Deciding the Future: Energy Policy Scenarios to 2050
Deciding the Future: Energy Policy Scenarios to 2050
Deciding the Future: Energy Policy Scenarios to 2050
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<strong>Deciding</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Future</strong>: <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Policy</strong> <strong>Scenarios</strong> <strong>to</strong> <strong>2050</strong> World <strong>Energy</strong> Council 2007 Regional Achievement of <strong>the</strong> 3 A’s<br />
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ensuring long-term progress). Such<br />
change will contribute <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> wider ability<br />
<strong>to</strong> attract foreign direct investment (FDI).<br />
• Training is paramount <strong>to</strong> improve<br />
management capabilities and drive<br />
development <strong>to</strong> “best-in-class.”<br />
• The region must exploit its generous<br />
resource endowment, such as mineral<br />
deposits, land, forestry, biodiversity,<br />
climate and soil conditions favourable <strong>to</strong><br />
agriculture, and water and hydroelectric<br />
potential. The benefit of using <strong>the</strong>se<br />
resources should be shared among local<br />
communities and bring wider economic<br />
and social benefit.<br />
• International agreements and supply<br />
contracts, diversification of supply<br />
sources, and efficient supply logistics<br />
should create sufficiently reliable supplies.<br />
• Regional energy companies, such as<br />
ARPEL or CIER, and governmentsponsored<br />
entities, like OLADE, may be<br />
instrumental in improving <strong>the</strong> region’s<br />
energy security.<br />
• Diversification of energy sources by<br />
increasing <strong>the</strong> share and improving <strong>the</strong><br />
overall efficiency of renewable energy (as<br />
well as hydropower, nuclear power, and<br />
biofuels) will reduce greenhouse gas<br />
emissions and <strong>to</strong> improve energy supply<br />
security. A number of o<strong>the</strong>r environmental<br />
barriers also need <strong>to</strong> be overcome,<br />
though in this context not least of which is<br />
<strong>the</strong> acceptability of hydropower.<br />
• There is a need <strong>to</strong> reduce traditional<br />
biomass usage, particularly charcoal.<br />
• The region should foster <strong>the</strong> efficient use<br />
of agricultural byproducts for energy.<br />
• <strong>Energy</strong> efficiency should be a major goal<br />
because it will reduce primary energy<br />
needs, reduce environmental effects, and<br />
improve overall competitiveness of <strong>the</strong><br />
economy. <strong>Energy</strong> efficiency should be<br />
evaluated on a life-cycle basis. This<br />
should indicate <strong>the</strong> most appropriate<br />
primary sources and secondary energies<br />
<strong>to</strong> serve end-users.<br />
5.5.5. North America<br />
North America has identified <strong>the</strong> most important<br />
areas for developing energy policy. Most of <strong>the</strong><br />
policies apply <strong>to</strong> each of <strong>the</strong> three countries in<br />
<strong>the</strong> region and also <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> four scenarios:<br />
• Decision makers clearly need <strong>to</strong> balance<br />
current and long-term considerations in<br />
energy policy. It is important that energypolicy<br />
development is based on a clear,<br />
long-term vision, in-depth understanding<br />
of consequences over <strong>the</strong> full economic<br />
life of any associated developments, and<br />
full appreciation of inherent complexities.<br />
Certain improvements are desirable:<br />
− There is a need <strong>to</strong> streng<strong>the</strong>n<br />
integrated policy development for<br />
North America, building on <strong>the</strong> North<br />
America <strong>Energy</strong> Working Group, and<br />
<strong>the</strong> subsequent Security and<br />
Prosperity Partnership Agreement.