong> protect natural capital, including <strong>climate</strong> stability;

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