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Het volume van chirurgische ingrepen en de impact ervan op ... - KCE

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<strong>KCE</strong> Reports 113 Volume Outcome 199<br />

RELATION BETWEEN SURGEON VOLUME AND REVISION RATE AT 1<br />

YEAR<br />

Logistic regression results for the revision rate are pres<strong>en</strong>ted in Table 7.33. There was<br />

an effect of -3.72% (-5.94%, -1.5%) on the revision rate wh<strong>en</strong> the <strong>volume</strong> of surgeon<br />

increased by 10%. Wh<strong>en</strong> we adjusted for case-mix, this effect was slightly reduced to -<br />

3.65%, but it remained statistically significant.<br />

Table 7.33: Total knee arthr<strong>op</strong>lasty: Results of regression: relative effects of<br />

10% increase <strong>volume</strong> of surgeon on revision rate within 1 year<br />

Mo<strong>de</strong>l without adjustm<strong>en</strong>t for case mix Effect 1 95% CI<br />

Surgeon <strong>volume</strong> (increase of 10%) -3.72 -5.94 -1.50<br />

Mo<strong>de</strong>l with adjustm<strong>en</strong>t for case mix Effect1 95% CI<br />

Surgeon <strong>volume</strong> (increase of 10%) -3.65 -5.86 -1.44<br />

Odds Ratio 95% CI<br />

Sex (male vs. female) 0.56 0.35 0.91<br />

Age (increase of 1 year) 0.96 0.94 0.98<br />

Charlson score (increase of 1 category) 1.14 0.83 1.55<br />

715 vs. other PDX 2.31 0.55 9.75<br />

1 Effect of 10% increase in <strong>volume</strong> of surgeon on the odds of revision within 1 year<br />

7.2.7 Discussion<br />

7.2.7.1 External validation of the <strong>de</strong>finition of the procedure<br />

We analyzed about 11 000 stays out of 14 000 stays (revisions inclu<strong>de</strong>d) id<strong>en</strong>tified in the<br />

MFD or MCD with a co<strong>de</strong> of knee arthr<strong>op</strong>lasty (see Table 7.19). Wh<strong>en</strong> we take into<br />

account a yearly increase in numbers, our number corresponds well with the annual<br />

number of stays observed in the MCD betwe<strong>en</strong> 1997 and 2002, which was around<br />

10 000 (revisions inclu<strong>de</strong>d) in the <strong>KCE</strong> report by Jacques et al.. 246<br />

7.2.7.2 Summarized results of literature review<br />

The systematic literature search id<strong>en</strong>tified sev<strong>en</strong> systematic reviews in which the VOA<br />

for TKR was studied. 1, 5, 59, 60, 62, 64, 68 In all, these systematic reviews id<strong>en</strong>tified 16 primary<br />

studies of which 5 were published betwe<strong>en</strong> 2002 and 2004, 325-329 and 10 betwe<strong>en</strong> 1995<br />

and 1999. 309, 317, 321, 330-336 This number was consi<strong>de</strong>red suffici<strong>en</strong>t for the discussion.<br />

The best systematic review is the meta-analysis by St<strong>en</strong>gel et al. because it is quite<br />

rec<strong>en</strong>t (2004) and of good quality (see App<strong>en</strong>dix 7). 68 St<strong>en</strong>gel et al. meta-analysed data<br />

from 5 articles of which 4 inclu<strong>de</strong>d risk-adjustm<strong>en</strong>t. 309, 317, 326, 328, 329 They analyzed the<br />

effect of hospital <strong>volume</strong> on in-hospital mortality, 90-day mortality, overall complication<br />

rate, infection rate and DVT rate. The results of these analyses are <strong>de</strong>scribed in<br />

App<strong>en</strong>dix 10, and are m<strong>en</strong>tioned in the discussion below.<br />

On the basis of all sev<strong>en</strong> systematic reviews, it was conclu<strong>de</strong>d in Chapter 2 (see Table<br />

2.2 on page 19) that there is an inverse relation betwe<strong>en</strong> hospital <strong>volume</strong> and in-hospital<br />

mortality. For post-<strong>op</strong>erative complications, on the other hand, there were conflicting<br />

results in relation to the association with hospital <strong>volume</strong>. The term “conflicting results”<br />

is used because there is a mix of primary studies that indicate a positive relation with<br />

<strong>volume</strong> and others that indicate a negative relation with <strong>volume</strong>. Since there was only<br />

one low-quality systematic review which studied the revision rate, these results could<br />

not be summarized in the evid<strong>en</strong>ce table in App<strong>en</strong>dix 10. 62

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