qronika+318

294 69 77; qronikaqronika@gmail.com
TviTganadgurebis reJimSi
Sedegebi gveubneba.
saqarTvelos mosaxleobis 71%
ambobs, rom monawileobas miiRebs
2020 wlis saparlamento arCevneb-
Si, kidev 23% ki fiqrobs, rom albaT
miiRebs arCevnebSi monawileobas.
mosaxleobis mxolod 2% ambobs,
rom arCevnebSi monawileobas
namdvilad ar miiRebs, damatebiT
4% ki varaudobs, rom arCevnebze
albaT ar wava. anu arCevnebze amomrCevlis
98% miva? isev ityuebian
respondentebi...
Semdeg kiTxvaze mediam aseTi
formulireba gansazRvra, rom
premier gaxarias dadebiTad
afasebs mosaxleobis meti wili,
vidre biZina ivaniSvilso da monacemebic
warmoadgina:
giorgi gaxaria _ 65% pozitiuri;
35% negatiuri;
kaxa kalaZe _ 55% pozitiuri;
45% negatiuri;
biZina ivaniSvili _ 48% pozitiuri;
52% negatiuri;
irakli RaribaSvili _ 45%
pozitiuri; 55% negatiuri;
arCil TalakvaZe _ 37% pozitiuri;
63% negatiuri;
irakli kobaxiZe _ 33% pozitiuri;
67% negatiuri.
magram aq erTi mniSvnelovani
kiTxvaa, romelsac mogvianebiT
qvemoT gavaxmovaneb da kvlav respondentTa
aramwyobr azrovnebaze
momiwevs apelireba.
ai, aseve friad paradoqsuli
pasuxebi morig kiTxvaze, _ rogoria
damokidebuleba ama Tu im
partiis mimarT? pasuxebi Semdegnairad
nawildeba:
„axali saqarTvelosTvis”
(giorgi vaSaZe _ „strategia aRmaSenebeli”)
_ 36% pozitiuri; 64%
negatiuri;
„evropuli saqarTvelo _ Tavisufali
demokratebi” _ 35% pozitiuri;
65% negatiuri;
leiboristuli partia _ 33%;
pozitiuri; 67% negatiuri;
„qarTuli ocneba” _ 33% pozitiuri;
67% negatiuri;
„moqalaqeebi” (aleko elisaSvili)
_ 32% pozitiuri; 68% negatiuri;
„enm _ gaerTianebuli opozicia”
_ 29% pozitiuri; 71% negatiuri;
„patriotTa aliansi” _ 29%
pozitiuri; 71% negatiuri;
„lelo” _ 27% pozitiuri; 73%
negatiuri;
„gamarjvebuli saqarTvelo”
(irakli oqruaSvili) _ 23% pozitiuri;
77% negatiuri;
„Tavisufali saqarTvelo” (kaxa
kukava) _ 21% pozitiuri; 79% negatiuri.
SexedeT, gamokiTxulebi yvelaze
metad pozitiurebi arian „axali
saqarTvelosTvis” (giorgi
vaSaZe _ „strategia aRmaSenebeli”)
da „evropuli saqarTvelo _ Tavisufali
demokratebis” mimarT, ma-
Sin rodesac dRes rom arCevnebi
tardebodes, pirvels _ 3, xolo
meores 5 procenti dauWerda mxars.
gamokiTxulTa 26% ambobs, rom
gamarjvebis SemTxvevaSi opoziciuri
koaliciis premier-ministrobis
kandidati „evropuli saqarTvelos”
lideri daviT baqraZe unda
iyos.
am kiTxvaze pasuxebi Semdegnairad
nawildeba:
daviT baqraZe _ 26%;
giorgi vaSaZe („strategia aRmaSenebeli”)
_ 20%;
grigol vaSaZe _ 18%;
`saqarTvelos mosaxleobis 92% endoba NATO-sa da evrokavSirs. mxolod 8-
8% ambobs, rom xsenebuli gaerTianebebis mimarT ndoba ar aqvs. anu ra
gamodis? - erTi im 28 procentidan vinc ruseTs endoba, natosa da
evrokavSirs endoba 20%?~
mixeil saakaSvili _ 7%;
nika melia _ 5%;
Salva naTelaSvili _ 4%;
irma inaSvili _ 2%;
mamuka xazaraZe _ 2%.
