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The Palestinian Economy. Theoretical and Practical Challenges

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Proceedings “<strong>The</strong> <strong>Palestinian</strong> <strong>Economy</strong>: <strong>The</strong>oretical <strong>and</strong> <strong>Practical</strong> <strong>Challenges</strong>” 337<br />

6. Concluding remarks<br />

In this paper we analyzed the effect of the Israeli-<strong>Palestinian</strong> conflict on child labour <strong>and</strong><br />

school attendance of <strong>Palestinian</strong> children (10-14 years) in the West Bank between the<br />

beginning of the Second Intifada <strong>and</strong> the end of 2006.<br />

Our main result is that an increase in the number of closure days increases the<br />

probability of child labour <strong>and</strong> (weakly) reduces school attendance. We also considered<br />

some possible regional, district <strong>and</strong> household level channels through which the conflict<br />

may have affected children’s status. <strong>The</strong> evidence suggests that the increase in the<br />

number of closure days reduces households’ income <strong>and</strong> the probability for the father to<br />

be employed in Israel while it increases the number of unemployed in the household. All<br />

these outcomes are in turn positively correlated with the probability of child labour. We<br />

also have documented that the negative effect of closures on children’s status is not<br />

limited – as one may expect – to households with the father being employed in Israel.<br />

Indeed, our analysis indicates that the worsening of the local labour market conditions<br />

induced by the closures of borders tends to increase child labour <strong>and</strong> reduce school<br />

attendance independently from the household’s characteristics. When choosing which<br />

security measure to implement, one should take into consideration all its (intended <strong>and</strong><br />

unintended) effects if the social costs of the conflict have to be minimized.

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