Final Technical Report: - Southwest Fisheries Science Center - NOAA

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Appendix B, Table B-6. Summary of model validation statistics for final short-beaked common dolphin density models in the ETP built on 1986-2003 SWFSC survey data and tested on 2006 SWFSC survey data ................................................................................................................ 142 Appendix B, Table B-7. Summary of model validation statistics for final bottlenose dolphin density models in the ETP built on 1986-2003 SWFSC survey data and tested on 2006 SWFSC survey data .............................................................................................................................. 144 Appendix B, Table B-8. Summary of model validation statistics for final Risso's dolphin density models in the ETP built on 1986-2003 SWFSC survey data and tested on 2006 SWFSC survey data ......................................................................................................................................... 146 Appendix B, Table B-9. Summary of model validation statistics for final Cuvier's beaked whale density models in the ETP built on 1986-2003 SWFSC survey data and tested on 2006 SWFSC survey data .............................................................................................................................. 148 Appendix B, Table B-10. Summary of model validation statistics for final blue whale density models in the ETP built on 1986-2003 SWFSC survey data and tested on 2006 SWFSC survey data ......................................................................................................................................... 150 Appendix B, Table B-11. Summary of model validation statistics for final Bryde's whale density models in the ETP built on 1986-2003 SWFSC survey data and tested on 2006 SWFSC survey data ......................................................................................................................................... 152 Appendix B, Table B-12. Summary of model validation statistics for final short-finned pilot whale density models in the ETP built on 1986-2003 SWFSC survey data and tested on 2006 SWFSC survey data ................................................................................................................ 154 Appendix B, Table B-13. Summary of model validation statistics for final dwarf sperm whale density models in the ETP built on 1986-2003 SWFSC survey data and tested on 2006 SWFSC survey data .............................................................................................................................. 156 Appendix B, Table B-14. Summary of model validation statistics for final Mesoplodon spp. density models in the ETP built on 1986-2003 SWFSC survey data and tested on 2006 SWFSC survey data .............................................................................................................................. 158 Appendix B, Table B-15. Summary of model validation statistics for final small beaked whale density models in the ETP built on 1986-2003 SWFSC survey data and tested on 2006 SWFSC survey data .............................................................................................................................. 160 xii
Acronyms and Abbreviations AIC Akaike Information Criterion ASPE Average Squared Prediction Error CART Classification and Regression Trees CCA Canonical Correspondance Analysis CCE California Current Ecosystem CHL Surface Chlorophyll CTD Conductivity, Temperature, and Depth measurment instrument CV Coefficient of Variation CZCS Coastal Zone Color Scanner EEZ Exclusive Economic Zone ER Encounter Rate ESW Effective Strip Width ETP Eastern Tropical Pacific GAM Generalized Additive Model GCV Generalized Cross Validation GIS Geographic Information System GLM Generalized Linear Model MLD Mixed Layer Depth NASC Nautical Area Scattering Coefficient NOAA National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration SCORE Southern California Offshore Range SDSS Spatial Decision Support System software SE Standard Error SeaWIFS Sea-viewing Wide Field-of-view Sensor SERDP Strategic Environmental Research and Development Program SSS Sea Surface Salinity SST Sea Surface Temperature SWFSC Southwest Fisheries Science Center TD Thermocline Depth TS Themocline Strength US United States XBT eXpendable BathyThermograph xiii
Page 1 and 2: U N I R A P E D T T E M D S E N TA
Page 3: C O L A N IO T A N U N C I EA .S. D
Page 6 and 7: This report was prepared under cont
Page 8 and 9: Table of Contents Acronyms and Abbr
Page 10 and 11: C.1 Journal Publications ..........
Page 12 and 13: Figure 18. Encounter rate models bu
Page 14 and 15: List of Tables Table 1. Summary of
Page 18 and 19: Acknowledgements This project was f
Page 20 and 21: of these choices as possible and us
Page 22 and 23: Although our models include most of
Page 24 and 25: 2.0 Background The Navy and other m
Page 26 and 27: comparison is based on a separate s
Page 28 and 29: Figure 1. Transects (green lines) s
Page 30 and 31: used to evaluate the ability of sum
Page 32 and 33: 3.1.5 Mid-trophic Sampling with Net
Page 34 and 35: variable. Interpolated maps of the
Page 36 and 37: Table 2. Variogram model results. A
Page 38 and 39: “number of individuals” as the
Page 40 and 41: Encounter Rate and Group Size Model
Page 42 and 43: were built separately for each of t
Page 44 and 45: Expanding models to the entire U.S.
