Hazar World - Sayı:30 - Mayıs 2015
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www.hazarworld.com<br />
enformasyon rekabetini muhafaza edeceği<br />
de söylenebilir. Bölgede yıllardır devam<br />
eden “nükleer gerilim” sürecinin mevcudiyetini<br />
koruması sürpriz olmayacaktır.<br />
TÜRKİYE-İRAN İLİŞKİLERİNDE YENİ<br />
RÜZGÂRLAR<br />
Kimi çevrelerde dile getirildiğinin aksine,<br />
İran ile varılan nükleer anlaşmadan memnuniyet<br />
duyan ülkelerin başında Türkiye<br />
yer alıyor. Anlaşma ile sağlanan uzlaşmanın,<br />
bölgenin barış ve güvenliğine yapacağı<br />
katkının farkında olan Ankara, Tahran’ın<br />
yeni ekonomisinde kendisiyle ilgili yeni fırsatların<br />
doğacağına inanıyor. Kalıcı anlaşma<br />
sonunda İran’ın petrol ve doğal gaz pazarına<br />
tüm gücüyle dönmesi, Türkiye’nin enerji<br />
03<br />
ABD Dışişleri Bakanı<br />
John Kerry ve Siyasi<br />
İşlerden Sorumlu<br />
Müsteşar Wendy<br />
Sherman ABD Başkanı<br />
Barack Obama’nın<br />
konuşmasını tabletten<br />
takip ediyor.<br />
03<br />
US Secretary of State<br />
John Kerry and US<br />
Under Secretary for<br />
Political Affairs Wendy<br />
Sherman listen to<br />
US President Barack<br />
Obama on the tablet.<br />
the world; and the expectation for<br />
increased demand may create pressure for<br />
decreasing oil prices globally. Second effect<br />
would be seen in the gas industry. Europe<br />
might reduce the amount of natural gas<br />
purchased because Iran would be an alternative<br />
as a country getting on well with the<br />
Western world. Increased oil and natural<br />
gas exports of Iran would revive its economy<br />
with cash flow, and this might motivate<br />
foreign investors for the renewal of energy<br />
infrastructures that are old and outdated.<br />
CRITICAL BARRIERS TO THE AGREEMENT:<br />
NETANYAHU, US CONGRESS AND S-<strong>30</strong>0<br />
MISSILES<br />
Can all these positive developments be considered<br />
as a part of a plan which would run<br />
smoothly? Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin<br />
Netanyahu, who swept an election victory,<br />
forcefully argued against a nuclear deal<br />
with Iran, telling US President Barack<br />
Obama that such a nuclear agreement with<br />
Iran would be a threat for Israel’s survival.<br />
Besides, even though he does not actually<br />
participate in negotiations, he quietly influences<br />
the US Congress via the Jewish lobby.<br />
However, Moscow took the first step to lift<br />
the sanctions against Iran. Russian<br />
President Vladimir Putin eliminated the<br />
barriers to the supply of S-<strong>30</strong>0s to Iran. On<br />
the other hand, there is a complex balance<br />
between the US, Iran and Saudi Arabia.<br />
While supporting Saudi Arabia against<br />
Houthis, President Obama negotiates about<br />
a nuclear agreement with Iran. The details<br />
which would make Iran a nuclear power in<br />
the medium or long term were discussed in<br />
Lausanne whereas Saudi Arabia and its<br />
allies sent troops to Yemen to fight against<br />
Houthis. However, the good news about a<br />
nuclear agreement would still maintain the<br />
conflict and competition till the end of June.<br />
But it will not be surprising to see the ongoing<br />
“nuclear tension” in the upcoming<br />
years.<br />
CHANGES IN TURKISH-IRANIAN RELATIONS<br />
In contrary to popular belief, Turkey is one<br />
of the countries that are pleased about the<br />
nuclear deal with Iran. According to<br />
Turkey, such an agreement will not only<br />
maintain peace and security in Iran, but<br />
also it could unlock huge economic potential<br />
for the country. With the final agreement,<br />
Iran will be back in the oil and natural<br />
gas industry and this would fortify<br />
Turkey’s role as an “energy bridge”<br />
HAZAR WORLD<br />
21
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