Final Technical Report: - Southwest Fisheries Science Center - NOAA

More documents

Recommendations

Info

Table B-12. Summary of model validation statistics for final short-finned pilot whale density models in the ETP built on 1986-2003 SWFSC survey data and tested on 2006 SWFSC survey data. Obs/Pred = ratio of stratified line-transect to model predicted density estimates. Obs = observed number of groups multiplied by the observed average group size. Pred = predicted number of groups multiplied by the predicted group size. Statistics are provided for each year separately and for all years pooled, and for each stratum separately and the study area as a whole. 1986 1987 1988 Stratum Obs/Pred Obs Pred Obs/Pred Obs Pred Obs/Pred Obs Pred Costa Rica Dome 1.429 132.878 93.006 1.345 35.067 26.080 3.734 371.651 99.544 West Baja Peninsula NA NA NA NA NA NA 0.000 0.000 5.234 Equatorial Cold Tongue 0.819 147.010 179.508 2.282 291.350 127.691 0.428 137.558 321.177 Eastern Pacific Warm Pool 0.450 41.595 92.431 0.617 29.666 48.083 0.428 48.101 112.310 Oligotrophic Offshore 0.000 0.000 40.862 0.523 15.067 28.789 0.345 29.687 85.929 North Equatorial Countercurrent 0.000 0.000 27.273 1.205 27.400 22.747 0.928 48.101 51.809 North Equatorial Current 0.000 0.000 40.427 0.000 0.000 26.352 0.322 29.687 92.125 Study Area 0.785 321.483 409.634 1.486 387.293 260.551 0.910 657.892 723.041 1989 1990 1998 Stratum Obs/Pred Obs Pred Obs/Pred Obs Pred Obs/Pred Obs Pred Costa Rica Dome 0.846 60.860 71.932 2.056 164.097 79.816 1.433 220.243 153.735 West Baja Peninsula 0.000 0.000 13.013 NA NA NA 0.000 0.000 10.440 Equatorial Cold Tongue 1.323 315.257 238.355 1.190 433.642 364.462 1.057 373.813 353.525 Eastern Pacific Warm Pool 1.091 143.627 131.635 0.482 49.167 102.028 0.216 47.679 220.672 Oligotrophic Offshore 0.000 0.000 5.898 0.179 21.574 120.322 2.192 241.967 110.378 North Equatorial Countercurrent 3.649 49.590 13.591 0.341 32.667 95.669 1.730 170.383 98.503 North Equatorial Current 0.000 0.000 32.756 0.384 29.074 75.639 0.981 98.917 100.862 Study Area 1.141 536.211 470.061 0.967 738.980 763.888 0.954 983.336 1030.526 1999 2000 2003 Stratum Obs/Pred Obs Pred Obs/Pred Obs Pred Obs/Pred Obs Pred Costa Rica Dome 0.583 84.376 144.697 1.712 214.224 125.137 0.659 34.901 52.979 West Baja Peninsula 0.000 0.000 16.006 0.904 37.667 41.652 3.616 58.200 16.095 Equatorial Cold Tongue 0.910 134.686 148.035 1.909 238.495 124.905 1.160 88.340 76.126 Eastern Pacific Warm Pool 0.566 154.454 272.829 0.430 107.833 250.602 1.107 177.320 160.150 Oligotrophic Offshore 1.412 125.033 88.522 1.247 118.637 95.123 1.085 25.296 23.324 North Equatorial Countercurrent 1.563 128.783 82.391 0.434 32.637 75.249 1.099 30.300 27.563 North Equatorial Current 0.249 31.667 126.985 0.781 100.667 128.931 0.627 49.983 79.693 Study Area 0.759 599.024 789.061 1.128 839.673 744.241 1.105 493.563 446.575 154
Table B-12 cont. Summary of model validation statistics for final short-finned pilot whale density models in the ETP. 2006 All Years Stratum Obs/Pred Obs Pred Obs/Pred Obs Pred Costa Rica Dome 2.569 194.674 75.779 1.640 1512.971 922.704 West Baja Peninsula 4.626 101.286 21.893 1.586 197.153 124.333 Equatorial Cold Tongue 5.711 764.185 133.808 1.414 2924.334 2067.592 Eastern Pacific Warm Pool 1.057 134.180 126.920 0.615 933.622 1517.661 Oligotrophic Offshore 2.698 105.317 39.033 1.070 682.579 638.181 North Equatorial Countercurrent 5.242 170.067 32.442 1.309 689.928 527.238 North Equatorial Current 0.290 19.750 68.108 0.466 359.745 771.877 Study Area 2.892 1383.918 478.523 1.135 6941.373 6116.101 155
Page 1 and 2:
U N I R A P E D T T E M D S E N TA
Page 3:
C O L A N IO T A N U N C I EA .S. D
Page 6 and 7:
This report was prepared under cont
Page 8 and 9:
Table of Contents Acronyms and Abbr
Page 10 and 11:
C.1 Journal Publications ..........
Page 12 and 13:
Figure 18. Encounter rate models bu
Page 14 and 15:
List of Tables Table 1. Summary of
Page 16 and 17:
Appendix B, Table B-6. Summary of m
Page 18 and 19:
Acknowledgements This project was f
Page 20 and 21:
of these choices as possible and us
Page 22 and 23:
Although our models include most of
Page 24 and 25:
2.0 Background The Navy and other m
Page 26 and 27:
comparison is based on a separate s
Page 28 and 29:
Figure 1. Transects (green lines) s
Page 30 and 31:
used to evaluate the ability of sum
Page 32 and 33:
3.1.5 Mid-trophic Sampling with Net
Page 34 and 35:
variable. Interpolated maps of the
Page 36 and 37:
Table 2. Variogram model results. A
Page 38 and 39:
