Deciding the Future: Energy Policy Scenarios to 2050

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Deciding the Future: Energy Policy Scenarios to 2050 World Energy Council 2007 Regional Achievement of the 3 A’s
Figure 5-19 Relative change from 2005 for Latin America & Caribbean for the Giraffe scenario
Figure 5-20 Relative change from 2005 for North America for the Giraffe scenario
There is lower investment in the protection of the
environment and in the mitigation of
environmental impacts than in the Lion scenario,
which is partially mitigated by legislation.
There is broad participation of multinational
companies, including associations with domestic
companies, state or private sector owned, in
production and in meeting the needs of the
energy market. However, the risk of collusion
and other forms of association is detrimental to
competition and consumers. There is a need for
an independent regulatory agency, in tune with
the current business environment, to ensure
attractiveness, competition, and good
performance of sector entities.
5.4.5. North America (Figure 5-20)
The low level of government engagement
means that there is little drive to improve the
levels of Accessibility and Availability in this
scenario. This is a problem for Mexico in
particular since this is the worst affected country
in the region. The high levels of cooperation
introduce a lot of effort but this seems to be
directed mainly towards countries outside the
region where the goodwill has value in exchange
for greater security of primary energy supply
Acceptability shows some improvement, driven
by high levels of international cooperation and
integration and pressures brought to bear
through the recognition that Acceptability is a
global problem. Developed countries such as
the United States and Canada are under
particular pressure to lead the way in addressing
this issue. There is however little improvement in
Mexico as it still has Accessibility as its first
priority.