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Gambling motivation and involvement: A review of social

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equivalent to lowering the price <strong>of</strong> the lottery experience, <strong>and</strong> lower price results in<br />

increased consumption.<br />

Lottery operators may increase the price with the intention <strong>of</strong> making more<br />

money, but this may be <strong>of</strong>fset by lower sales. The British National Lottery appears<br />

to have a near optimal balance between, on the one h<strong>and</strong>, ticket price <strong>and</strong>, on the<br />

other, jackpot size <strong>and</strong> frequency [164]. Cross-elasticity has been found between<br />

lotteries <strong>and</strong> horse racing in the USA, where the introduction <strong>of</strong> lotteries in some<br />

cases has lead to a decline in wagering on horse racing [54, 163]. Advertising can be<br />

expected to increase lottery sales <strong>and</strong> its extent can be used to measure sales elasticity.<br />

An American study found advertising-related sales elasticity <strong>of</strong> lotteries to be<br />

comparable to that <strong>of</strong> other consumer goods [165]. Another study, however, found<br />

that lotto advertising on the radio <strong>and</strong> in newspapers had little effect on sales, while<br />

jackpot size <strong>and</strong> TV publicity regarding jackpot winners had a relatively big effect<br />

[166].<br />

Some studies have found that the consumption <strong>of</strong> gambling products (lotteries<br />

<strong>and</strong> slot machines) on mature markets follows a stochastic Negative Binomial Distribution<br />

(NBD) pattern [167–169]. A large proportion <strong>of</strong> sales are accounted for<br />

by a minority <strong>of</strong> the buyers – a phenomenon that in business is <strong>of</strong>ten referred to as<br />

the “80–20” rule (where 80 percent <strong>of</strong> the products sold are bought by 20 percent<br />

<strong>of</strong> the customers). The frequency <strong>of</strong> past purchases appears in these studies to be a<br />

good predictor <strong>of</strong> the frequency <strong>of</strong> future purchases, which is interpreted to indicate<br />

that much buying is habitual. Since the NBD pattern has been verified for many<br />

different kinds <strong>of</strong> frequently-bought consumer products, the conclusion is that the<br />

consumption pattern <strong>of</strong> gambling products does not indicate a significant element<br />

<strong>of</strong> addiction or pathology.<br />

Although some findings in this body <strong>of</strong> literature appear to be a bit conflicting,<br />

the bulk <strong>of</strong> it suggests that consumption patterns for lotteries <strong>and</strong> some other forms<br />

<strong>of</strong> gambling are similar to those <strong>of</strong> other consumer products. The addictive-like consumption<br />

<strong>of</strong> gambling products by a tiny fraction <strong>of</strong> the population does not appear<br />

to be visible in these kinds <strong>of</strong> economic studies. The great majority <strong>of</strong> consumers <strong>of</strong><br />

gambling products react as expected, according to economic models for rational <strong>and</strong><br />

utility-maximizing product choice, to variations in price <strong>and</strong> entertainment value.<br />

There are, however, a few economic studies based on the theory <strong>of</strong> rational addiction<br />

that have come to other conclusions. These will be discussed below. Finally, it<br />

should be noted that a consumer perspective on gambling has implications for gambling<br />

policy <strong>and</strong> the responsible provision <strong>of</strong> gambling – as consumer rights, choice<br />

<strong>and</strong> protection come into focus [170, 171] – but this will not be discussed here.<br />

G A M B L I N G M O T I VAT I O N A N D I N V O LV E M E N T 33

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