“number of individuals” as the
Page 40 and 41:
Encounter Rate and Group Size Model
Page 42 and 43:
were built separately for each of t
Page 44 and 45:
Expanding models to the entire U.S.
Page 46 and 47:
Table 4. Summary of the weighted ef
Page 48 and 49:
Consistent with Barlow and Forney (
Page 50 and 51:
incorporation of geographic coordin
Page 52 and 53:
overwhelming majority of “Bryde
Page 54 and 55:
the genera Ziphius and Mesoplodon.
Page 56 and 57:
Table 7. Geographically stratified
Page 58 and 59:
above, and the data themselves, are
Page 60 and 61:
(hereafter “summer”). SWFSC has
Page 62 and 63:
avoid these problems, we decided to
Page 64 and 65:
Figure 9. Thermocline depth (m) obs
Page 66 and 67:
Attempts to adjust search parameter
Page 68 and 69:
CAMMS 1991 PODS 1993 ORCAWALE 1996
Page 70 and 71:
4.2 Modeling Framework : GLM and GA
Page 72 and 73:
4.2.4 Conclusions Regardings Modeli
Page 74 and 75:
Table 10 cont. Comparison of the si
Page 76 and 77:
Table 11 cont. Comparison of the si
Page 78 and 79:
Figure 15. The transect lines used
Page 80 and 81:
A) Striped dolphin 10 km B) Short-b
Page 82 and 83:
dependent. For example, the number
Page 84 and 85:
Figure 19. Predicted average densit
Page 86 and 87:
ecosystem, eastern spinner dolphins
Page 88 and 89:
Table 13. Variables selected for mo
Page 90 and 91:
Table 14. Starting and final AIC va
Page 92 and 93:
Table 17. Ratios of observed to pre
Page 94 and 95:
species represented in the acoustic
Page 96 and 97:
0.29 (Risso’s dolphin) to 3.20 (n
Page 98 and 99:
Figure 25. Sample 2005 validation p
Page 100 and 101:
Table 18. (continued) 1991 1993 Nor
Page 102 and 103:
Blue whales had the greatest deviat
Page 104 and 105:
Table 20. Abundance (number of anim
Page 106 and 107:
Table 22. Proportion of deviance ex
Page 108 and 109:
Figure 27. Average density (AveDens
Page 110 and 111:
Table 23. Effective degrees of free
Page 112 and 113:
We attempted to build encounter rat
Page 114 and 115:
5.0 Conclusion The field of predict
Page 116 and 117:
6.0 Transition Plan The models of c
Page 118 and 119:
needed to ensure that the SDSS rema
Page 120 and 121:
Administrative Report LJ-07-02. NOA
Page 122 and 123:
Forney KA, Barlow J (1993) Prelimin
Page 124 and 125:
Redfern JV, Barlow J, Ballance LT,
Page 126 and 127: Appendix A: Detailed Model Results
Page 128 and 129: Table A-1 (continued) Blue whale 19
Page 130 and 131: Figure A-1a. Striped dolphin 108
Page 132 and 133: Figure A-1c. Risso’s dolphin 110
Page 134 and 135: Figure A-1e. Northern right whale d
Page 136 and 137: Figure A-1g. Sperm whale 114
Page 138 and 139: Figure A-1i. Blue whale 116
Page 140 and 141: Figure A-1k. Baird’s beaked whale
Page 142 and 143: Figure A-2. Predicted average densi
Page 144 and 145: Figure A-2b. Short-beaked common do
Page 146 and 147: Figure A-2d. Pacific white-sided do
Page 148 and 149: Figure A-2f. Dall’s porpoise 126
Page 150 and 151: Figure A-2h. Fin whale 128
Page 152 and 153: Figure A-2j. Humpback whale 130
Page 154 and 155: Figure A-2l. Small beaked whales 13
Page 156 and 157: Table B-2. Summary of model validat
Page 172 and 173: Table B-10. Summary of model valida
Page 184 and 185: Figure B-1. Predicted yearly and av
Page 186 and 187: Figure B-1. b) Eastern spinner dolp
Page 188 and 189: Figure B-1. c) Whitebelly spinner d
Page 190 and 191: Figure B-1. d) Striped dolphin 168
Page 192 and 193: Figure B-1. e) Rough-toothed dolphi
Page 194 and 195: Figure B-1. f) Short-beaked common
Page 196 and 197: Figure B-1. g) Bottlenose dolphin 1
Page 198 and 199: Figure B-1. h) Risso’s dolphin 17
Page 200 and 201: Figure B-1. i) Cuvier’s beaked wh
Page 202 and 203: Figure B-1. j) Blue whale 180
Page 204 and 205: Figure B-1. k) Bryde’s whale 182
Page 206 and 207: Figure B-1. l) Short-finned pilot w
Page 208 and 209: Figure B-1. m) Dwarf sperm whale 18
Page 210 and 211: Figure B-1. n) Mesoplodon beaked wh
Page 212 and 213: Figure B-1. o) Small beaked whales
Page 214 and 215: Figure B-2. Predicted average densi
Page 216 and 217: Figure B-2. (cont.) c) Whitebelly s
Page 218 and 219: Figure B-2. (cont.) g) Bottlenose d
Page 220 and 221: Figure B-2. (cont.) k) Bryde’s wh
Page 222 and 223: Figure B-2. (cont.) o) Small beaked
Page 224 and 225: Ferguson MC (2005) Cetacean Populat
Page 226 and 227:
Barlow J, Kahru M, Mitchell BG (In
Page 228 and 229:
Memorandum NMFS-SWFSC-374, U.S. Dep
show all

Final Technical Report: - Southwest Fisheries Science Center - NOAA

You also want an ePaper? Increase the reach of your titles

Delete template?

Save as template?