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East Kalimantan Environmentally Sustainable Development Strategy

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79<br />

granted in 2008–2009 and contain 12.7 tscf. Assuming continued auctions of CBM blocks 21 to 2030<br />

(but at a more conservative pace and size) that would cover at least 60 percent of current resources,<br />

<strong>East</strong> <strong>Kalimantan</strong> could produce an additional 2,500 mmcfd of CBM gas production by 2030.<br />

This new stream of coal-bed methane would double business-as-usual gas production<br />

by 2030 from 2,200 mmcfd to 4,700 mmcfd. Furthermore, this new supply of gas from CBM<br />

could be used to raise LNG production at Bontang LNG plant to its historical utilization rate of<br />

92 percent, despite the declining conventional gas feed. There should be ample markets for the<br />

additional LNG from Bontang, from the existing buyers in South Korea, Japan, and Taiwan as new<br />

markets such as China.<br />

<strong>East</strong> <strong>Kalimantan</strong> has CBM resources of 109 TSCF,<br />

almost a quarter of Indonesia’s CBM potential<br />

1<br />

2<br />

3<br />

4<br />

5<br />

6<br />

7<br />

8<br />

9<br />

10<br />

11<br />

Kutai<br />

Basin<br />

S. Sumatra<br />

Barito<br />

C. Sumatra<br />

N. Tarakan<br />

Berau<br />

Ombilin<br />

Pasir/<br />

Asem<br />

NW Java<br />

Sulawesi<br />

Bengkulu<br />

TOTAL<br />

Target<br />

Formation<br />

M.Enim<br />

Warukin<br />

Prangat<br />

Petani<br />

Tabul<br />

Latih<br />

Sawaht<br />

Warukin<br />

T.Akar<br />

Toraja<br />

Lemau<br />

Completeable<br />

Coal<br />

Thickness<br />

(m)<br />

24<br />

24<br />

15<br />

6<br />

6<br />

12<br />

0.45<br />

0.45<br />

0.80<br />

0.45<br />

0.70<br />

0.55<br />

0.40<br />

DRAFT<br />

SOURCE: SPE: Stevens, S. "Indonesia Coalbed Methane Indicators and Basin Evaluation"<br />

37<br />

28<br />

21<br />

15<br />

15<br />

Coal<br />

Rank<br />

(R0%)<br />

0.47<br />

0.45<br />

0.50<br />

0.40<br />

Avg<br />

Depth<br />

(m)<br />

385<br />

100<br />

500<br />

772<br />

30,248<br />

3.0<br />

0.8<br />

2.0<br />

3.6<br />

453.3<br />

Building additional downstream gas processing facilities would result in a GDP increase<br />

of IDR 3.6 trillion by 2030. Coal-bed methane should be fed to the Bontang LNG plant and PT<br />

Pupuk Kaltim fertilizer plant until the gas feed exceeds the maximum capacity of these plants. By<br />

2017, the CBM gas feed would reach the maximum capacity of the Bontang LNG plant: 3.7 billion<br />

standard cubic feet per day (bscfd). By 2023, the excess CBM supply would reach 1.0 bscfd,<br />

enough to operate two additional LNG liquefaction and purification facilities (called LNG trains) and<br />

by 2030, three additional LNG trains. Building a new LNG train requires large capital investment<br />

and can require up to five years to complete; thus investors are typically reluctant unless they can<br />

be assured of sufficient long-term supplies. The decision whether to expand LNG trains based on<br />

CBM supplies would be made in the future and depend on the regulatory framework at the time,<br />

LNG prices, domestic demand, and certainty over supply. It may be easier to find investment for<br />

capital-intensive downstream facilities such as fertilizer and petrochemical complexes that use<br />

762<br />

915<br />

915<br />

762<br />

701<br />

671<br />

762<br />

701<br />

1524<br />

610<br />

610<br />

High<br />

Graded<br />

Area<br />

(km2)<br />

7,350<br />

6,330<br />

6,100<br />

5,150<br />

2,734<br />

780<br />

47<br />

CBM<br />

Complet<br />

Able<br />

(Tcf)<br />

183.0<br />

101.6<br />

80.4<br />

52.5<br />

17.5<br />

8.4<br />

0.5<br />

Located in <strong>East</strong> Kal<br />

109 tcf in<br />

<strong>East</strong><br />

<strong>Kalimantan</strong><br />

(24% of<br />

national<br />

resources)<br />

Exhibit 53<br />

21 The four exploration blocks are Kutai West (5.1 tscf, explored by Newton Energy, Ephindo, and CBM Asia),<br />

Sanga-Sanga (4.0 tscf, explored by Vico, BP, and ENI), Kutai-Ephindo (3.1 tscf, explored by Ephindo), and<br />

Sanggata West (0.5 tscf, explored by Pertamina, Arrow, and Ephindo)

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