am SemadgenlobaSi irma inaSvili
rogor moxvda gaugebaria. aq
personalurad rogor moxvda,
imaze ar vsaubrob, aramed imaze,
rom prodasavluri opoziciis
premieri inaSvili ver iqneba, eg
xom cxadia. asec rom iyos, ratom
aqvs mas 2%, maSin rodesac dRes
rom arCevnebi tardebodes, „patriotTa
alianss” 3% uWers mxars. an
xazarZes imave gaTvlebiT rogor
aqvs 2% Tu lelos 3% uWers mxars?
araferi pirovnuli baton
daviT baqraZesTan, magram rodesac
opozicia radikalur reformebze
saubrobs, romelime reformebis
momxre interviueri fiqrobs, rom
yvelaze reitinguli opoziciuri
figura radikaluri reformebis
sulisCamdgmeli iqneba? is xom
metwilad gawonasworebuli, mSvidi
da naklebiniciativiani politikuri
figuris STabeWdilebas
tovebs. damokidebulebebs xom
swored is gansazRvravs, ra warmodgenac
aqvs sazogadoebas konkretuli
personis mimarT da ara
is, realurad SeZlebs Tu ara... aqve
dasafiqrebelia, „nacionaluri mo-
Zraobis” 16%-is fonze premierad
grigil vaSaZe rogor surs 18%-s,
xolo persona, romelic „nacionaluri
moZraobis” eleqtoraluri
ganwyobis mTavari ganmsazRvrelia
_ mixeil saakaSvili, premierad
Tanapartielebis, mxardamWerebis
50%-ze mets ratom ar surT? aseve
sainteresoa nika melias 5%. sociologia
yvelanair daSvebas ganixilavs
da am daSvebis pirobebSi
gamodis, rom amomrCevlis _ davakonkreteb,
gamokiTxulTa 30%,
premier-ministrad enm-is kandidaturas
ganixilavs da aseTi jamis
SemTxvevaSi daviT baqraZis pirveli
adgili realurad meore adgili
gaxlavT. ise, giorgi vaSaZis
premierad msurveli 20%, mis partias
ratom ar uWers mxars (3%)?
igive SegviZlia vTqvaT daviT
baqraZeze _ permierad 26%-s surs
da partias 5% uWers mxars. anu ra,
am mxardamWerebma ar ician, premieri
rom gaxdes persona, misi
partiis gamarjveba aucilebelia?
mokled, aseTi araTanmimdevruli
da daufiqrebeli respondentebis
xelSi kidev karg dReSia qveyana.
sayuradReboa kvlevis socialuri
nawili _ saqarTvelos mosaxleobis
umravlesoba (43%) ambobs,
rom momaval 12 Tveze fiqris
dros, maTi azriT, maTi cxovreba
igive iqneba. 32% fiqrobs, rom misi
cxovreba ukeTesi iqneba, 25%-is
azriT ki _ uaresi. kvlevaSi monawileTa
es mosazreba rogor esadageba
maTsave Semdeg pozicias, Tavad
gansajeT _ saqarTvelos mosaxleobis
37%-s Zalian eSinia, rom
axlo momavalSi ar eqneba sakvebisa
da saojaxo sayidlebis SesaZeni
Tanxa, 44-%-s ki odnav eSinia. mxolod
19% ambobs, rom mas amis
saerTod ar eSinia.
anu 37%-s eSinia, 44-s odnav eSinia,
anu mainc eSinia, rom momaval-
Si „xval” ar eqneba sakvebisa da
saojaxo sayidlebis SesaZeni Tanxa.
anu jamSi SeSinebulia 81%. maSin
SeSinebuli adamianebidan 39%
rogor uWers mxars „qarTul ocnebas”?