Page 46 and 47: Table 4. Summary of the weighted ef
Page 48 and 49: Consistent with Barlow and Forney (
Page 50 and 51: incorporation of geographic coordin
Page 52 and 53: overwhelming majority of “Bryde
Page 54 and 55: the genera Ziphius and Mesoplodon.
Page 56 and 57: Table 7. Geographically stratified
Page 58 and 59: above, and the data themselves, are
Page 60 and 61: (hereafter “summer”). SWFSC has
Page 62 and 63: avoid these problems, we decided to
Page 64 and 65: Figure 9. Thermocline depth (m) obs
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Attempts to adjust search parameter
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CAMMS 1991 PODS 1993 ORCAWALE 1996
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4.2 Modeling Framework : GLM and GA
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4.2.4 Conclusions Regardings Modeli
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Table 10 cont. Comparison of the si
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Table 11 cont. Comparison of the si
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Figure 15. The transect lines used
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A) Striped dolphin 10 km B) Short-b
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dependent. For example, the number
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Figure 19. Predicted average densit
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ecosystem, eastern spinner dolphins
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Table 13. Variables selected for mo
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Table 14. Starting and final AIC va
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Table 17. Ratios of observed to pre
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species represented in the acoustic
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0.29 (Risso’s dolphin) to 3.20 (n
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Figure 25. Sample 2005 validation p
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Table 18. (continued) 1991 1993 Nor
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Blue whales had the greatest deviat
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Table 20. Abundance (number of anim
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Table 22. Proportion of deviance ex
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Figure 27. Average density (AveDens
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Table 23. Effective degrees of free
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We attempted to build encounter rat
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5.0 Conclusion The field of predict
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6.0 Transition Plan The models of c
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needed to ensure that the SDSS rema
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Administrative Report LJ-07-02. NOA
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Forney KA, Barlow J (1993) Prelimin
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Redfern JV, Barlow J, Ballance LT,
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Appendix A: Detailed Model Results
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Table A-1 (continued) Blue whale 19
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Figure A-1a. Striped dolphin 108
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Figure A-1c. Risso’s dolphin 110
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Figure A-1e. Northern right whale d
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Figure A-1g. Sperm whale 114
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Figure A-1i. Blue whale 116
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Figure A-1k. Baird’s beaked whale
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Figure A-2. Predicted average densi
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Figure A-2b. Short-beaked common do
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Figure A-2d. Pacific white-sided do
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Figure A-2f. Dall’s porpoise 126
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Figure A-2h. Fin whale 128
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Figure A-2j. Humpback whale 130
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Figure A-2l. Small beaked whales 13
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Table B-2. Summary of model validat
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Table B-10. Summary of model valida
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Figure B-1. Predicted yearly and av
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Figure B-1. b) Eastern spinner dolp
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Figure B-1. c) Whitebelly spinner d
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Figure B-1. d) Striped dolphin 168
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Figure B-1. e) Rough-toothed dolphi
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Figure B-1. f) Short-beaked common
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Figure B-1. g) Bottlenose dolphin 1
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Figure B-1. h) Risso’s dolphin 17
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Figure B-1. i) Cuvier’s beaked wh
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Figure B-1. j) Blue whale 180
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Figure B-1. k) Bryde’s whale 182
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Figure B-1. l) Short-finned pilot w
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Figure B-1. m) Dwarf sperm whale 18
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Figure B-1. n) Mesoplodon beaked wh
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Figure B-1. o) Small beaked whales
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Figure B-2. Predicted average densi
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Figure B-2. (cont.) c) Whitebelly s
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Figure B-2. (cont.) g) Bottlenose d
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Figure B-2. (cont.) k) Bryde’s wh
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Figure B-2. (cont.) o) Small beaked
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Ferguson MC (2005) Cetacean Populat
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Barlow J, Kahru M, Mitchell BG (In
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Memorandum NMFS-SWFSC-374, U.S. Dep
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Final Technical Report: - Southwest Fisheries Science Center - NOAA

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