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Management of rice production systems to increase productivity

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management <strong>of</strong> soil nutrients and soil health management, and high<br />

<strong>production</strong> costs, coupled with low net economic returns.<br />

At the end <strong>of</strong> December 2002, several countries in Africa were<br />

reportedly threatened by famine and starvation due <strong>to</strong> severe droughts in<br />

previous cropping seasons (FAO, 2003). According <strong>to</strong> FAO, the future is<br />

gloomy because world population is predicted <strong>to</strong> grow from around 6 billion<br />

people <strong>to</strong>day <strong>to</strong> 8.3 billion in 2030. Population will be growing at an average<br />

<strong>of</strong> 1.1% a year up <strong>to</strong> 2030, compared <strong>to</strong> 1.7% annually for the past 30 years.<br />

Food <strong>production</strong> will have <strong>to</strong> <strong>increase</strong> <strong>to</strong> provide for this <strong>increase</strong>d<br />

population.<br />

According <strong>to</strong> FAO (2002), much <strong>of</strong> future food <strong>production</strong> growth will<br />

have <strong>to</strong> come from higher <strong>productivity</strong>. In developing countries; almost 70%<br />

<strong>of</strong> the <strong>increase</strong> in crop <strong>production</strong> will come from higher yields, around 20%<br />

from an expansion <strong>of</strong> arable land, and around 10% from multiple cropping<br />

and shorter fallow periods. Climate change could <strong>increase</strong> the dependency <strong>of</strong><br />

some developing countries on food imports. Hardest hit will be small‐scale<br />

farmers in areas affected by drought, flooding, or salt intrusion or sea surges.<br />

Many countries in Africa are likely <strong>to</strong> become even more vulnerable <strong>to</strong> food<br />

insecurity unless effective measures for increasing <strong>productivity</strong>, reducing<br />

<strong>production</strong> costs, and protecting the natural resource base are taken.<br />

Irrigation is crucial <strong>to</strong> the world’s food supply. The developing<br />

countries could expand their irrigation area from 202 million ha in 2002, <strong>to</strong> 242<br />

million ha by 2030. The 40 million ha constitutes a 20 % <strong>increase</strong> in irrigated<br />

area. This could easily <strong>increase</strong> food <strong>production</strong> by 20 <strong>to</strong> 30%, but this will<br />

require more investment than presently planned or available. Globally, there<br />

is enough water available, but certain regions will face serious water<br />

4

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