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The Palestinian Economy. Theoretical and Practical Challenges

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430<br />

Olivera<br />

costs <strong>and</strong> lower market fragmentation allow <strong>Palestinian</strong> firms to better provide domestic<br />

<strong>and</strong> foreign markets. Expected sale dynamics <strong>and</strong> animal spirits are scaled up; if<br />

sufficiently strong, these facts could persistently raise long-run capital formation, <strong>and</strong> the<br />

<strong>Palestinian</strong> low-growth trap may simply disappear. Mounting investments from confident<br />

entrepreneurs may sustain both economic activity <strong>and</strong> capacity use, which in turn<br />

stimulate entrepreneurs’ confidence <strong>and</strong> their propensity to invest.<br />

However, it is difficult to have a permanent improvement in the investment climate<br />

without the creation of an independent <strong>Palestinian</strong> State with complete economic<br />

sovereignty; a state which may give larger market stability. An independent state can also<br />

negotiate trade agreements with its neighbours <strong>and</strong> run independent fiscal, monetary <strong>and</strong><br />

also industrial policies. <strong>The</strong> Asian growth experiences show how important these aspects<br />

are in order to achieve strong <strong>and</strong> sustained economic growth. A <strong>Palestinian</strong> State may be<br />

a necessary, though not sufficient condition to achieve higher growth rates of capital<br />

accumulation <strong>and</strong> to move out of the low growth trend, characterised by poor investment<br />

opportunities.<br />

Last but not least, an independent Palestine State should enhance the social <strong>and</strong><br />

cultural development process which goes beyond market relationships <strong>and</strong><br />

economic growth.

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