Tu es maincdamainc odnav
SeSinebulTa kontingentia? ara,
ase ver iqneba. radgan 19%-s saer-
Tod ar eSinia da, savaraudod,
danarCeni 20% „ocnebam” odnav
SeSinebulebidan da SeSinebulebidan
daimata. esec paradoqsis sferodanaa,
_ geSinodes, rom mTavroba
SimSiliT mogklavs da mainc
mas uWerde mxars. anu aq respondentebi
sakuTari Tavis viRacisTvis
Sebralebas cdiloben.
absurdis Teatrs emsgavseba
respondentebis mosazrebebi sagareo
faqtorebTan dakavSirebiT.
Catarebuli kvlevis SedegebiT
mosaxleobis 93% ambobs, rom endoba
ukrainas; aSS-s _ 92%; did
britaneTs _ 90%; israels _ 85%;
TurqeTs _ 74%; azerbaijans _
73%; somxeTs _ 68; irans _ 56.
anu ras niSnavs am SemTxvevaSi
romelime ucxo qveynis ndoba? ras
eyrdoba is? ukrainis SemTxvevaSi
„ocnebis” mxardamWerebis umetesobisTvis
misaRebia ukrainis xelisuflebis
damokidebuleba Tundac
mixeil saakaSvilis daniSvnas-
Tan dakavSirebiT? axla viRac
ityvis, rom respondentebi qveyanas
_ saxelwifos ar ganixilaven xelisuflebebis
prizmaSi. maSin maT
mouwevT axsnan, ras gulisxmoben
ndobaSi. aSS, romelic saqarTvelos
yvelaze didi donoria da
misi demokratiuli ganviTarebis
garanti, ratom aris ndobis TvalsazrisiT
meore adgilze? rogor
aRmoCnda britaneTi mesame adgilze?
gamokiTxulTa mxolod 28% ambobs,
rom endoba ruseTs, 72%-is
azri sapirispiroa. aqve kiTxva, _
radgan Cven, opozicia da calkeuli
megobari, partniori qveynebis
warmomadgenlebi gvimtkiceben,
rom xelisufleba prorusulia,
ratom ver moxerxda ruseTis mxardamWerTa
raodenoba 28%-ze
meti yofiliyo? aq gana mxolod
„ocnebis” mxardamWerebi arian
ndobis gamomxatvelebi?
saqarTvelos mosaxleobis 92%
endoba NATO-sa da evrokavSirs.
mxolod 8-8% ambobs, rom xsenebuli
gaerTianebebis mimarT ndoba
ar aqvs. anu ra gamodis? _ erTi im
28 procentidan vinc ruseTs endoba,
natosa da evrokavSirs endoba
20%? meore _ warmodgenili kvlevis
mixedviT, yvelaze prodasavlur
partia „evropul saqarTvelos”
(am partiisa da enm-s mkveTr
prodasavlurobas xelisufleba
usvams xazs, rodesac saubrobs,
rom maT winaaRmdeg qveynis farglebs
gareT agorebuli kampania
swored am politikur subieqtebs
ukavSirdeba) rogor aqvs 5%, maSin
roca evroatlantikur struqturebSi
integraciis momxrea
92%? da mesame _ gaxsovT, zemoT
gaxarias reitingze saubrisas
aRvniSne, davubrundebi mis sakiTxs-meTqi:
anu am 92%-dan „prorusi”
gaxarias saqmianobas dadebiTad
afasebs 65% da mTlad
ruseTze „mierTebuli” ivaniSvilisas
_ 48%?
mokled, WeSmaritad Seucnobel
ars qarTveli respondentebis
(romelic kvlevaSi mosaxleobad
konvertirdeba) da sabolood
eleqtoratis gzani da fiqrni.
***
da aqve, kidev erTi paradoqsi:
Edison Research-is kvlevis faglebSi
saqarTvelos mosaxleobas (daakvirdiT
formulirebas) hkiTxes, Tu
rogor afasebs rogorc 2004-2012
wlebis, aseve 2012 wlidan dRevandlamde
periods?
