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Chapters 1 - U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service

Chapters 1 - U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service

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Environmental Consequences<br />

habitat by 2050 <strong>and</strong> all of the salt marsh habitat <strong>and</strong> undeveloped upl<strong>and</strong> areas would be converted<br />

to subtidal habitat by 2100.<br />

<strong>Wildlife</strong> <strong>and</strong> Habitat Management<br />

Under Alternative A, the Refuge would continue to be managed as it is today, with no specific<br />

actions being taken to address sea level rise. However, management actions such as the<br />

monitoring of the Refuge’s light-footed clapper rail population <strong>and</strong> conducting monthly avian<br />

surveys could provide some insight into how sea level rise may be affecting wildlife resources on<br />

the Refuge.<br />

Over the next 15 years, it is likely that the effects of sea level rise (e.g., higher high tide elevations,<br />

increases in the frequency of surface flooding due to higher high tides that occur during storm<br />

events) will become more evident. However, the effects of sea level rise over the next 15 years are<br />

not anticipated to adversely affect Refuge resources.<br />

As time goes on, these effects are expected to become progressively more profound. Based on the<br />

results of the SLAMM, sea level rise over the next 25 to 100 years could inundate the cordgrass<br />

habitat on the Refuge; adversely impacting the light-footed clapper rail <strong>and</strong> the habitat that<br />

supports this species. In addition, the condition of existing culverts serving the restoration areas<br />

of the Refuge could be degraded as a result of increased tidal elevations. Wind <strong>and</strong> wave erosion<br />

would also be expected to increase along the slopes located adjacent to the restored area at the<br />

north end of the Refuge, as well as around the perimeter of NASA Isl<strong>and</strong>. Actions to address<br />

these impacts will be required at some point in the future, possibly requiring major revisions to the<br />

Refuge goals <strong>and</strong> objectives to address the changes associated with sea level rise.<br />

Public Use<br />

The SLAMM assumes that the developed dry l<strong>and</strong> within the Refuge (e.g., areas supporting<br />

streets, buildings, <strong>and</strong> other facilities) would be maintained <strong>and</strong> protected; however, there are no<br />

assurances that this will in fact be the case. Bolsa Avenue, which includes a public use trail along<br />

its western edge, is already subject to tidal flooding during extreme high tides. The cost of<br />

protecting this road from more frequent inundation may be excessive <strong>and</strong> would likely be the<br />

responsibility of the Navy. Therefore, the trail, an existing observation deck, <strong>and</strong> interpretive<br />

signs that have been installed along the length of the trail would be subject to damage as a result of<br />

sea level rise. These effects are not anticipated to occur over the next 15 years, but are anticipated<br />

to occur at some point in the future. At such time as inundation becomes too frequent, these<br />

facilities would have to be ab<strong>and</strong>oned or relocated. Monitoring of tidal elevations over time will<br />

provide insight into when plans should be initiated to address the removal <strong>and</strong>/or relocation of<br />

these existing facilities. Opportunities for wildlife observation, interpretation, <strong>and</strong> environmental<br />

education would however continue to be available despite the effects of sea level rise. No new<br />

facilities are proposed under Alternative A; therefore, the anticipated impacts to the Refuge’s<br />

public use facilities would be limited to those facilities that are already present on the Refuge.<br />

5.2.1.8 Effects to Air Quality<br />

<strong>Wildlife</strong> <strong>and</strong> Habitat Management<br />

Current wildlife <strong>and</strong> habitat management activities on the Refuge require the use of motorized<br />

vehicles for access to various project sites, to accommodate habitat <strong>and</strong> species monitoring, to<br />

deliver tools, supplies, <strong>and</strong> other equipment to habitat management sites, <strong>and</strong> for removing trash<br />

<strong>and</strong> debris from the marsh. The staff on the Refuge consists of one full-time Refuge Manager <strong>and</strong><br />

a part-time maintenance worker, generating approximately 32 vehicle trips to <strong>and</strong> from the Refuge<br />

per week. Refuge volunteers who assist at the Refuge generate an estimated 20 additional trips<br />

Draft Comprehensive Conservation Plan 5-9

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