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Deciding the Future: Energy Policy Scenarios to 2050

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18<br />

<strong>Deciding</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Future</strong>: <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Policy</strong> <strong>Scenarios</strong> <strong>to</strong> <strong>2050</strong> World <strong>Energy</strong> Council 2007 The 3 A’s<br />

Across Europe <strong>the</strong>re are wide differences in goals and objectives,<br />

including <strong>the</strong> definition of energy security (security of supplies in <strong>the</strong><br />

West, security of demand for Russia).<br />

as well as economic fabric and energy<br />

structures. Thus, within <strong>the</strong> region, <strong>the</strong>re are<br />

wide differences in goals and objectives,<br />

including <strong>the</strong> definition of energy security<br />

(security of supplies in <strong>the</strong> West, security of<br />

demand for Russia).<br />

Accessibility<br />

Nearly all of Western Europe has 100% access.<br />

Eastward, <strong>the</strong> region shows increasingly lower<br />

levels of access, with several of <strong>the</strong> new<br />

European Union (EU) countries having lower<br />

levels. This will be addressed over <strong>the</strong> next few<br />

years.<br />

Availability<br />

There is an important interdependency between<br />

Russia and <strong>the</strong> rest of <strong>the</strong> European region.<br />

Russia, having enormous reserves of oil, natural<br />

gas, and coal, is in a unique position <strong>to</strong> maintain<br />

regional supply. That said, Availability in Russia<br />

itself is not perfect, although current investments<br />

are improving this position. At <strong>the</strong> supply end,<br />

Europe’s Availability status is driven in large part<br />

by <strong>the</strong> level and conditions of imports from<br />

Russia. Recent experience with supply<br />

disruptions has demonstrated that this poses a<br />

risk <strong>to</strong> wider European Availability.<br />

Acceptability<br />

The combination of market-based instruments<br />

with strong regulation and public service<br />

obligations has meant that Acceptability has<br />

been driven <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>to</strong>p of <strong>the</strong> European agenda.<br />

The ethos of <strong>the</strong> market is strong, as are <strong>the</strong><br />

regions’ legislative capabilities <strong>to</strong> ensure that<br />

social and environmental capital are protected.<br />

Many of <strong>the</strong> elements that will have a<br />

fundamental effect on Acceptability were not in<br />

force in 2005, for example, <strong>the</strong> EU Emissions<br />

Trading Scheme, or <strong>the</strong> revised emission limits<br />

(for SO 2 , NOx, and particulates) and <strong>the</strong> Large<br />

Combustion Plant Directive. Consequently, while<br />

Acceptability is high, progress is still occurring.<br />

2.2.4. Latin American and <strong>the</strong> Caribbean<br />

The Latin American and <strong>the</strong> Caribbean region<br />

rates itself in <strong>the</strong> middle with regard <strong>to</strong> its current<br />

state of achieving <strong>the</strong> 3 A’s, indicating much<br />

work is needed. The nations of <strong>the</strong> Latin<br />

American and <strong>the</strong> Caribbean region are diverse<br />

in size, economies, natural resources, social<br />

development, and political systems. A specific<br />

feature of <strong>the</strong> Latin American and <strong>the</strong> Caribbean<br />

region is <strong>the</strong> high percentage of its population -<br />

over 75% - that live in urban areas. In terms of<br />

energy, <strong>the</strong> region is distinctive for its large<br />

renewable resources (mainly hydropower and<br />

biomass). Given <strong>the</strong> region’s characteristics, <strong>the</strong><br />

elimination of poverty through increasing<br />

Accessibility and Availability is a natural focus.<br />

Meeting <strong>the</strong> needs of transport, harnessing<br />

natural resources (particularly agricultural land<br />

and hydroelectric potential), and accessing<br />

modern sources, as well as any relationships <strong>to</strong><br />

climate change, and Acceptability are priorities.<br />

Accessibility<br />

The region has a high degree of access <strong>to</strong><br />

commercial energy, although this does not mean<br />

that energy usage is evenly disseminated,<br />

principally because of economic differences

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