2004-2012 wlebis periods mosaxleobis
76% dadebiTad afasebs,
24% _ uaryofiTad. 2012-dan
dRevandlamde periods ki dadebi-
Tad 58% afasebs, uaryofiTad _
42%.
mgoni, me sxva saqarTveloSi vcxovrob.
ukacravad da gamaxseneT,
vin gaimarjva 2012 wlis arCevneb-
Si, procentebi rogor iyo? a, xo,
ukeTesis molodinis gamo daamarcxes
„kargi” da airCies „cudi”,
romelic kargi egonaT? anu realobaSi
kargisa da cudis garCevis
unaric ar gvaqvs da amas „momavali”
sWirdeba da iqidan ukan
gamoxedva?
eh!..
***
erTi fragmenti Teolog guram
lursmanaSvilis Sefasebidan am
kvlevebTan mimarTebiT: „edison
riserCis” bolo kvlevam kidev
erTxel daadastura, rom Cven
Cvenive „bablis” (termini gafiltruli
babli aRwers mdgomareobas,
roca Cven socialur qseleb-
Si (sazogadoebaSi), megobrebis
SerCeviT vqmniT erTgvar Caketil
socialur wres. aseT dros CvenSi
ukve arsebul rwmenebsa da Rirebulebebs
yvela garSemomyofic
iziarebs, rac imis iluzias qmnis,
rom am wris gareTac analogiuri
realoba arsebobs, _ g. m.) tyveebi
varT, vxedavT imas, rac mogvwons,
rasac veTanxmebiT da ara imas, realurad
ra tendenciebic mimdinareobs
qveyanaSi... mag.: fb-s
vfiltravT, vSliT, vblokavT an
gamoweras vuuqmebT im adamians,
romlis Sexedulebebi Cvensas kardinalurad
ewinaaRmdegeba, vuyurebT
mxolod im televiziebs,
romelTa mier gaJRerebuli azri
Cvensas eTanxmeba da a. S. amis Sedegad
Cven iseT saqarTvelos vqmniT,
rogoric Cven gvinda, rom
iyos da amis Sesabamis iluziebSic
vcxovrobT. bablis tyveebi varT
rogorc qveynis Sida, aseve sagareo
politikis dros. am yvelafridan
ki is daskvna gamomaqvs, rom
iluzia da ararealuria fiqrebi
imis Taobaze, rom saqarTveloSi
mokle periodSi uproblemod Seicvleba
dadebiTisken politikuri,
ekonomikuri an saeklesio
situacia. piriqiT, minimum, 20 weli
(saukeTeso variantSi) mainc
dagvWirdeba progresis misaRwevad
da rac ufro male gaviazrebT
amas, miT ukeTesi, Tu arada, kidev
didxans mogviwevs „uaxloes momavalSi
mesianuri molodinisgan
imedgacrueba”. optimizmi kargi
raRacaa, magram rodesac igi realobas
moklebulia, kraxisTvisaa
ganwiruli, rac, rogorc qristefore
mgalobliSvili ityoda,
aucileblad gamoiwvevs Soks. gamosavali?
bevri rom ar gavagZrelo,
yvelam Cven-Cvens profesiaSi unda
gavakeToT sakuTari SesaZleblobebis
maqsimumi da ar gvqondes
imis iluzia, rom am Cveni Tavganwirvis
gamo vinme dagvafasebs... ai,
lanZRva-gineba ki icocxle, blomad
gveqneba.
***
sul es iyo, rac mindoda meTqva
saqarTvelos mosaxleobis
nafiqralis Sedegebze bolo kvlevebis
mixedviT, romelsac isedac
TavlaTliv xedavs yvela is,
vinc fiqrobs sakuTari „bablis”
miRma, xolo vinc ar fiqrobs, imas
arc araferi enaRvleba. vinc ar
fiqrobs, is axla upirates mdgomareobaSia
Tundac droebiT, radgan
sakuTari komfortis uzrunvelsayofad
cdilobs gaanadguros
is, vinc fiqrobs.
N16 (318) 21.07-27.07.2020 w.
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